WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Reading the RBA

This week's developments have lifted the probability of a rate hike in November, and the firmer Australian dollar should not get in the way.

This week's developments have, in our view, firmed up the probability of a rate hike by the Reserve Bank on November 2. Of course the board minutes from the October meeting which delivered the surprise "on hold" result will be closely scrutinised, particularly because there was so little detail in the governor's associated statement on the day of the October board meeting.

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