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Time to get back to basics

These five secrets can help restore your finances, writes Nicole Pedersen-McKinnon.
By · 8 Jul 2012
By ·
8 Jul 2012
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These five secrets can help restore your finances, writes Nicole Pedersen-McKinnon.

This is going to be uncomfortable reading if you are looking for a quick fix, an easy way out, or an antidote to the interminable market mayhem.

There isn't one.

What there are, however, are smart techniques that, when consistently applied, deliver long-term payoffs - hopefully, large enough to achieve your dreams - each and every time.

Secret 1: What's right for you is not right for the person beside you. The biggest secret of successful investing is to ignore the hot tips and helpful hints you might hear from friends, family and even the media, and chart your own course. Your investment decisions need, first and foremost, to be about your investment time frame, your age, your risk appetite (read willingness to lose your money) and your reasons for investing - the early retirement, the boat, the trip to Antarctica.

Once you have a clear picture of those things, you can set about dividing your money into appropriate portions across a range of assets along the risk continuum assets that we cover in the pages of this section regularly. Only if you determine you really are risk-averse should you invest wholly for capital stability and income. And only if you're happy for your funds to go backwards should you invest heavily in the "next big thing".

Secret 2: We all make bad decisions, and when it comes to money and the emotion associated with it, that's doubly so. Once you have split your portfolio among the asset classes (then split it further among a big enough selection of top investments within those assets), you need to do your best to leave it there. Not necessarily in particular investments, but definitely in the assets.

You need to get a grip on your fear and greed so you are not panicked into selling at the bottom or lured into buying at the top. These are the perennial errors retail investors make and why their returns are often sub-par. The fascinating discipline of investor psychology explains that reasoning is often clouded, for example, by vanity - we hold on to losing stocks longer than we should in the hope we will be proved right. Be aware that hindsight bias also causes us to place greater weight on recent past performance than on trends and long-term returns. Even volatility of the magnitude we've seen lately will appear relatively small if you chart the market's long-term performance.

Secret 3: Unsexy, yes, but successful? Just about every time, regular and early saving is your ticket to future wealth.

Let's say you manage to stash away $100 a month from age 30 - that's probably the equivalent of cutting out one coffee or sweet treat a day - and earn a pretty realistic 6 per cent average return on it. By 55, you'll have more than $70,000. Better still, what you have actually squirrelled away represents less than half that figure - most is earnings during that time. But wait 10 years before you start and to reach the same balance, you'll need to save $240 a month. You'll have to save $43,000 of your ultimate $70,000 yourself.

Procrastinate another decade and you'll need to find a painful $1000 a month to total $60,000 of your $70,000. The sooner you start, the easier building wealth is. And the less you have to rely on big returns - and the extra risks they entail - to get you across the line.

Secret 4: Debt is quicksand and one of the best money moves you'll make is to get rid of the personal stuff. That means credit cards, personal loans and mortgages - anything for which you don't earn tax deductions. This is a tax-free, risk-free effective return equal to your interest rate, which - on even the cheapest form of debt, your mortgage - will be higher than you can earn in a savings account. If you are on the top tax rate, you would need to earn about 11 per cent on an investment for that to be a smarter strategy than simply paying down your mortgage (based on a 7 per cent variable rate).

Secret 5: You've got to be in it to win it. There is a real danger right now that investors who have been burnt the most in the market downturn of the past five years will struggle the hardest to rebuild balances.

This will happen if they become too risk-averse and shelter too much money in low-risk, low-return investments to preserve what's left. Sure, every portfolio needs this component to anchor returns. But after inflation and tax, it can be very unrewarding indeed. (And some "safe haven" bonds actually carry heightened risk right now. Demand has pushed prices sky-high, so investors might actually lose money on them.)

Unless your dreams are very tame, you will need growth assets such as shares and property to achieve them.

Nicole Pedersen-McKinnon is the editor of Smart Investor magazine, afrsmartinvestor.com. Twitter @NicolePedMcK.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

Your investment strategy should be built around your investment timeframe, your age, your risk appetite (how much you’re willing to lose) and your reasons for investing (for example early retirement, buying a boat or a big trip). Once you’re clear on those things, divide your money into appropriate portions across a range of assets along the risk continuum.

Very important. Split your portfolio among asset classes and, within each asset, hold a big enough selection of quality investments. Then do your best to leave the asset allocation in place—focus on staying in the right assets rather than constantly trading individual holdings, which often leads to buying high and selling low.

Fear and greed drive common mistakes: panicked selling at the bottom, chasing the top, holding on to losers out of vanity, and overweighting recent performance because of hindsight bias. These behaviours often produce sub-par returns, so recognising and managing them is key to better outcomes.

A big difference. For example, saving $100 a month from age 30 and earning a realistic 6% average could produce more than $70,000 by age 55, with most of that coming from investment earnings. Wait 10 years and you’d need about $240 a month to reach the same balance; wait another decade and you’d need roughly $1,000 a month. The sooner you start, the easier it is to build wealth.

Reducing personal, non-tax-deductible debt (credit cards, personal loans and mortgages) is one of the best moves you can make. Paying off debt delivers a tax-free, risk-free effective return equal to your interest rate. For example, based on a 7% variable mortgage rate and being on the top tax rate, you’d need to earn about 11% on an investment for that to be a smarter choice than paying down the mortgage.

Not necessarily. The article notes that some safe-haven bonds currently carry heightened risk because demand has pushed prices very high, which means investors might actually lose money on them despite their perceived safety.

Yes—unless your goals are very modest. Relying only on low-risk, low-return investments to preserve capital can be unrewarding after inflation and tax. To achieve larger goals you’ll typically need exposure to growth assets such as shares and property.

Start by ignoring hot tips and media hype; set a clear plan based on your timeframe, age, risk appetite and goals; diversify across asset classes and within them; resist emotional reactions (fear and greed); and commit to staying in the market enough to let compounding and growth assets work for you.