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Shopping for yield

They took a pasting in the GFC, but suddenly real estate investment trusts are back in fashion - and the returns show why, writes David Potts.
By · 21 Oct 2012
By ·
21 Oct 2012
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They took a pasting in the GFC, but suddenly real estate investment trusts are back in fashion and the returns show why, writes David Potts.

Guess what's returned 37 per cent in a year with less risk than quite possibly even crossing the street? What's more, the further interest rates drop, the better.

All right, 37 per cent might have been a fluke, but then an annual average of 16 per cent for three years running, during a period of lacklustre performance by almost everything, isn't so easy to dismiss.

Give up? Hey, a dead giveaway was when I said falling interest rates help.

That's better. Yes, it has to have something to do with property.

In fact it's commercial property, and the investment is a managed fund that invests in listed real estate investment trusts (REITs).

The Cromwell Phoenix Property Securities Fund is a bit like super in being unlisted but investing in listed stocks, in this case property trusts.

Mind you, there's a listed arm as well: Cromwell Property Group (CMW), which is the responsible entity (REIT-speak for trustee) should you prefer to invest in the one collecting the fees, rather than paying them.

So far this year, the share prices of some REITs have jumped more than 40 per cent.

Commercial real estate values have done nowhere near that.

BACK IN BLACK

So what's going on?

To be blunt, REITs came a cropper during the GFC - over-borrowed and over there as they ventured offshore, basically - and it's only now that they're coming back into favour.

There was usually nothing wrong with the properties they owned the problem was they had negatively geared to the hilt.

"They suffered a tremendous decline, part of which was their fault and part market, with very erratic trading going on," says Howard Brenchley, the executive director of APN Property Group, which also manages REITs.

Even in their darkest hour during the GFC, when at one point their prices had crashed 70 per cent in some cases, they were collecting the same rents, if not increasing them. Yet mostly their properties hadn't fallen much in value, and they've since reined in their debt as well.

Some still trade for less than their properties are valued at.

To this day, big institutional investors are wary of them.

Fund managers are reluctant but offshore investors are snapping up stakes, according to a report by Morningstar.

The REITs also appeal to ordinary investors and DIY super funds, yielding 6 per cent to 8 per cent, in some cases tax-free.

Often, there may be no tax until you sell. And it's possible you might never pay tax if you're below the threshold when you sell or you're eligible for, say, the senior Australians' offset.

Admittedly, the deal isn't as good as franked dividends, where theoretically you could get 30? back from the government on every dollar of dividend earned but then the risk normally isn't as high as on shares, except when there's a GFC, and in any case it sure is a better deal than you'd get from a term deposit.

So just how safe are REITs? They're not perfect since they do, after all, trade on the sharemarket, which isn't always rational.

At least they've come a long way since the GFC, and on the whole have their debt down to about 25 per cent of assets after a series of unedifying rights issues.

TIME TO BUY

You wouldn't want to have been in a REIT for most of the past five years, but in a funny way that's what makes them attractive today.

Arguably, the market hasn't kept up with their improvements.

Then again, most REITs invest in shopping centres and so rely on retailers for the rent.

And everybody knows retailers are doing it tough.

Tough, yes, but not all of them are struggling. Supermarkets aren't, nor are specialty shops that hit the right note.

Some big brand names such as Abercrombie & Fitch, Top Shop, Uniqlo and Zara are queuing up to get into our malls.

Stuart Cartledge, the managing director of Phoenix Portfolios, which manages Cromwell's fund of REITs, describes it as if they're almost elbowing out some of the little Aussie boutiques.

"Those in real trouble are being replaced by offshore guys with a better business model," he says.

Supermarkets and department stores bring customers, but it's the specialty shops that make the money for landlords because every year there are always a few leases up for renewal for a higher rent.

Also, nowadays leases are indexed rather than tied to turnover.

That's why their distributions (REIT-speak for dividends) should be reliable.

Did I mention supermarkets? No shopping mall is complete without one and Woolworths is offering its own REIT.

It's spinning off shopping centres - all with a Woolworths - into the Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group, or SCA Property Group.

Woolies shareholders get five units for free in the new trust for every share they hold, while everybody else will have to pay between $1.26 and $1.50 a unit.

That gives a yield of 6.9 per cent to 8.3 per cent, with up to 40 per cent of it tax deferred.

The offer closes on November 20.

BARGAIN BASEMENT

The mother of all REITs is the Westfield Retail Trust (WRT), another one that trades for less than its properties are worth.

The most plausible explanation is that, well, it's a Westfield and you never know what the mother stock (WDC) might use it for.

Even so, REITs often trade at a discount, making them even more attractive as long as the properties have been valued correctly, not to mention recently, while frustrating longer-term investors.

Others at a discount invest in office or industrial properties, such as Dexus (DXS), GPT Group (GPT), Commonwealth Office (CPA) and Investa Office (IOF). The fall in interest rates is a windfall for REITs.

They become even more competitive against term deposits and bonds, for starters, and their own debt is cheaper.

If you can't decide between the 49 listed by the ASX, you could always take the lot with an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

ETFs trade on the sharemarket in every way like a share. There are two: Vanguard's VAP and SPDR's SLF, which come with a low annual fee.

Or if you'd prefer to avoid the market's volatility there are the property securities trusts, which are unlisted, in which case you should look at them only as a long-term investment.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

REITs (real estate investment trusts) are companies that own and manage income-producing property and pay distributions to investors. Shopping-centre REITs have become attractive again because interest rates have fallen (making REIT yields competitive with term deposits and bonds), many trusts have cut debt since the GFC and leases are now often indexed rather than tied to retailer turnover. Strong anchor tenants such as supermarkets and new international brands moving into malls have also helped make shopping-centre REIT distributions more reliable.

According to the article, many Australian REITs have been yielding in the 6%–8% range for ordinary investors, and some specific offers (like the Woolworths spin-off into SCA Property Group) were expected to yield about 6.9%–8.3% with up to 40% of that potentially tax-deferred. Yields can beat term-deposit rates, though franking credits on shares can be more advantageous in some cases.

REITs are not risk-free — they trade on the sharemarket so prices can be volatile and were badly hit during the GFC — but many have greatly reduced leverage (debt around 25% of assets in aggregate) and still collect steady rents. Key risks include retail tenant weakness, market sentiment, and the fact some REITs trade at discounts to reported property values. They can be appropriate for investors who understand these risks and take a medium- to long-term view.

You can buy an ETF that tracks listed property securities — the article mentions Vanguard's VAP and SPDR's SLF — which trade like shares and carry low annual fees. Alternatively, unlisted property securities trusts (such as the Cromwell Phoenix Property Securities Fund) pool many REITs and may suit investors who prefer to avoid day-to-day market volatility, though those are best considered long-term investments.

Listed REITs are traded on the ASX like any other share and their prices can move daily. Unlisted property securities trusts are not exchange-traded; some unlisted funds invest in listed REITs (so you get indexed exposure without live share-price swings). The article suggests unlisted trusts are typically positioned as long-term investments and can be used by investors who want property-sector exposure with potentially lower short-term volatility.

Supermarkets and large department stores act as anchor tenants that bring foot traffic to malls, while specialty retailers generate higher margins for landlords because their rents can be reset at higher levels. The article notes supermarkets are essential to malls (Woolworths anchors many centres) and that newer international brands and better-performing specialty stores are replacing weaker local retailers, supporting rental income and distributions.

The article mentions a number of familiar names: Cromwell Property Group (CMW) and its Cromwell Phoenix Property Securities Fund, Westfield Retail Trust (WRT) and Westfield’s parent (WDC), Dexus (DXS), GPT Group (GPT), Commonwealth Office Properties (CPA), Investa Office Fund (IOF), Woolworths and its spin-off SCA/Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group, as well as fund managers such as APN Property Group and Phoenix Portfolios.

REITs can trade at discounts for reasons such as residual market scepticism after the GFC, concerns about future tenant performance or corporate actions (for example how a parent company might use assets), and institutional caution. The article argues these discounts can make REITs attractive if the underlying properties have been valued correctly, but investors should still assess balance sheets, tenant mix and lease structures before buying.