Questions raised over use of CSIRO name in Linc ad
"That's about 19¢ per litre!" trumpeted the Linc ads, which also claimed its underground coal gasification and gas-to-liquids technology would result in "much less pollution" and provide a "sustainable answer to the world's energy demands".
Lending weight to the claims, Linc's ads said CSIRO research had "shown our synthetic fuel to be cleaner". According to one ad, CSIRO tests confirmed synthetic fuel reduced tailpipe nitrous oxide (NOx) emissions by 13 per cent, particulate (PM-10) emissions by 35 per cent and hydrocarbon emissions by 43 per cent.
Following inquiries by BusinessDay and concerned at the use of its name, CSIRO wrote to Linc expressing concern that the ads "could be interpreted as suggesting a relationship between Linc Energy and CSIRO that does not exist, given we have not worked with or for the company".
About June, Linc pulled the ads. Linc told BusinessDay it stood by its figures but it updated its ad campaign "to avoid any confusion to the reader as to where the referenced data came from".
Linc had based its figures on a 2001 CSIRO paper titled Life-Cycle Emissions Analysis of Alternative Fuels for Heavy Vehicles, which found emissions from so-called Fischer-Tropsch Diesel (the name of the process used by Linc), were in line with normal diesel for NOx, better for particulates and toxics, but the worst of all fuels studied for greenhouse gases.
"Even though Fischer-Tropsch Diesel produces slightly lower tailpipe emissions, the upstream emissions of greenhouse gases during [production] are much greater than those emitted during production of diesel," the authors wrote. Pre-combustion greenhouse emissions were 76 per cent higher.
The paper said its findings had a limited shelf life, particularly because in 2001 there were no operating Australian plants producing Fischer-Tropsch diesel, and would need to be repeated based on "production processes that are actually in place". The paper assumed such a plant would be built near Western Australia's North-West Shelf, where the gas was.
That was before the boom in unconventional oil and gas extraction technologies, including the UCG-GTL process, which Linc helped pioneer.
And those figures on the cost of Linc's fuel? Linc said its references to production cost per barrel were based on "internal calculations, supported by independent engineering studies that Linc Energy commissioned".
Linc's multimillionaire chief executive Peter Bond, who last year flew his own jet 4200 kilometres around the country on Linc's jet fuel, says the company has done any number of tests and the production cost always comes out at about $30 a barrel.
Linc is the world's biggest player in UCG, a technology which was originally pioneered in Stalin-era Russia, and which Bond believes will be of major interest in eastern European countries with coal which are dependent on Russian gas, such as Hungary, Poland and Ukraine.
"It's not going to get traction in our backyard," Bond says.
Bond's vision was that UCG-GTL, producing about 1.7 barrels of liquid per tonne of coal, could help solve Australia's increasing dependency on imported fuel - perhaps supplying 20 to 30 per cent of the country's needs. In time UCG could also fuel power stations here, reducing greenhouse gas emissions relative to coal, says Bond, who has spent more than $200 million on the technology.
While Bond says the federal Energy Minister, Martin Ferguson, saw UCG-GTL as a "win-win", Linc was discouraged after the Queensland government put a moratorium on underground coal gasification in 2010, when benzene was detected in groundwater at Kingaroy, where ASX-listed Cougar Energy was conducting a UCG trial. (Cougar is now negotiating over damages with the state.)
Bond says Linc could not stand still and pushed offshore. "When the Bligh government said 'OK, we're not so sure about this UCG thing, we're going to hold you up', the first thing I did was buy ground in South Australia, the second thing I did was buy ground in Wyoming, I did joint ventures in Asia, I bought ground in Alaska."
Some of those acquisitions are now paying off, with Linc's shares doubling to $2.15 since the end of November amid a surge of takeover interest after the Russian tycoon Roman Abramovich paid Linc a visit. Bond believes Abramovich has taken a small stake in Linc and is "actually as interested in UCG as anything else".
Linc shares spiked a fortnight ago when it released consultant estimates that it may have an undiscovered, "unrisked prospective resource" of up to 223 billion barrels of oil equivalent in three shale formations within its 100 per cent-held Arckaringa acreage in South Australia.
Adelaide's The Advertiser, in a report quickly hosed down by Bond, multiplied that by the oil price and breathlessly reported Linc had found a resource worth $20 trillion. It was a claim that was too good to be true.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Linc Energy's newspaper ads claimed its UCG-GTL synthetic fuel could be produced for about $30 a barrel (about 19¢ per litre) and cited CSIRO test figures saying the fuel reduced tailpipe NOx by 13%, particulate (PM-10) emissions by 35% and hydrocarbons by 43%.
No. CSIRO wrote to Linc expressing concern that the ads could be interpreted as suggesting a relationship that does not exist and said it had not worked with or for Linc Energy. Linc later pulled and updated the ads to avoid confusion about the source of the data.
Linc based its figures on a 2001 CSIRO paper titled 'Life‑Cycle Emissions Analysis of Alternative Fuels for Heavy Vehicles', which found Fischer‑Tropsch diesel was similar to normal diesel for NOx, better for particulates and toxics, but had much higher upstream greenhouse‑gas emissions (pre‑combustion emissions 76% higher). The paper also cautioned its findings had a limited shelf life.
Linc said the $30 per barrel figure came from internal calculations supported by independent engineering studies it commissioned. Linc's CEO Peter Bond also stated the company’s tests consistently produced costs around $30 a barrel.
UCG‑GTL combines underground coal gasification (UCG) with gas‑to‑liquids (GTL) processing to make liquid fuels from coal in situ. Linc, which describes itself as a leading UCG player, sees potential markets for the technology abroad (for example in coal‑dependent eastern European countries) and has invested heavily in developing it.
Yes. The Queensland government imposed a moratorium on UCG in 2010 after benzene was detected in groundwater at Kingaroy during a UCG trial by ASX‑listed Cougar Energy. The article notes Cougar is negotiating over damages with the state.
Linc shares doubled to $2.15 since the end of November amid takeover interest after a visit from Roman Abramovich, who reportedly took a small stake. Shares also spiked when consultant estimates suggested an 'unrisked prospective resource' of up to 223 billion barrels of oil‑equivalent in the Arckaringa acreage, though media headlines that multiplied that into a $20 trillion value were described as overblown.
Look for the source and date of research (the emissions figures cited came from a 2001 CSIRO paper with limits), note whether cost figures are internal or independently verified, be aware of regulatory and environmental risks for UCG, and treat large 'unrisked prospective resource' estimates and breathless media valuations with caution until independently confirmed.

