Investors cheered by likely extension of US stimulus program
Larry Summers, the man tipped to replace Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, pulled out of the race, taking with him anxiety that the central bank would aggressively start reeling in its $US85 billion-a-month stimulus.
Mr Summers' withdrawal has elevated Janet Yellen, who has strongly advocated quantitative easing, to become the main contender to succeed Mr Bernanke.
Investors across the globe warmed to that prospect, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index strengthening 28.37 points, or 0.5 per cent, to 5248, its highest close since June 26, 2008.
The dollar also rallied, briefly touching US93.98¢, before settling at US93.38¢ at market close.
IG Markets strategist Evan Lucas said some investors had described the possibility of Mr Summers as "one of the two biggest concerns in the macro world".
"His hawkish views did pose a threat to the timeline of the tapering, with some expecting him to move very quickly to remove it, which would see a very sharp liquidity withdrawal," Mr Lucas said.
"However, with his removal from the race, it has become a one-horse race; with Professor Janet Yellen now having one hand on the chair. Her position in the FOMC is one of general dovishness and this news will delight emerging markets and risk markets."
The resource sector was the biggest winner on the ASX, advancing more than 1 per cent. Goldminers led the gains, after the metal gained 1 per cent to $US1325.15 an ounce, buoyed by Mr Summers' exit as a contender for the Fed leadership. Kingsgate was the best performer, advancing 5.6 per cent to $1.79, while Newcrest, Australia's biggest listed gold producer, rallied 5 per cent to $12.63.
But it wasn't all rosy. Discovery Metals was the ASX's worst performer, tumbling 11.5 per cent to 11.5¢ after it delayed a deadline for recommending a takeover for the fourth time.
Car lease company McMillan Shakespeare continued its slump into the red, falling 2.5 per cent to $11.95, despite Prime Minister-elect Tony Abbott saying he would scrap Kevin Rudd's proposed changes to fringe benefit tax.
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Investors cheered the likely extension of US stimulus after Larry Summers pulled out of the race to replace Fed chairman Ben Bernanke. That reduced expectations of aggressive tapering and lifted risk appetite, sending the S&P/ASX 200 up 28.37 points (0.5%) to 5,248 — its highest close since June 26, 2008.
Janet Yellen is seen as more dovish and a strong advocate of quantitative easing. Her elevated prospects after Summers’ withdrawal increased investor confidence in ongoing stimulus, which supported risk assets and emerging markets according to IG Markets strategist Evan Lucas.
The Australian dollar rallied alongside global assets, briefly touching US93.98¢ and settling at US93.38¢ at market close, reflecting improved risk sentiment tied to expectations of continued US monetary stimulus.
The resource sector was the biggest winner on the ASX, advancing more than 1%. Goldminers led the gains after gold rose 1% to US$1,325.15 an ounce, helped by reduced fears of rapid Fed tapering following Summers’ exit.
Kingsgate was the best performer, advancing 5.6% to $1.79, while Newcrest, Australia’s biggest listed gold producer, rallied about 5% to $12.63 as investors favoured gold-related names.
Discovery Metals plunged 11.5% to 11.5¢ after it delayed a deadline for recommending a takeover for the fourth time, a development that clearly worried investors and hit its share price.
Car-lease company McMillan Shakespeare fell 2.5% to $11.95 and continued its slump into the red, despite Prime Minister-elect Tony Abbott saying he would scrap proposed changes to fringe benefits tax — a policy comment that didn’t prevent the share price decline.
The article shows markets can react quickly to changes in expected Fed leadership and stimulus policy. In this episode, reduced odds of rapid tapering boosted risk assets, the Australian dollar and commodity-focused stocks (especially gold miners). Everyday investors should note that leadership expectations and policy signals can move sectors differently — resources and gold benefitted here — but the article doesn’t offer personal investment advice.

