It is important to acknowledge that to be proactive about one's savings shouldn't mean we do it all ourselves.
ONE of the ironies of the investment business is that while the wealthy pay plenty for help managing their millions, the less-well-off too often try to do it all themselves.
The onset of no-advice brokerage rates and self-managed superannuation has created an avalanche of part-time, do-it-yourself experts who think they are all smarter than the market.
About $10 billion a year is being invested in self-managed super funds (SMSFs) as investors switch from retail and industry funds, often on the advice of accountants promising greater flexibility and improved returns.
As a result, it is estimated more than $400 billion of assets now reside in Australia's SMSFs - about 31 per cent of total superannuation assets. Of that $400 billion, about $115 billion resides in unproductive cash deposits, and the cash pile is building. We are hoarding cash just when the returns on that cash are near record lows. Discretionary flows into investment products are going backwards, yet investment markets have still bounced 14 per cent in the past eight months. In the December quarter there was a net $1.6 billion outflow from retail investment products, excluding cash management trusts.
Anecdotally, signs aren't good for maximising wealth over the long term.
The big industry funds lament that it takes just one scary newspaper headline to trigger a rush of redemptions from equity funds. History shows such reactionary moves nearly always cost members dough. It's not so much that getting out of equities is the problem, it is that people forget to get back in.
Fund trustees used to applaud when members moved out of default settings - now they worry about the long-term impact on retail superannuation balances.
Then there are the professionals. I know of one Sydney-based fund manager who has been banned by his wife from reading company reports in bed.
Australia has more than 150 equity management firms and thousands of investment advisers all competing for your business. The good news is that in a post-GFC world, getting access to these people has never been cheaper, competition for the best performance has never been more intense.
Common sense would suggest the best investors are the ones that do it for a living. They are paid not to get distracted by life's little dramas.
They should be risk-averse, be disciplined and know the sectors in which they invest intimately well. They are battle-hardened by the GFC.
They have good access to the management of companies in which they invest and seek out the opinions of the best business brains to construct portfolios. They seek perspectives from people such as Professor Geoffrey Blainey, who speaks of the similarities and differences of the current climate with the Great Depression of his youth.
They seek perspectives on Asia from people such as Mike Pratt, one of the country's most senior bankers, who has first-hand experience of managing a loan book in Asia.
This is not to say you shouldn't take charge of your investments. It's a necessity. Handing over all responsibility to a financial planner, fund manager or broker offering risk-free riches is a folly.
But it is important to acknowledge that to be proactive about one's savings shouldn't mean we do it all ourselves. Engage the market. At the very least, seek a second opinion.
It's all about managing risk in pursuit of reward over the long-term versus a Reserve Bank cash rate at 3.75 per cent.
Stewart Oldfield is an analyst at Investorfirst Securities. soldfield@investorfirst.com.au
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What does the article mean by "DIY investors" and why might DIY investors still need expert help?
DIY investors are people who manage their own investments or run self-managed super funds instead of using retail or industry funds. The article notes many part-time DIY experts can be overconfident and that seeking expert help or a second opinion can reduce costly mistakes, manage risk and provide disciplined, professional perspective.
How much money is flowing into self-managed super funds (SMSFs) and how big are SMSFs in Australia?
The article says about $10 billion a year is being invested into SMSFs as investors switch from retail and industry funds. It estimates more than $400 billion of assets now sit in Australian SMSFs, roughly 31% of total superannuation assets.
Why is a large cash holding inside SMSFs a concern for everyday investors?
According to the article, roughly $115 billion of SMSF assets are held in unproductive cash deposits. Hoarding cash can be a problem because cash returns are near record lows, so keeping too much in cash may reduce long-term returns compared with being invested in markets.
What recent trends in retail investment product flows should investors be aware of?
The article reports discretionary flows into investment products are going backwards, noting a net $1.6 billion outflow from retail investment products in the December quarter (excluding cash management trusts). This comes even as markets had bounced about 14% in the previous eight months.
How can reacting to scary headlines or short-term news hurt long-term investment performance?
Industry funds say a single scary headline can trigger a rush of redemptions from equity funds, and history shows reactionary moves often cost members money. The article highlights that the bigger issue is people getting out of markets and then forgetting to get back in.
What advantages do professional fund managers and investment advisers offer everyday investors?
The article points out professionals are paid to stay focused, be risk-averse, disciplined and experienced—many are battle-hardened by the GFC. They have access to company management and leading experts, and post-GFC competition has made access to good managers and advisers more affordable.
Should I hand over all my investment decisions to a financial planner or fund manager?
No. The article warns against handing over all responsibility to a planner or manager promising risk-free gains. Instead, stay proactive about your savings, engage the market and at minimum seek a second opinion from a qualified professional.
How should investors manage risk versus reward given current cash rates?
The article recommends focusing on managing risk in pursuit of long-term reward rather than hoarding cash, noting the Reserve Bank cash rate was 3.75% at the time. It encourages engaging with experts, getting second opinions and avoiding reactionary moves that can harm long-term returns.