Australian companies report half the growth of US companies due to falling productivity.
RISING labour costs and the stronger Australian dollar, together with a long-term loss of focus on innovation and appropriate infrastructure spending, has hurt Australia's productivity, economists say.
During the 1980s and 1990s, the Australian economy experienced strong productivity growth through reforms such as the removal of tariff barriers and increased competition, but these efficiency gains have stalled in recent years.
A lack of infrastructure spending means our ports and the rail lines to them are clogged and we are not benefiting as greatly as we could from the global resources boom.
In addition, there is an argument that broadband speeds in Australia have been behind other parts of the world, eroding our ability to do business efficiently and develop and implement cutting-edge technologies.
''Increased productivity clearly led to a strong rise in living standards in Australia through the 1980s and 1990s,'' says AMP Capital Investors' Shane Oliver. ''But while 10 years ago we were growing mainly through working smarter, now productivity is slowing and it is being masked by the record terms of trade - we are simply getting paid more for the things we export.''
The problem with this, says Dr Oliver, is that the benefits of the resources boom are much more restrictive within the economy. ''Not all Australians are participating in it and most of the benefits go to shareholders and those working for the mining companies.''
The impact of productivity was evident in the last company profit-reporting season. While the consensus was that local company results were no worse than expected, they were no better either - and certainly not as good as in the US, which perversely is teetering on the brink of a second recession in three years.
Australian corporate earnings rose 11 per cent overall, with a 34 per cent gain in the resources sector masking a 4 per cent fall among the rest, excluding the banks, according to the calculations of AMP Capital Investors.
Yet US corporates achieved an average profit growth of 19 per cent, a marked contrast, particularly given that the US has a resources sector proportionally much smaller than Australia's.
Dr Oliver says the contrast was in part because US corporates responded to the global slowdown by cutting jobs, whereas Australian companies tried to keep people on, often in a part-time or reduced capacity.
''The US worker paid a high price for the profit growth rate of US companies,'' he says. ''That's also why wages growth in Australia is running at 4 per cent, against 2.5 per cent in the US.''
The Reserve Bank has been banging on about Australian productivity in recent months, after productivity went into reverse in the first quarter of this year, declining by 1.5 per cent for the March quarter, after historically growing at an average of about 2 per cent a year. We get the June quarter national accounts on Wednesday.
Commonwealth Bank senior economist John Peters says that when the central bank is stressing a point like this, it's generally worth listening.
Deutsche Bank head of equity strategy Tim Baker says the relative strength of the two currencies was also important in the contrasting profit performance.
''The Australian sharemarket has much more of an overseas focus than the economy as a whole,'' he says. ''The rising dollar has had a lot to do with it - it's wiped a lot of the resources company earnings and in healthcare and at companies such as Amcor and Brambles.''
According to AMP's Dr Oliver, companies on the Australian sharemarket generate 30 per cent of their earnings offshore, while US-listed shares generate 40 per cent outside the US - and the US overseas earnings will have been boosted by the weak greenback.
Mr Baker expects the profit outlook for big Australian companies to be pegged back further in coming months.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What caused Australia’s productivity to slow and why does it matter for investors?
Australia’s productivity has slowed because rising labour costs, a stronger Australian dollar, reduced focus on innovation, and underinvestment in infrastructure (like ports and rail) have eroded efficiency. That matters for investors because slower productivity can limit corporate profit growth outside the resources sector and make earnings more dependent on commodity prices rather than efficiency gains.
How did the resources boom mask wider weaknesses in Australian company earnings?
During the last reporting season overall Australian corporate earnings rose about 11%, but a 34% gain in the resources sector masked a roughly 4% fall in earnings across the rest of companies (excluding banks). That shows the resources boom boosted headline profits while much of the economy didn’t see the same gains.
How does Australian corporate profit growth compare with the US and what drove the difference?
US corporates achieved average profit growth of around 19%, compared with about 11% in Australia. Part of the difference reflected US firms cutting jobs to protect margins, a weaker US dollar boosting overseas earnings, and a larger share of US-listed companies’ earnings coming from offshore compared with Australian-listed firms.
What role did the Australian dollar play in corporate profit performance?
A stronger Australian dollar reduced the competitiveness and reported earnings of some export-exposed and multinational companies. Deutsche Bank’s Tim Baker noted the rising dollar erased a lot of resources company earnings and affected sectors such as healthcare and companies like Amcor and Brambles.
Why are ports, rail and broadband mentioned as productivity issues for Australia?
The article highlights underinvestment in infrastructure leading to clogged ports and rail lines, which has limited Australia’s ability to fully capitalise on the global resources boom. Slower broadband speeds are also cited as holding back business efficiency and the development and rollout of new technologies.
How have wages and employment approaches affected profit growth in Australia?
Australian companies generally tried to retain staff during the slowdown, often with part-time or reduced-capacity roles, while many US firms cut jobs. That approach helped support wages (Australian wages growth around 4% versus about 2.5% in the US) but constrained profit growth for non-resources companies.
What are economists and banks saying about the productivity outlook investors should care about?
Economists including AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver and bank economists have warned that productivity gains from the 1980s–1990s reforms have stalled. The Reserve Bank has flagged concern after productivity fell 1.5% in the March quarter, and Commonwealth Bank senior economist John Peters suggested the RBA’s warnings are worth listening to when assessing the economic backdrop for investments.
What should everyday investors watch next in light of the productivity and earnings picture?
Investors should watch upcoming national accounts (including the June quarter) and company profit updates, monitor the Australian dollar, and track wages and RBA commentary. These indicators will influence corporate earnings prospects—especially for companies with significant offshore exposure or those sensitive to domestic productivity and infrastructure bottlenecks.