IF THERE was any doubt that the country's $1.3 trillion retirement savings are too dependent on the vagaries of the stockmarket, take a look at the impact of the recent equities bloodbath on the performance of our super funds, which have lost a fortune in the past six weeks.
The latest figures from ChantWest and SuperRatings show that super funds have started the new financial year in the red.
The sharp fall in equities, down more than 11 per cent since June 30, has slashed the performance of all types of funds by a significant amount.
According to SuperRatings, weak equity markets saw the median balanced fund fall 1.4 per cent in July and up to 5 per cent since June 30.
The big losses put the spotlight firmly on the country's super industry and its heavy exposure to equities, particularly after the havoc wreaked on retirement savings during the global financial crisis, when it suffered its worst performance in 20 years and well over $150 billion in value was lost from the funds.
Back then, stories abounded of Australians being forced to postpone their retirement plans due to the poor returns of their super funds. It prompted an unprecedented number of people to shift their assets into self-managed super funds to see if they could do a better job the jury is out on that because there is no proper data available.
Whatever the case, funds have been clawing their way back since the dark days of the GFC, but with the debt issues plaguing the US and Europe, and the stronger markets such as Germany not getting caught up in the contagion, it looks like the bull market has gone into hibernation and the bears are out in full force.
Paul Keating, who was treasurer when compulsory super was introduced, came out last week and said as much. In an interview published as the industry celebrated 20 years of the super guarantee, Keating said: "One of the problems super has is that there is not enough members' money invested in debt instruments. Funds are too heavily weighted in equities [and] not enough in fixed interest."
Most people think a balanced fund is 50 per cent growth (shares, property, alternatives, private equity, infrastructure) and 50 per cent defensive (cash, fixed interest, bonds).
Some funds masquerade as balanced but they are 85 per cent growth and 15 per cent defensive, according to financial adviser Matthew Ross from Roskow Independent Advisory.
Ross cites a few super funds that he believes are not offering balanced options, but say they are. "This is an issue that really gets under my skin . . . AustralianSuper's balanced fund is 85 per cent growth, 15 per cent defensive. This is not balanced. Hostplus balanced fund is 76 per cent growth. REST's core strategy is 75 per cent growth and Catholic Super is 68 per cent growth," he says. "They're high-growth funds, calling themselves balanced. Higher risk equals higher reward. So, the more risk they take in the balanced fund the more return they can boast about but they're taking risks consumers aren't aware of."
ChantWest does its own reclassification of funds. In the case of MTAA's balanced fund, which was one of the worst performers in recent years, ChantWest puts it in the high-growth option due to the high-risk nature of some of it assets.
But even the defensive category might not be as conservative as some funds would have us believe. For instance, when it comes to cash, some funds that invest in cash-plus and cash-enhanced funds, are investing in things other than cash. Such funds offer better returns than straight cash by investing in shares and property as well as bank bills and fixed-interest securities, but they are much higher risk and some investors don't realise this.
Fixed interest can also be deceptive. While some fixed-interest products might be AAA-rated Australian government bonds, others are junk bonds, including insurance-linked securities, which are a euphemism for catastrophe bonds.
The reality is funds need to provide clearer definitions for what they are investing in and there needs to be a greater focus on how to get super funds to invest in low-risk, steady regulated returns of certain infrastructure classes.
With an infrastructure backlog of $32 billion last year, and more than $700 billion that needs to be spent in the next 10 years to return the quality that will sustain national prosperity, infrastructure bonds should be considered.
While they are not the panacea for the country's worsening congestion, bottlenecks and electricity outages, they would help super funds realign their balanced portfolios.
The government also needs to look at finding other ways to tap the country's super funds.
In the case of super funds, the average Australian fund allocates 29 per cent of its portfolio in Australian shares and 11 per cent in Australian fixed-interest products but only 5 or 6 per cent to infrastructure.
If funds lifted their infrastructure allocations to 15 per cent, a further $240 billion could be made available to the sector over the coming 13 years, or $18 billion a year. But a deterrent is the lack of certainty about the long-term pipeline of investment opportunities.
There is something else that could be considered: allow individuals to use their accumulated super fund balance towards the purchase of owner-occupied housing. It might not be a balanced fund, but it is something worth considering.
aferguson@fairfaxmedia.com.au
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Why did Australian super funds fall into the red at the start of the new financial year?
ChantWest and SuperRatings data show a sharp equities bloodbath left super funds down after equities fell more than 11% since June 30. Weak equity markets pushed the median balanced fund down 1.4% in July and as much as 5% since June 30, hitting retirement savings across many funds.
Are ‘balanced’ super funds really a 50/50 split between growth and defensive assets?
Not always. While many people think a balanced fund is about 50% growth and 50% defensive assets, some funds labelled ‘balanced’ are much heavier in growth. Financial adviser Matthew Ross points out examples such as AustralianSuper (85% growth), Hostplus (76% growth), REST (75% growth core strategy) and Catholic Super (68% growth), so members should check the actual growth vs defensive split.
How can defensive options like ‘cash’ or ‘fixed interest’ be misleading in super funds?
Some cash-plus or cash-enhanced products invest in more than straight cash—they can include shares and property to boost returns, which raises risk. Likewise, fixed-interest allocations can range from AAA-rated government bonds to riskier ‘junk’ bonds or insurance-linked (catastrophe) securities. The article says funds need clearer definitions so members understand what they’re really invested in.
Would investing more super money in infrastructure bonds help reduce portfolio risk?
The article argues infrastructure bonds are a strong option for low-risk, steady regulated returns. With an infrastructure backlog of $32 billion and about $700 billion needed over the next 10 years, the average fund currently allocates only 5–6% to infrastructure. If funds increased that to 15% it could free about $240 billion for the sector over 13 years (roughly $18 billion a year), helping rebalance portfolios away from equities.
What practical checks should everyday investors do to assess their super fund’s risk?
Look at the fund’s asset allocation and the actual percentages in growth (shares, property, alternatives) versus defensive (cash, fixed interest, bonds). Check what ‘cash’ and ‘fixed interest’ actually hold, and review independent classifications (for example ChantWest’s reclassifications) or ratings from SuperRatings to see if a ‘balanced’ option is higher risk than it sounds.
How did the global financial crisis change views about super fund risk and member behaviour?
During the GFC the industry suffered its worst 20‑year performance, with more than $150 billion wiped from funds. Many Australians postponed retirement and a noticeable number moved to self-managed super funds (SMSFs) hoping for better outcomes—though the article notes there’s no clear data proving SMSFs outperformed.
What do experts like former treasurer Paul Keating recommend for superannuation investment strategy?
Paul Keating is quoted saying one problem is too much member money in equities and not enough in debt instruments or fixed interest. He and others argue funds should boost allocations to lower‑risk debt and regulated-return assets to reduce volatility for retirees.
Could allowing people to use their super balance for owner-occupied housing be a solution?
The article suggests it’s an idea worth considering. Allowing individuals to use accumulated super for owner-occupied housing isn’t presented as a complete fix for portfolio balance, but it’s noted as a possible option the government could explore to better tap super assets.