ASIA is most likely to come to mind when fund managers look to send some of Australia's $1.3 trillion in superannuation funds abroad.
Yet with Australia's economy joined at the hip to Asia's growth, one Brazilian asset management group is talking up the benefit of Latin America's growth cycle for the local super-fund sector.
Itau Asset Management, owned by Itau-Unibanco, has been touring the offices of some of Australia's largest super funds touting the "mature" consumer-led developing economies of South America as an alternative to investment-fuelled growth in Asia.
Itau global head of institutional clients Roberto Nishikawa admits Latin America has a low profile as an investment destination in Australia. When Australians think of Latin America, they assume growth is wrapped up solely around the commodities sector, but the real potential for Latin America lies in its rising consumer activity, he says.
"There is a something very important going on in Latin America with this demographic of a huge middle class growing," Mr Nishikawa told BusinessDay.
The nation's swelling middle class has driven the growth of the consumer sector, as well. "In Brazil alone by 2014, we're going to have close to 150 million in high and middle-income people. Because of this, the local-related domestic demand sectors are growing much more than the GDP."
Of Brazil's population of nearly 200 million, the share of middle-class people rose from 79.2 million in 2003 to 114.8 million in 2009.
Brazil, home to BHP Billiton's mining rival Vale, derived only 12 per cent of its GDP from commodities in 2011 compared with 28 per cent for Australia in the same time.
Itau is doing the rounds of Australia's superannuation funds to win investments into its $US500 million Latin American equities fund, with a local version of the fund launched in November last year. Itau's Australia Latin America Fund has risen 10.5 per cent since January, outpacing the benchmark MSCI LatAm 10/40 Index's 3.3 per cent.
While the stocks held in the equities funds may not exactly be household names in Australia Chile's CFR Pharmaceuticals or Peru's grocery and pharmacy chain InRetail they are centred on the elusive domestic growth that has yet to emerge fully in China after years of investment-led expansion.
As Australia's reliance on Asia for growth brings with it the risk of a regional slowdown for Australian shares, more funds may see the value of linking some returns to a South American cycle. While analysts fear China's growth may not have reached the bottom of its cycle at 7.6 per cent in the year to June, it's expected that growth in Brazil one of five countries in the LatAm fund will rise next year driven by rate cuts and infrastructure building from 0.5 per cent in the year to June to 4 per cent next year.
About 32 per cent of super funds is now invested in Australian equities, and only 23 per cent is in international equities, according to SuperRatings.
There was no doubt the mandated growth of super funds had made them overreliant on Australia, said Superratings managing director Jeff Bresnahan. "By definition, that means we will have to look for a much more diversified approach," he said.
Funds tended to be conservative when moving into emerging markets, he said, which required substantial research on the part of the super fund.
"There was a real business risk for funds to go out on a limb and start making these investments in a large way," he said.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What is Itau Asset Management pitching to Australian superannuation funds about investing in Latin America?
Itau Asset Management, part of Itau-Unibanco, is promoting Latin America as an alternative investment destination for Australian super funds — highlighting mature, consumer-led developing economies and offering a US$500 million Latin American equities fund (a local version launched in November).
Why might everyday investors consider Latin American equities for superannuation diversification?
The article explains that Latin America offers rising consumer demand and a growing middle class, providing exposure to domestic-growth sectors that differ from Australia’s heavy reliance on Asia and commodities — making it a potential diversification option for super funds worried about a regional slowdown in Asia.
How has the Itau Australia Latin America Fund performed compared with its benchmark?
According to the article, Itau’s Australia Latin America Fund rose 10.5% since January, outperforming the MSCI LatAm 10/40 Index benchmark, which rose 3.3% over the same period.
Which Latin American companies are mentioned as examples inside the equities fund?
The article mentions Chile’s CFR Pharmaceuticals and Peru’s grocery and pharmacy chain InRetail as examples of the domestic-focused companies held in the Latin American equities fund, and references Brazil’s Vale when discussing the region.
What demographic trends in Brazil support the case for consumer-led growth?
The article cites a rising Brazilian middle class — from 79.2 million people in 2003 to 114.8 million in 2009 — and notes a projection of close to 150 million high- and middle-income people by 2014, which is driving expansion in domestic-demand sectors.
How much of Australian super funds is invested domestically versus internationally?
SuperRatings data in the article states about 32% of super fund assets are invested in Australian equities, while around 23% are invested in international equities.
What are the main risks and cautions for super funds moving into Latin American or other emerging markets?
The article warns that funds tend to be conservative entering emerging markets, requiring substantial research. SuperRatings’ managing director Jeff Bresnahan noted a real business risk for funds to make large commitments without careful due diligence.
Could investing in South America help protect Australian portfolios from an Asian slowdown?
The article suggests some fund managers see value in linking returns to a South American cycle as a hedge against an Asia slowdown — for example, Brazil’s growth was expected to pick up from 0.5% to about 4% next year due to rate cuts and infrastructure — but diversification should be balanced with careful research and risk management.