Pressure grows on Britain to exit bailed-out banks
The three stalwarts of the British establishment - Justin Welby, Nigel Lawson and Mervyn King - are all calling for the break-up of the part-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland. They are part of a growing debate in Britain about what to do with the bank and its rival, Lloyds, which received more than $US103 billion combined in bailouts during the financial crisis.
Nearly five years after British taxpayers first took stakes in the lenders, the government is preparing to reduce its holdings before the next election, expected early in 2015. The government owns 81 per cent of RBS and 39 per cent of Lloyds.
Yet, unlike the share sales in financial giants like Citigroup that allowed the US government to make a profit, the prospective offerings in Britain may be more difficult.
The two banks are still cleaning up their balance sheets and selling unwanted assets that could put off new investors. Both continue to come under pressure to increase lending to the struggling economy. And the timing of any share sale, which could come as early as next year, may lead to losses for British taxpayers - potentially angering voters.
Elisabeth Rudman, an analyst with credit rating firm DBRS, said the two British banks were in much worse shape than their American counterparts. RBS was not only burdened by its participation in the acquisition of the Dutch lender ABN Amro, but it had large exposure to imploding real estate markets such as Ireland.
The critical element in the government's effort to shed its banks stakes is timing. Later this month, George Osborne, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, will present his strategy to return the two banks to the private sector. His plan will come soon after the findings of a parliamentary committee that will outline how the firms could be privatised.
Many of the committee members are calling for the break-up of RBS to carve out the most risky assets.
"I get confused by all the talk about waiting," said Ian Gordon, an analyst with Investec in London, adding that the British government should sell the stakes tomorrow. "Can we sell the shares now? Of course we can."
The fortunes of the two banks have improved since their bailouts.
RBS has been gradually digging itself out of its ill-judged ABN Amro acquisition in 2007. The bank has shed billions of dollars from its balance sheet and cut about 40,000 jobs over the past five years. It has also slashed its investment banking operations, which came under scrutiny this year after RBS was forced to pay a $US612 million fine connected to the Libor rate-rigging scandal.
For any prospective share sale in the two banks to be a success, the government must convince voters that the offerings would benefit the economy after taxpayers spent billions to rescue the two lenders.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
The UK government plans to reduce its holdings in the two rescued banks and return them to the private sector. At the time of the article the government owned about 81% of Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and 39% of Lloyds, and officials were preparing a privatisation strategy ahead of the next election.
Senior figures—including the Archbishop of Canterbury, former chancellor Nigel Lawson and ex‑Bank of England governor Mervyn King—have urged a break‑up of RBS to isolate its riskiest assets. Parliamentary committee members are also pushing to carve out problem businesses to make the bank easier and safer to sell back to private investors.
Together RBS and Lloyds received more than US$103 billion in government bailouts during the financial crisis, money British taxpayers provided to stabilise the banks.
The banks were still cleaning up their balance sheets and selling unwanted assets, which can put off new investors. They also faced pressure to increase lending to the struggling economy, and the timing of any share sale could affect valuations and potentially lead to losses for taxpayers and investors.
George Osborne, the Chancellor, was scheduled to present a strategy detailing how the government would return RBS and Lloyds to the private sector. His plan was expected soon after a parliamentary committee issued findings on possible privatisation approaches.
Yes. The article notes RBS in particular had been improving by shedding billions from its balance sheet, cutting about 40,000 jobs over five years, scaling back investment banking operations and addressing legacy issues such as the costly ABN Amro acquisition and a US$612 million Libor‑related fine.
Timing is critical: selling when banks are still repairing balance sheets or when market conditions are weak could mean the government realises a loss on its investment, potentially angering voters who paid for the bailouts. Convincing the public that any sale benefits the wider economy is therefore important.
Investors should monitor progress on balance‑sheet cleanups, asset disposals, the banks' lending performance to the economy, parliamentary recommendations on restructuring (especially any break‑up plans), and the government's timetable for share sales—since these factors will influence risk and valuation.

