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Market holds on to shred of optimism

The big miners and high-yielding stocks such as the banks and Telstra have cushioned Australia's sharemarket from falls on Wall Street amid the US government's lingering showdown.
By · 4 Oct 2013
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4 Oct 2013
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The big miners and high-yielding stocks such as the banks and Telstra have cushioned Australia's sharemarket from falls on Wall Street amid the US government's lingering showdown.

The ASX joined other Asian markets in keeping in positive territory, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index firming 19.3 points, or 0.4 per cent, to 5234.9.

This is despite the ongoing US government shutdown, which fed fears of an American debt default and sparked heavy losses in the US and Europe in overnight trade.

But Australia and Asia shouldn't be too smug. Arab Bank Australia treasury dealer David Scutt said whatever optimism was spreading across the region was "running on the smell of an oily rag".

He said volumes were thin, and the longer the US shutdown ran, the worse it was for the global economy.

"If this is a protracted process, it's negative for the global growth outlook, particularly leading into the debt ceiling negotiations."

A meeting between US President Barack Obama and key Republicans failed to break the budget impasse, instead the leaders of the world's biggest economy only blamed each other for the deadlock.

Although there was appetite for higher-yielding stocks, such as the banks, Mr Scutt said the tide could turn if there was, as widely expected, another interest rate cut before the end of of the year, which would drain deposits.

National Australia Bank finished 1 per cent higher at $34.89, while Westpac added 0.7 per cent to $32.64. ANZ and Commonwealth Bank firmed 0.2 per cent to $30.96 and 0.04 per cent to $71.70 respectively.

Mining stocks strengthened following a rally in metals prices. BHP Billiton rose 0.8 per cent to finish at $35.60 and Rio also jumped 0.8 per cent to $60.78.

ANZ foreign exchange strategist Andrew Salter said the longer the US shutdown lasted, the more likely the US Federal Reserve was to delay further any trimming to its $US85 billion-a-month asset buying program, which would continue to weaken the US dollar.

"But of course there are other considerations," Mr Salter said. "It's not a one-dimensional issue. If, for example, the financial markets do experience a spike in risk aversion, then it's likely the US dollar will benefit and appreciate against some of the riskier currencies in the world, emerging-market and commodity currencies."
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