InvestSMART

Lending Banks wary over cheap credit

The Reserve Bank has sent Australia's banks a blunt message not to lower lending standards, urging the sector to behave cautiously while official interest rates are at their lowest level in more than half a century.
By · 18 Sep 2013
By ·
18 Sep 2013
comments Comments
The Reserve Bank has sent Australia's banks a blunt message not to lower lending standards, urging the sector to behave cautiously while official interest rates are at their lowest level in more than half a century.

With debate raging over the resurgent housing market, minutes from this month's Reserve Bank board meeting show members discussed the risks posed by very cheap credit before leaving the cash rate unchanged at 2.5 per cent.

The Reserve also revealed it was closely monitoring the growing trend of borrowing to invest in real estate through do-it-yourself retirement funds.

"In the current environment of low interest rates and slow credit growth, members agreed that it was especially important that banks maintained prudent lending standards," said the minutes, published on Tuesday.

The central bank also saw the trend towards geared property investment in the $500 billion self-managed super sector as a potential problem as an area in which "households could be starting to take some risk with their finances; members noted that this development would be closely monitored by bank staff".

While the RBA said Australia's financial system was in good health, the comments are likely to fuel the debate over the housing market.

With Sydney auction clearance rates at their highest in a decade and some analysts predicting house price gains of 10 per cent or more this year, real estate is emerging as a key concern for regulators.

HSBC chief economist Paul Bloxham said the booming housing market was likely to influence the central bank's decisions from now on. "It's going to be one of the possible constraints for the RBA to deliver further rate cuts," he said.

Mr Bloxham, a former RBA economist, predicted continuing house price growth in months ahead as the full effects of record low interest rates were felt.

"We are at the early stages of a housing boom," he said. "I would not be surprised if house prices pick up to double-digit rates into the early stages of next year."

Regulators around the world are debating how best to respond to the financial risks created by very cheap debt, and the RBA minutes showed members were also briefed on New Zealand's move to introduce tougher laws.

Some overseas commentators have also stepped up warnings over the property exposure of the nation's banks.

Macquarie banking analyst Mike Wiblin said it was "premature" to be talking about bubbles when housing credit was growing at just 4.7 per cent a year.

Bubble debates aside, house price concerns highlight the balancing act facing the Reserve.

Higher prices are probably needed to encourage more housing development, economists say. But too much price growth threatens to stretch household balance sheets and raise risks for banks.

ANZ chief economist Warren Hogan said the shift in economic activity to non-mining areas had already begun, and the proof was in rising house prices.
Google News
Follow us on Google News
Go to Google News, then click "Follow" button to add us.
Share this article and show your support
Free Membership
Free Membership
InvestSMART
InvestSMART
Keep on reading more articles from InvestSMART. See more articles
Join the conversation
Join the conversation...
There are comments posted so far. Join the conversation, please login or Sign up.