InvestSMART

Hybrids take the Crown for a gamble

The casino is promising a king-sized return but there are better punts around, writes David Potts.
By · 26 Aug 2012
By ·
26 Aug 2012
comments Comments
The casino is promising a king-sized return but there are better punts around, writes David Potts.

You don't have to be in the same frame of mind as its guests to be tempted by Crown Casino's offer paying interest of 8.6 per cent a year. Though it would help.

At least you would instinctively know that it's somehow loaded in the house's favour.

One way or another, that's true of all hybrids - a cross between shares and bonds but with the worst of both.

They trade on the ASX, though you need to hold on to them until they mature or are redeemed to be sure of getting your money back, in return for which the interest drops at the worst time or might not even be paid when things are dire.

They've become popular because of falling rates on term deposits and extremely low yields on bonds. So far this year, $7.5 billion have been issued, each with a better yield, which knocks down the value of their predecessors.

Until recently, your typical hybrid was trading in the red; most of the earlier bank-issued ones still are.

Unfortunately they're no great shakes in difficult markets, which is when you need them. Both their prices and returns were dragged down during the GFC.

Hybrids count as prime capital so it's no surprise that the banks have been churning them out to those who think they're getting something safer than shares with a better income.

Don't think the issuer is doing you any favours just because hybrids pay 2 per cent or 3 per cent more than a term deposit. They're much riskier since there's no government guarantee, and only on a technicality are they marginally safer than shares. When push comes to shove, hybrids are just as dicey without any hope of a decent capital gain.

They can be non-cumulative, too - a fancy term for not paying up. So if an interest payment is missed for whatever reason there's no obligation to make it up later.

The Crown notes are cumulative, but there's a catch: interest can be postponed for up to five years.

All right, I'm being pernickety. So how about that 8.6 per cent, eh?

Well, it varies each quarter, but the 5 percentage points over the bank-bill rate makes it the jackpot of hybrids, so to speak.

APA Group and Caltex are offering a 4.5 per cent top-up, though the 0.5 per cent discount might be better value considering they don't stop paying just because of some mishap like too much debt.

The earliest these hybrids can mature is five to six years - the option is theirs, not yours - and by then, interest rates are likely to have risen, lifting the yield further.

Even so, compare them with CBA shares, which pay the same after the 30 per cent credit from franking. Over time, its dividend should grow, too, considering the bank makes a record profit every year.

Or there's Bendigo and Adelaide Bank yielding just under 11 per cent.

Follow David on Twitter @moneypotts

Google News
Follow us on Google News
Go to Google News, then click "Follow" button to add us.
Share this article and show your support
Free Membership
Free Membership
InvestSMART
InvestSMART
Keep on reading more articles from InvestSMART. See more articles
Join the conversation
Join the conversation...
There are comments posted so far. Join the conversation, please login or Sign up.

Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

Hybrids are securities that sit between shares and bonds: they trade on the ASX, pay regular interest-like distributions, and count as prime capital for issuers. For investors they can offer higher income than term deposits or bonds, but you usually need to hold them until they mature or are redeemed to be confident of getting your capital back. Hybrids can be risky—returns and prices can fall in stressed markets and some features can limit payments.

Hybrids have surged in popularity because term deposit rates and bond yields have been very low, driving investors to seek better income. According to the article, about $7.5 billion of hybrids have been issued so far this year, with new issues offering higher yields that attract buyers.

No — not necessarily. Hybrids typically pay 2–3 percentage points more than term deposits, but there's no government guarantee. Technically they may be marginally safer than shares in some respects, but in practice they can be just as dicey in bad markets and offer little chance of capital gain.

Crown’s notes are being advertised at about 8.6% a year, though the coupon varies each quarter and is roughly 5 percentage points over the bank-bill rate. The notes are cumulative (so missed payments can be owing), but interest can be postponed for up to five years, which is an important risk consideration despite the high headline yield.

Non‑cumulative hybrids can skip interest payments with no legal obligation to make them up later. Cumulative hybrids generally record unpaid distributions as owing, but as the article notes even cumulative issues — like Crown’s — can include clauses allowing interest to be postponed for long periods (Crown: up to five years).

When issuers bring new hybrids to market with better yields, it pushes down the value of earlier hybrids. The article points out that this year’s higher‑yield issuance has knocked down the prices of predecessors, and many older bank‑issued hybrids have been trading in the red.

The article suggests comparing yields and risks: for example, CBA shares can deliver a similar return after a 30% franking credit and may offer dividend growth over time, while Bendigo and Adelaide Bank shares were yielding just under 11%. APA Group and Caltex are offering a 4.5% top‑up on their hybrids (with a 0.5% discount to Crown), and the author notes those may be better value if they have fewer payment‑suspension risks.

Key things to check are the earliest maturity/redemption dates and who holds the option to redeem. Many hybrids can only be called or mature in five to six years and the call option is usually the issuer’s, not yours. That means you may be locked in through changing interest rate cycles and could face reinvestment or price risk when the issuer decides whether to redeem.