How investors burned a hole in the housing market

Slowing lending growth suggests the housing market will soon reach its cyclical peak. Subsiding investor activity will leave a void in the market, and it's unlikely it will be filled.

Lending growth continues to moderate, suggesting that the housing market will soon reach its cyclical peak. Unfortunately, with owner-occupier and investor activity so high and the broader economy much weaker, we run the risk of a housing downturn that exceeds the 2008 and 2011-12 episodes.


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