Eastern suburbs results lead recovery
The city's housing sector, which for two years struggled with falling house prices and grim predictions of an ongoing slump, appears to be recovering on the back of strong auction sales and rising prices in the eastern suburbs.
The Real Estate Institute of Victoria says Melbourne's median house price hit a new peak of $562,000 after rising 2.4 per cent, seasonally adjusted, in the June quarter.
The turnaround is being attributed to the record low interest rate and improving confidence in the health of the property market that has come despite signs the Victorian economy is weak.
"There is no doubt the market has recovered. After two quarters of growth it's clear the recovery is sustained but it's also a positive that the growth is much more moderate than in the previous two cycles where the sharp price rises weren't sustainable," REIV spokesman Robert Larocca said.
"It does make it easier for buyers planning to purchase over spring and summer because they are not walking into a rapidly rising market where their expectations could be confounded."
Upmarket eastern locales such has Hawthorn East, Glen Iris, Malvern East and Kew have topped the list of the city's best performers after posting price growth of more than 20 per cent. Each of these suburbs - which now have median prices of $1.2 million to $1.51 million - experienced price rises of up to $315,000 over the quarter.
More tempered rises were witnessed in many other inner and middle-ring suburbs, which experts attribute to the renewed strength of the auction market over the past six months. The clearance rate has averaged about 70 per cent in the three months to June, 10 percentage points higher than at the same time last year.
Buyer's advocate Catherine Cashmore said investor activity had picked up considerably in the inner and middle suburbs, with renewed competition encouraging buyers to pay above what comparable sales would warrant.
"A lot of this is down to the nature of auctions. Buyers, who can see that competition and keep missing out, are deciding to pay that little bit more so they don't miss out again," she said.
"Auction markets are quite destructive to buyers because they push prices higher than if you were negotiating behind closed doors."
The REIV also reports that Melbourne's median house price rose by a strong 8.4 per cent in the year to June, making it one of the strongest performances recorded in years.
But MacroBusiness economist Leith van Onselen cautioned that while the market was recovering, the REIV's estimate of the rate of growth was likely "unrealistic".
"This 8.4 per cent jump over the year is double what has been found by every other data provider, which use much more sophisticated methodologies that adjust for the different types and prices of dwellings that are sold," he said.
cvedelago@theage.com.au
Twitter: @chrisvedelago
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Yes. According to the article, Melbourne has bounced back and regained the ground lost in the 2010–12 slump. The Real Estate Institute of Victoria (REIV) reported the median house price hit a new peak of $562,000 after a 2.4% seasonally adjusted rise in the June quarter.
The recovery is being attributed to record low interest rates, improving confidence in the property market, stronger auction sales and rising prices in the eastern suburbs. The article also notes renewed investor activity and a higher auction clearance rate have helped push prices up.
Upmarket eastern suburbs led the recovery. Hawthorn East, Glen Iris, Malvern East and Kew posted price growth of more than 20%, with median prices now between about $1.2 million and $1.51 million and quarter-on-quarter rises of up to $315,000 in some cases.
The REIV reported that Melbourne's median house price rose 8.4% in the year to June, making it one of the stronger annual performances recorded, in addition to the 2.4% seasonally adjusted rise in the June quarter.
The auction market has strengthened: the three-month clearance rate to June averaged about 70%, roughly 10 percentage points higher than a year earlier. The article explains auctions can create competition that pushes buyers to pay above comparable sales so they don't miss out, which tends to lift prices compared with private negotiations.
REIV spokesman Robert Larocca said the recovery appears sustained but is more moderate than past sharp cycles, which should make it easier for buyers planning to buy over spring and summer because they are less likely to face a rapidly rising market. Still, buyers should be aware auctions and renewed competition can push prices higher.
Not entirely. The article reports that MacroBusiness economist Leith van Onselen cautioned the REIV's 8.4% annual jump may be unrealistic and is about double what other data providers have found. He said other providers use more sophisticated methods that adjust for different dwelling types and prices.
Investor activity has picked up in inner and middle suburbs, with competition encouraging some buyers to pay more. Investors should note stronger auction clearance rates and suburban winners, but also heed warnings about measurement differences in reported growth and the potential for auctions to inflate prices.

