Coalition's NBN speed forecasts are on the right track

Bandwidth demand forecasts need to be much more subtle than simply punting on past trends. A fact that some fibre-to-the-premises advocates have conveniently forgotten.

The Vertigan Panel has, on behalf of the Government, recently published a cost benefit analysis of various approaches to the NBN. One input to their work was a forecast of Australian bandwidth needs prepared by my firm. We found that by 2023 the top five per cent of households would require at least 43 Mbps, and the median household would require 15 Mbps.

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