Intelligent Investor

Challenger Infrastructure Fund

By · 25 Jul 2012
By ·
25 Jul 2012 · 2 min read
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Recommendation

Challenger Infrastructure Fund - CIF
Buy
below 1.25
Hold
up to 1.36
Sell
above 1.36
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $1.33
Current price
$1.26 at 07:01 (02 January 2013)

Price at review
$1.33 at (25 July 2012)

Max Portfolio Weighting
5%

Business Risk
Low

Share Price Risk
Low
All Prices are in AUD ($)

A 31-page ‘Notice of Meeting and Explanatory Memorandum’ will land in the letterboxes of Challenger Infrastructure Fund securityholders soon. A meeting is scheduled for 15 August to decide on the fund’s future. You’re being asked to vote on a ‘sale of the main undertaking’, which means the sale of Inexus and consequent winding up of CIF with all net proceeds returned to securityholders. We outlined the sale and wind up in greater detail in CIF: Inexus sale boost of 26 Jun 12 (Hold – $1.29). Management and the board have done an excellent job extracting value for owners—reflected by total shareholder returns approaching 50% over the past year versus negative returns from the broader market—and the proposal is in the best interest of owners. So we suggest you vote in favour. For those wishing to vote online or via post, proxy forms must be received by 11am on 13 August.

A bigger question is what to do now? There is an argument for selling on the market today. Ignoring the yet-to-be paid 5-cent final distribution, which has already traded ex-distribution and will be paid in late August, the only guaranteed payment from the wind up (assuming the proposal is passed as expected) is a $1.28 initial distribution in October. There’s the possibility of a further 12 or 13 cent final distribution at the end of the year (or possibly in instalments) but that is contingent on Inexus rolling its debts successfully in August. At the current price of $1.33, at least part of that second distribution is being priced into the stock. There’s probably enough remaining marrow to justify holding on for now but, all things being equal, we’re likely to downgrade to sell around $1.36. Those with more pressing uses for their cash might consider selling today, but our recommendation remains HOLD for now.

Note: The model Income and Growth portfolios own Challenger Infrastructure Fund securities.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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