Intelligent Investor

ASX: Result 2017

ASX's latest result wasn't a riveting read, but shareholders won't be complaining.
By · 23 Aug 2017
By ·
23 Aug 2017 · 5 min read
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Recommendation

ASX Limited - ASX
Buy
below 50.00
Hold
up to 70.00
Sell
above 70.00
Buy Hold Sell Meter
HOLD at $54.54
Current price
$62.98 at 16:40 (26 April 2024)

Price at review
$54.54 at (23 August 2017)

Max Portfolio Weighting
8%

Business Risk
Medium-Low

Share Price Risk
Medium
All Prices are in AUD ($)

ASX has turned out one of the duller results of the current reporting season, with 2% increases in revenue and net profit. But it was nonetheless an impressive performance, given that equity capital raised fell 29% and the value of trading on the ASX rose only 2%.

Key Points

  • Revenue and profit up 2%

  • In spite of a 29% fall in capital raised

  • DLT on track for December decision

Against that backdrop, it's somewhat surprising that cash market trading saw the strongest growth among ASX's business units, with a revenue increase of 13% to $46m. The move reflects the continued shift of trading onto ASX's own ‘dark pool', Centre Point, which saw its value traded rise 36%. That took it to 8.6% of value traded in 2017, up from 6.6%.

Even within Centre Point, there's a shift towards more specialist trade types (see Chart 1). Because of the flexibility it offers, Centre Point enjoys higher margins than the main market, and that shows up in the increase in ASX's average trading fee from 0.33 bps (basis points, or one hundredth of a per cent) to 0.37 bps of traded value.

Technical services revenue increased 8%, to $67m, thanks to an increase in service connections and a 23% increase in the number of customer cabinets at the ASX's Australian Liquidity Centre. Information services rose 3% to $83m, supported by ASX's appointment as the administrator for the BBSW interest rate benchmark.

These three areas, which come together as ‘Trading Services', saw their revenue increase a healthy 7% to $196m.

The laggard was Listings and Issuer services, which saw flat revenues of $193m. But that was a decent performance given the 29% fall in capital raised. The number of IPOs, however, actually increased (from 124 to 152), and this supported revenues since smaller IPOs pay a higher level of fees per dollar raised.

OTC soars

Derivatives and OTC Markets – the largest division – saw a 1% revenue increase, to $269m, driven by a 4% increase in futures volumes, offset by a 2% fall in the average fee per contract. There was another excellent contribution from OTC clearing, where the notional value cleared reached $5.2 trillion, from a standing start in 2013 and almost double the level of 2016.

The final and smallest division, Equity Post-Trade Services – which does the clearing and settlement for sharemarket trades – increased revenue by 2% to $104m, with a 7% rise in Settlement revenues (to $51m) offset by a 2% fall in Clearing revenues (to $53m). Both areas benefitted from the increased number of trades being conducted on ASX Centre Point, as opposed to off-market, but the Clearing performance was particularly notable because it came despite a 10% fee reduction.

Table 1: ASX 2017 result
Year to Jun ($m) 2017 2016 /(–)
(–)
Listings and Issuer Serv. rev. 193 193 0
Derivs and OTC Mkts rev. 269 266 1
Trading Services 196 183 7
Equity Post-Trade Serv. Rev. 104 102 2
Total op. rev. 764 746 2
Op. expenses 227 213 6
Op. profit 537 533 1
Net profit 434 426 2
EPS (c) 225 220 2
DPS (c) 202 198 2
*Final div. of 99.8c, fully franked, up 2%, ex date 7 Sep

Operating expenses rose 6% – in line with guidance – mostly due to a 4% increase in staff numbers, mainly in business development and technology.

That meant a 2% rise in net profit to $434m and the same increase in earnings per share, to 224.5 cents. Capital expenditure came to $50m, in line with guidance, and that left free cash flow of $421m, or 97% of net profit. The final dividend has been increased by 1% to 99.8 cents, making $2.018 for the full year, 2% ahead of 2016 and in line with the targeted 90% payout ratio.

DLT on track

Management said it is having a third party review its proposed distributed ledger technology (DLT) replacement for the CHESS system, particularly as regards its security features, and it remains on track to make a decision on the new system in December. If it's approved, details of the system will be published in March 2018 for a further round of consultation.

Low single digit growth is again expected for 2018, which would put the stock on a forward price-earnings ratio of about 24 and fully franked dividend yield of 3.8%. That's not quite cheap enough for a Buy but it's plenty to encourage existing shareholders to HOLD.

Note: The Intelligent Investor Growth Portfolio and Equity Income Portfolio own shares in ASX. You can find out about investing directly in Intelligent Investor and InvestSMART portfolios by clicking here.

IMPORTANT: Intelligent Investor is published by InvestSMART Financial Services Pty Limited AFSL 226435 (Licensee). Information is general financial product advice. You should consider your own personal objectives, financial situation and needs before making any investment decision and review the Product Disclosure Statement. InvestSMART Funds Management Limited (RE) is the responsible entity of various managed investment schemes and is a related party of the Licensee. The RE may own, buy or sell the shares suggested in this article simultaneous with, or following the release of this article. Any such transaction could affect the price of the share. All indications of performance returns are historical and cannot be relied upon as an indicator for future performance.
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