InvestSMART

With free money on offer, we ought to seize the day and think global

It may not grow on trees, but now is the season for free money. Cash is king. Since last week's column, I've been to London and back to attend a board meeting, and I have been reminded all over again about how small this world is and how the cost of money drives opportunities right around the globe, no matter where we live.
By · 9 Feb 2013
By ·
9 Feb 2013
comments Comments
It may not grow on trees, but now is the season for free money. Cash is king. Since last week's column, I've been to London and back to attend a board meeting, and I have been reminded all over again about how small this world is and how the cost of money drives opportunities right around the globe, no matter where we live.

And the world of media and marketing is become smaller as well, with Bauer, the German magazine company, taking full control of The Australian Women's Weekly and all the ACP stable of magazines. And as we already know, two big American hedge funds now control the Nine Network.

In the case of my own company, we have already rolled our business interests into the London-based Aegis, and in the process become its second-biggest shareholder. This global expansion will extend further as Aegis shortly becomes part of the Dentsu company of Japan.

Make no mistake, the Australian media scene will continue to become more and more a part of a global industry.

Charlie, our resident oracle, who has picked every economic change in the past two decades, has always seen the world as a very small place and it's the reason why he has developed his green credentials so assiduously.

He knows that our future depends on a sustainable green natural environment, as well as the health and well-being of the greenback.

And money is where the action is at the moment. Charlie sees a clear trend in all the "free money" that is driving some of the biggest global deals the world has seen.

These transactions are being done in currencies where the borrowing costs are almost nil. This effectively free finance, which provides a billion dollars at less than 1 per cent, means that we can expect dramatic changes in ownership.

Gone are the days when good family housekeeping, of being debt-free and living on dad's weekly pay envelope was a useful model for business growth and development.

Remember the thrill of opening that pay packet, a brown envelope with real money inside - notes and coins down to the last cent, or penny or farthing, depending on how old you are. And how you had to immediately turn it over to mum for her to deduct your board, leaving just enough for a couple of mixed grills, and a half-dozen packets of Craven A.

And if you were married, then the pay packet went to your wife.

And then of course there was the "other" envelope, the overtime cash, or "mad money" as we called it, which allowed for a little Corio whisky and a punt or two.

But those days are over, even if the lady of the house now runs the online banking, as she does in most households today.

Nevertheless, it is clear that we can expect a volatile world. Australian companies should be proactive and take the game on, rather than just sit back and be overtaken.

We have much in our favour. Our dollar is strong, our people are among the best in the world, our banks are better than most, our regulators are vigilant and flexible, and despite any other headlines in the rest of the paper, the economy is in good shape.

Just go to Europe and you'll see the difference. I did it with our family enterprise and became part of the rest of the world of media.

Kerry Stokes did it with his Caterpillar enterprise in China. Rupert Murdoch has done it for decades. Our great mining companies, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton, have been leading the way globally for half a century.

The world is changing on two axis. The first is that the world's predominant wealth will be generated in our region within a decade. The other is that since 2000 the media has become a digital world, and that means anything can be invented anywhere. I'm fond of reminding people that Google Maps came from two clever people in Sydney.

Charlie reckons that we are facing our best opportunity since the gold rush, to take control of our own destiny and use the availability of free money to expand Australian business interests as we have never done before.
Google News
Follow us on Google News
Go to Google News, then click "Follow" button to add us.
Share this article and show your support
Free Membership
Free Membership
InvestSMART
InvestSMART
Keep on reading more articles from InvestSMART. See more articles
Join the conversation
Join the conversation...
There are comments posted so far. Join the conversation, please login or Sign up.

Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

“Free money” in the article refers to extremely low borrowing costs in some currencies — effectively near-zero finance that lets buyers borrow large sums (the article notes a billion dollars at less than 1%). That cheap credit is enabling big global deals and ownership changes, so investors should watch how low interest rates and easy finance are reshaping corporate strategy and M&A activity.

The article points out that cheap finance and global capital flows have helped foreign firms and funds take control of Australian media — for example, Bauer taking The Australian Women’s Weekly and US hedge funds controlling the Nine Network. When borrowing is cheap in certain currencies, buyers can fund large acquisitions more easily, accelerating consolidation and cross-border ownership shifts.

Yes — the article argues investors and companies should ‘think global’ and seize the chance offered by cheap capital and a shifting world economy. It highlights Australia’s advantages (strong dollar, skilled people, solid banks and regulators, and a healthy economy) while cautioning that the environment will be volatile, so proactive, well-informed global exposure matters.

The article cites media and resources examples: the author’s business joining London-based Aegis (and then becoming part of Japan’s Dentsu), Rupert Murdoch’s long history of global expansion, Kerry Stokes’ Caterpillar enterprise in China, and major miners Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton — illustrating that media and mining have been leading Australian global expansion.

Everyday investors can respond by keeping an eye on companies pursuing global M&A, considering diversification into firms with credible international strategies, and monitoring currency and interest‑rate exposure. The article encourages being proactive rather than passive — but also recognises increased volatility, so research and risk management remain important.

The article warns of a more volatile world and dramatic ownership changes: risks include integration difficulties, higher leverage if conditions change, currency and interest‑rate exposure, and regulatory scrutiny. Cheap debt can accelerate growth but also magnify losses if economic or financing conditions reverse.

Since 2000 the media industry has become digital, meaning innovation can arise anywhere and small teams can create globally significant products (the article cites Google Maps originating from two people in Sydney). For investors, that implies new global opportunities, faster disruption, and reasons to favor companies that can scale digitally and innovate internationally.

The article suggests a near‑term window to use cheap finance to expand, and highlights two long‑term trends: the region (Asia-Pacific) becoming the predominant generator of wealth within a decade, and the ongoing digitalisation of media since 2000. Investors should watch regional growth dynamics, digital disruption, and how cheap credit influences corporate strategy.