Virgin ready to tame Tiger
The competition regulator has finally cleared the way for Virgin to take control of Tiger after deciding the ultra-budget airline would be "highly likely" to pull out of Australian operations without the deal.
Australian Competition and Consumer Commission chairman Rod Sims said Tiger's large losses over the past six years supported the argument that it was a "failing firm".
"Blocking the acquisition would not serve to protect competition," he said.
Virgin will name an external candidate with domestic aviation experience as Tiger's new boss within the next week. Tiger has been rudderless since Andrew David departed early last month for Jetstar.
The new controlling shareholder is also expected to shift Tiger planes from key routes - such as between Sydney and Melbourne - to those focused on flying leisure passengers to holiday destinations. The Tiger brand will be retained despite damage to its reputation from its forced grounding in 2011.
In a big win for Virgin, the regulator has not imposed conditions on it to expand Tiger's fleet from 11 to 35 over the next five years. Virgin chief executive John Borghetti had threatened to walk away from the deal if the regulator had forced it to grow the loss-making airline at a certain rate. However, Virgin and Tiger's Singaporean parent, whose stake will soon fall to 40 per cent, have committed to increasing the airline's fleet to 23 planes by 2018.
The green light will effectively return Australia to a duopoly between Virgin and Qantas.
Shares in Virgin and Qantas rose by almost 5 per cent and 2 per cent respectively.
The $72 million bid for control of Tiger is central to the plans of Mr Borghetti to set up a dual-branded airline group, which has the advantage of a lower cost base than Qantas and Jetstar.
He said in statement that clearance from the regulator gave it a "real opportunity to provide strong competition in the budget-travel segment and bring further benefits to consumers. We can use our local expertise to build a sustainable budget carrier," he said.
However, Macquarie Equity analysts said Virgin would have its "work cut out" turning around Tiger, which is chalking up annual losses of about $60 million.
"The key outcomes for a turnaround in Tiger's profitability will be a focus on safety, on-time performance and a renewed effort in marketing," they said.
The deal still needs approval from the Foreign Investment Review Board.
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The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission cleared Virgin to take control of Tiger Australia, finding Tiger was "highly likely" to pull out of Australian operations without the deal and describing it as a failing firm. The regulator concluded blocking the acquisition would not protect competition.
Virgin plans to act quickly by appointing an external chief executive with domestic aviation experience for Tiger within about a week, redeploying Tiger planes from unprofitable routes to leisure and holiday routes, and retaining the Tiger brand while improving safety, on-time performance and marketing to rebuild profitability.
Virgin's bid for control of Tiger is reported at $72 million. The deal did not include regulator-imposed conditions to grow Tiger's fleet from 11 to 35 aircraft over five years, but Virgin and Tiger's Singaporean parent have committed to increasing the fleet to 23 planes by 2018, with the Singaporean parent's stake falling to 40 percent.
Tiger has recorded large losses over the past six years and is chalking up annual losses of about $60 million, which the ACCC cited in support of its view that Tiger was a failing firm likely to exit Australia without the takeover.
The clearance effectively returns Australia to a duopoly between Virgin and Qantas. Virgin says the dual-branded group will have a lower cost base than Qantas and Jetstar and can provide stronger competition in the budget-travel segment.
Shares in Virgin rose by almost 5 percent following the clearance, while Qantas shares gained about 2 percent, reflecting market support for the deal's competitive and strategic implications.
Macquarie Equity analysts warned Virgin will have its "work cut out" turning Tiger around, pointing to the need for a renewed focus on safety, on-time performance and stronger marketing to improve profitability.
The deal still needs approval from the Foreign Investment Review Board. Investors should also watch Virgin's appointment of a new Tiger CEO (expected within about a week), progress on the committed fleet increase to 23 planes by 2018, and early signs of improved operational performance on safety and punctuality.

