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Toyota's high hydrogen hopes

The world's top-selling carmaker is confident drivers will embrace hydrogen fuel cell vehicles even more readily than they did hybrids ahead of the release of its first commercial model in Japan next year.
By · 21 Jul 2014
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21 Jul 2014
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AP

Rocket science, long dismissed as too impractical and expensive for everyday cars, is getting a push into the mainstream by Toyota, the world's top-selling carmaker.

Buoyed by its success with electric-petrol hybrid vehicles, Toyota is betting that drivers will embrace hydrogen fuel cells, an even cleaner technology that runs on the energy created by an electrochemical reaction when oxygen in the air combines with hydrogen stored as fuel.

Unlike internal combustion engines which power most vehicles on roads today, a pure hydrogen fuel cell emits no exhaust, only some heat and a trickle of pure water. Fuel cells also boast greater efficiency than the internal combustion process, which expends about two-thirds of the energy in petrol as heat.

Toyota's fuel cell car will go on sale before April next year. Despite advantages that are seemingly compelling, the technology has struggled to move beyond its prototypes after several decades of research and development by industry and backing from governments.

For the auto industry in particular, there have been significant hurdles to commercialisation, including the prohibitive expense of such vehicles.

On top of that, fuelling stations are almost non-existent.

Doubters also quibble about the green credentials of fuel cells because hydrogen is produced from fossil fuels.

But Satoshi Ogiso, the engineer leading the Toyota project, is confident there's a market that will grow in significance over time.

Part of Ogiso's optimism stems from his background. He worked for 20 years on Toyota's Prius hybrid.

The Prius, which has an electric motor in addition to a regular petrol engine, was met with extreme scepticism at the start. But it went on to win over the public as a stylish way to limit the environmental damage of motoring. Worldwide sales of Toyota's hybrids have topped 6 million vehicles since their debut in 1997.

"The environment has become an ever more pressing problem than in 1997," Ogiso said in an interview at the automaker's Tokyo office.

"Hydrogen marks an even bigger step than a hybrid. It is our proposal for a totally new kind of car. If you want to experience this new world, if you want to go green, this is it."

Toyota, which began working on fuel cells in 1992 but won't disclose how much it has invested, is not the first carmaker to produce such a vehicle. Forklifts powered by fuel cells are becoming more common in factories and fuel cell buses have been trialled in some cities.

General Motors has also been working on the technology and Honda Motor already sells the FCX Clarity fuel cell sedan in limited numbers and is planning a new fuel cell car, with a more powerful fuel cell stack, next year.

But Toyota's decision as the world's top-selling carmaker to start commercial production of a fuel cell car is an important boost to the technology's prospects for wider adoption. Its release will also win the carmaker plaudits for corporate responsibility.

"It works to symbolically enhance the automaker's ecological image," said Yoshihiro Okumura, auto analyst at Chiba-gin Asset Management.

Toyota's still-to-be-officially-named vehicle goes on sale in Japan sometime before April 2015, and within a half year after that in the US and Europe.

The four-seater sedan, while sporting an aggressive grille and fluid body curves, looks pretty much like a regular car. Those who have test driven fuel cell vehicles say they have a powerful torque, with quick acceleration, akin to the thrill of driving a sports car. Yet they are quiet like electric cars, purring on the roads with no engine roar.

The planned commercial model will sell for about Y7 million ($73,883).

Initially, Toyota had said the car might cost as much as Y10 million ($105,546). Overseas prices have not yet been announced.

Apart from cost, the other big drawback is lack of hydrogen fuelling stations. Only about 30 of them exist throughout Japan so far, although the government is leading a push to get more built in coming months.

The planned fuel cell runs about 700km on a single hydrogen fuelling.

Toru Hatano, auto analyst at IHS Automotive in Tokyo overseeing powertrains, forecasts that only several thousand fuel cell cars will sell per year globally.

"There really isn't anything good that happens for the consumer by getting a fuel cell," he said, compared to a hybrid's savings on gas consumption.

Beyond that, he said hydrogen is now mostly produced from fossil fuels.

"You are using energy to create hydrogen, and then using more energy to pressurise it for storage, and so overall you aren't saving on energy at all," said Hatano.

But scientists are working on cleaner ways to make hydrogen, and in theory hydrogen is cheap, plentiful and possibly the next-generation fuel for motorists.

Originally published by Associated Press. Reproduced with permission. 

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Yuri Kageyama
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