According to the Greens, the mining industry is 83 per cent foreign-owned. And their anxiety is matched by Senator Barnaby Joyce's worries about foreigners buying up rural land in NSW. But how concerned should we be about "selling off the farm" and what could we do about it?
The Greens' claims have not gone unchallenged. According to the Minerals Council, official figures show mining is actually 71 per cent foreign-owned. The Greens say BHP Billiton is 76 per cent foreign-owned, but the correct figure seems to be 60 per cent.
No one's disputing, however, that Rio Tinto is 83 per cent foreign-owned and Xstrata is totally foreign-owned. And even if the mining industry overall is "only" 71 per cent foreign-owned, that's still a remarkably high proportion.
What's more, the funding for the present huge expansion in the mining sector, which is likely to continue for quite a few years, is safe to come mainly from foreigner investors. If so, their share of the ownership of our mining companies is bound to go higher.
So why don't we just pass a law prohibiting foreigners from buying Australian mines and farms - or at least limiting foreign purchases in some way?
Sorry, it ain't that simple. Before we did that, we'd need to be sure we were prepared to pay the price of keeping what's left of Australia in Australian hands.
All spending on new physical investment - whether on homes, business equipment, mines and other structures, or public infrastructure - has to be financed by saving. For every $1 billion we invest this year, the money has to come from somewhere and, in fact, it has to come from us saving $1 billion this year.
The saving can be done by households, by companies retaining some of their after-tax profits, or by governments raising more in revenue than they spend on recurrent purposes. There's just one escape clause: we can also finance our investment spending by using the savings of foreigners.
We can either borrow from them - thereby adding to Australia's foreign debt - or we can sell them some Australian asset: real estate, an existing business, shares bought on the stock exchange or the right to set up a new business with their own money.
If we borrow their savings, the money will have to be repaid in due course, and we'll have to pay interest to them. If, instead, we sell off part of the farm, the after-tax profits the foreigners make from their share of the business will belong to them. They can either reinvest those profits in the business (which will increase the amount of the farm they own) or take them out of the country.
The Greens estimated that, over the next five years, the foreign owners of our mining companies will be entitled to after-tax profits of $265 billion, but will reinvest four dollars in every five, taking home only about $50 billion.
I'm not sure how accurate those figures are, but they do illustrate a point about which everyone agrees: a very high proportion of the big profits foreigners are making from our mining sector is being ploughed back into expanding the sector.
Does all this shock you? It's been going on, year after year, pretty much since white settlement. Because this is a big country packed with natural wealth, but with a relatively small population, Australians have never saved enough to finance all the abundant opportunities for economic development and enrichment.
So we've always invited foreigners - first the British, then the Americans, then the Japanese and now, to some extent, the Chinese - to bring their capital to Australia and join us in fully exploiting our nation's potential.
In other words, we've always been a "capital-importing" country. We've almost always run a surplus on the capital account of our balance of (international) payments, with more foreign capital funds flowing in than Australian capital funds flowing out. These funds include borrowed money and money for the purchase of physical assets and businesses ("equity" capital).
(It's worth remembering, though, that in recent decades we have had a lot of Australian money flowing out as our superannuation funds have invested in foreign shares and bonds, and Australian transnational corporations have expanded abroad. So while the rest of the world has been acquiring more of Australia, we've be acquiring more of the rest of the world.)
If we almost always run a surplus on the capital account of the balance of payments, it follows as a matter of arithmetic that we run an exactly offsetting deficit on the current account of the balance of payments. Thus the capital account surplus allows our exports to exceed our imports and covers the cost of our net payments of interest and dividends to the foreign suppliers of capital.
But why have we always invited foreigners to bring their savings to Australia and participate in the economic development of our nation? Because of our impatience to be richer, our desire to raise our material standard of living.
And because, as part of that, we've always been confident we were getting our fair share of the benefits. Any profits the foreigners make, we tax. Any minerals they extract from our land, we charge them royalties (though, with world commodities prices so high at present, probably not enough, which is what the new mining tax is about). But the benefits of economic activity exceed the profits made. It also generates a lot of jobs, directly and indirectly. Those jobs go mainly to Australians and help feed their families.
We could perhaps borrow more from foreigners so as to reduce their ownership of our real estate and businesses, but there are limits to how far debt can substitute for equity and limits to how much debt the nation should take on.
So if we want to impose new restrictions on how much foreigners own, it's pretty safe to involve less economic development, slower economic growth than we were expecting and a more slowly rising standard of living.
That wouldn't worry me much, but many people would see it differently. Point is: don't imagine restricting foreign ownership would come without a price to be paid.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
How much of Australia's mining industry is foreign-owned, according to the article?
The article notes competing figures: the Greens say the mining industry is 83% foreign-owned, while the Minerals Council points to official figures of about 71%. It also highlights company-level figures mentioned in the piece — Rio Tinto is said to be 83% foreign-owned, Xstrata is described as totally foreign-owned, and the Greens' 76% claim for BHP Billiton is contrasted with a figure that seems closer to 60%.
Why are foreigners buying Australian mines and farms, and should everyday investors be concerned?
The article explains foreigners are supplying much of the capital needed for Australia's big mining expansion because Australians, as a country, haven't saved enough to finance all available investment opportunities. For everyday investors this means higher foreign ownership is largely a funding outcome — not necessarily a sign of loss — but it does raise questions about how much profit gets repatriated versus reinvested locally.
How is the current mining boom being financed, and what role do foreign savings play?
All new physical investment must be financed by saving. The article explains saving can come from households, companies holding back after-tax profits, or governments running surpluses. The 'escape clause' is using foreign savings — either by borrowing (foreign debt) or by selling Australian assets or equity to foreign investors — which is why foreign capital is central to the mining expansion.
What's the difference between borrowing from foreigners and selling them Australian assets?
Borrowing foreign savings increases Australia’s foreign debt and requires future repayment with interest. Selling assets or shares to foreigners hands them a share of after-tax profits: they can reinvest (increasing their ownership) or repatriate earnings. The article highlights this trade-off as central to the foreign ownership debate.
Do foreign owners reinvest mining profits in Australia or take them overseas?
The article cites the Greens' estimate that foreign owners of Australian mining companies might be entitled to about $265 billion of after-tax profits over five years, with roughly four dollars reinvested for every dollar taken home — meaning around $50 billion could be repatriated. While the exact numbers are questioned in the piece, it stresses that a large share of profits tends to be ploughed back into expanding the sector.
Could Australia simply ban foreigners from buying mines and farms?
According to the article, banning foreign purchases isn't that simple. If Australia restricted foreign ownership it would need to be willing to 'pay the price' — namely less economic development, slower growth and a more slowly rising standard of living — unless it could replace foreign equity with domestic saving, which practical limits on debt and saving make difficult.
Do Australians still gain benefits when foreign investors own mines and farms?
Yes. The article points out benefits include taxation of foreign profits, royalties on extracted minerals, and lots of jobs (direct and indirect) that go mainly to Australians. It also notes a policy debate over whether royalties and taxes have been high enough given strong commodity prices — the context for discussions like the mining tax mentioned in the piece.
What does foreign investment mean for Australia's balance of payments and current account?
The article explains that because Australia typically runs a capital-account surplus (more foreign capital flowing in), it runs an offsetting current-account deficit. In plain terms, capital inflows allow the country to finance investment and let exports exceed imports, but they also mean ongoing net payments of interest and dividends to foreign suppliers of capital.