Her social changes are sound, unless you are jobless or a sole parent.
HAVING observed Julia Gillard's government for more than a year, I must say she is hard to pigeon-hole. Is the woman who changed the government's mantra from "working families" to "hard-working families" a typical Labor prime minister, as many business critics of Fair Work believe, or a pale imitation of a Liberal leader, as her willingness to sell uranium to India and her opposition to same-sex marriage lead many critics on the left to conclude? Does she stand up to powerful industries or kowtow to them?
You can make a surprisingly long list of social changes you would expect the Labor heartland to be pretty happy about (even though it seems far from enamoured of its first female federal leader).
The introduction of paid parental leave (which, admittedly, occurred under Kevin Rudd) is an important step in reforming the institutions of the labour market to make them more suited to the needs of the better-educated sex.
Equal pay for women in the community sector remedies an age-old injustice.
Plain packaging for cigarettes is preventive-health reform that leads the world. The international tobacco industry has few friends but very deep pockets to fight the Gillard government with advertising and legal action.
But global tobacco has a fraction of the power the licensed clubs have in opposing compulsory pre-commitment for people using poker machines. Although this issue was forced on Gillard by her lack of a majority, she has yet to waver in her determination to get it passed by Parliament.
Rudd should get most credit for several other social improvements: the national homeless strategy, the national rental affordability scheme (tax breaks for investors in affordable housing) and the first injection of funds into social housing in many a long day.
Rudd started, but Gillard has continued, Labor's many measures to pare back John Howard's middle-class welfare by declaring a family on $150,000 a year to be not rich, but comfortable.
And Gillard has defied the powerful private health insurance industry by continuing Rudd's efforts to get means-testing of the health insurance tax rebate approved by Parliament.
Gillard has committed herself to making the introduction of a national disability insurance scheme her top social reform in the rest of her term. By providing help to people who inherit their disability or acquire it from an accident around the home, this would fill a longstanding gap in our social safety net. It would be a historic advance.
But against all that, there are a couple of areas where Gillard's performance has been anything but what you would expect from Labor.
The first is her education "reforms" copied from the American Republican Party. Trying to "incentivate" school teachers as though they were as money-hungry as chief executives merely insults their professionalism. Providing parents with greater information about the performance of schools is fine, but doing so before summoning the courage to correct the bias in federal school funding in favour of well-off schools risks hanging under-resourced public schools out to dry.
The tax concessions attached to superannuation have long been heavily biased in favour of high-income earners like yours truly. To call them middle-class welfare would be an understatement.
Rather than using the opportunity provided by the decision to phase up compulsory employee contributions from 9 per cent to 12 per cent of salary (a multibillion-dollar gift to the financial services industry) to shift the tax benefit from high to middle and low-income earners, the government will merely use some of the revenue from the mining tax to correct the position where workers on the 15 per cent income tax rate gain NO concession on their contributions.
But the most puzzling and indefensible aspect of Rudd policy continued by Gillard is the mistreatment of sole parents and, more so, people on unemployment benefits. Both groups were explicitly excluded from the over-generous pension increase in 2009.
For many years, age and invalid pensions have been indexed to average earnings, meaning they rise faster than inflation, whereas the dole has been indexed only to inflation. In consequence, the dole paid to single adults is now less than two-thirds of the single pension, a shortfall of $131 a week.
It is also just 45 per cent of the after-tax minimum wage meaning there is little risk its generosity is deterring people from taking a job.
One defence of low unemployment benefits is that most people are not on them for long. But more than half the people on the dole have been on it for a year or more. And the government is also limiting the assistance it gives the long-term unemployed to help them find a job.
This discrimination against the unemployed is now so extreme that the Henry tax review recommended it be corrected. And even the Business Council agrees.
Perhaps Gillard's lack of sympathy for the unemployed arises because, being unable to find a job, they are not hard-working.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What key social reforms has the Gillard government introduced that everyday investors should know about?
The article highlights several Gillard-era social reforms that investors may want to watch: paid parental leave, equal pay moves in the community sector, plain packaging for cigarettes, measures to introduce compulsory pre‑commitment on poker machines, a national homeless strategy, the national rental affordability scheme (which offers tax breaks for investors in affordable housing), new funding for social housing, means‑testing of the private health insurance tax rebate, and a commitment to establish a national disability insurance scheme. Many of these policies affect specific industries and government spending priorities.
How could plain packaging for cigarettes affect tobacco companies and investors?
According to the article, plain packaging is a world‑leading preventive‑health reform that the international tobacco industry strongly opposes. Tobacco companies face regulatory and reputational risk and have the resources to fight changes with advertising and legal action. Investors should note the increased regulatory pressure on the tobacco sector and potential costs from legal challenges and disrupted marketing.
What is the national rental affordability scheme and what does it mean for property investors?
The national rental affordability scheme provides tax breaks for investors who supply affordable rental housing. The article presents it as a government initiative to boost affordable housing supply, so property investors seeking tax‑incentivised opportunities in affordable housing may find this scheme relevant.
How do the Gillard government’s superannuation changes affect the financial services industry and income groups?
The article notes the decision to phase up compulsory employer super contributions from 9% to 12% is a multibillion‑dollar windfall for the financial services industry because more money flows into superannuation funds. It also criticises existing super tax concessions as heavily biased toward high‑income earners and says the government’s measures will not sufficiently shift benefits toward middle‑ and low‑income workers.
What concerns does the article raise about the education 'reforms' and federal school funding?
The article criticises Gillard’s education reforms for adopting teacher incentive ideas from the US, saying that rewarding teachers like CEOs risks insulting professionalism. It warns that publishing school performance data before correcting a federal funding bias that favours well‑off schools could leave under‑resourced public schools exposed. Investors in the education sector or those tracking public policy should watch potential funding re‑allocations and political debate.
Why should investors watch the gambling sector and licensed clubs over poker‑machine pre‑commitment?
The article explains that licensed clubs are very powerful opponents of compulsory pre‑commitment on poker machines, a policy Gillard is determined to get through Parliament. If passed, pre‑commitment could materially change how poker machines operate and therefore affect the revenues and political landscape around licensed clubs and venues. Investors with exposure to gaming and hospitality should monitor these policy developments.
What does the article say about the treatment of sole parents and people on unemployment benefits, and why might this matter for investors?
The article criticises the government for excluding sole parents and many unemployed people from a generous 2009 pension increase. It notes the dole (unemployment benefit) is indexed to inflation while pensions are indexed to average earnings, leaving single‑adult dole recipients more than $131 a week worse off than single pensioners and at about 45% of the after‑tax minimum wage. The piece also points out that more than half of people on the dole have been on it for a year or longer and that assistance to the long‑term unemployed is being limited. For investors, these issues are relevant because they affect welfare policy debates and could influence consumer demand and future government spending priorities.
What is the national disability insurance scheme (NDIS) commitment and what are its broader implications?
The article says Gillard has made introducing a national disability insurance scheme her top social reform priority. The proposed scheme would help people with congenital or accident‑acquired disabilities and fill a longstanding gap in Australia’s social safety net. It calls the reform a potentially historic advance and signals a major future commitment in social policy that could shape government budgets and demand in disability and social services over the long term.