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The PM ticks many Labor boxes, with a few key misses

Her social changes are sound, unless you are jobless or a sole parent.
By · 14 Dec 2011
By ·
14 Dec 2011
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Her social changes are sound, unless you are jobless or a sole parent.

HAVING observed Julia Gillard's government for more than a year, I must say she is hard to pigeon-hole. Is the woman who changed the government's mantra from ''working families'' to ''hard-working families'' a typical Labor prime minister, as many business critics of Fair Work believe, or a pale imitation of a Liberal leader, as her willingness to sell uranium to India and her opposition to same-sex marriage lead many critics on the left to conclude? Does she stand up to powerful industries or kowtow to them?

You can make a surprisingly long list of social changes you would expect the Labor heartland to be pretty happy about (even though it seems far from enamoured of its first female federal leader).

The introduction of paid parental leave (which, admittedly, occurred under Kevin Rudd) is an important step in reforming the institutions of the labour market to make them more suited to the needs of the better-educated sex.

Equal pay for women in the community sector remedies an age-old injustice.

Plain packaging for cigarettes is preventive-health reform that leads the world. The international tobacco industry has few friends but very deep pockets to fight the Gillard government with advertising and legal action.

But global tobacco has a fraction of the power the licensed clubs have in opposing compulsory pre-commitment for people using poker machines. Although this issue was forced on Gillard by her lack of a majority, she has yet to waver in her determination to get it passed by Parliament.

Rudd should get most credit for several other social improvements: the national homeless strategy, the national rental affordability scheme (tax breaks for investors in affordable housing) and the first injection of funds into social housing in many a long day.

Rudd started, but Gillard has continued, Labor's many measures to pare back John Howard's middle-class welfare by declaring a family on $150,000 a year to be not rich, but comfortable.

And Gillard has defied the powerful private health insurance industry by continuing Rudd's efforts to get means-testing of the health insurance tax rebate approved by Parliament.

Gillard has committed herself to making the introduction of a national disability insurance scheme her top social reform in the rest of her term. By providing help to people who inherit their disability or acquire it from an accident around the home, this would fill a longstanding gap in our social safety net. It would be a historic advance.

But against all that, there are a couple of areas where Gillard's performance has been anything but what you would expect from Labor.

The first is her education ''reforms'' copied from the American Republican Party. Trying to ''incentivate'' school teachers as though they were as money-hungry as chief executives merely insults their professionalism. Providing parents with greater information about the performance of schools is fine, but doing so before summoning the courage to correct the bias in federal school funding in favour of well-off schools risks hanging under-resourced public schools out to dry.

The tax concessions attached to superannuation have long been heavily biased in favour of high-income earners like yours truly. To call them middle-class welfare would be an understatement.

Rather than using the opportunity provided by the decision to phase up compulsory employee contributions from 9 per cent to 12 per cent of salary (a multibillion-dollar gift to the financial services industry) to shift the tax benefit from high to middle and low-income earners, the government will merely use some of the revenue from the mining tax to correct the position where workers on the 15 per cent income tax rate gain NO concession on their contributions.

But the most puzzling and indefensible aspect of Rudd policy continued by Gillard is the mistreatment of sole parents and, more so, people on unemployment benefits. Both groups were explicitly excluded from the over-generous pension increase in 2009.

For many years, age and invalid pensions have been indexed to average earnings, meaning they rise faster than inflation, whereas the dole has been indexed only to inflation. In consequence, the dole paid to single adults is now less than two-thirds of the single pension, a shortfall of $131 a week.

It is also just 45 per cent of the after-tax minimum wage - meaning there is little risk its generosity is deterring people from taking a job.

One defence of low unemployment benefits is that most people are not on them for long. But more than half the people on the dole have been on it for a year or more. And the government is also limiting the assistance it gives the long-term unemployed to help them find a job.

This discrimination against the unemployed is now so extreme that the Henry tax review recommended it be corrected. And even the Business Council agrees.

Perhaps Gillard's lack of sympathy for the unemployed arises because, being unable to find a job, they are not hard-working.

Ross Gittins is a senior columnist.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The article highlights several social reforms under Julia Gillard (many continued from Kevin Rudd) that can affect markets: paid parental leave, equal pay for women in the community sector, world-leading plain packaging for cigarettes, moves toward compulsory pre-commitment for poker machines, means-testing of the private health insurance tax rebate, a proposed national disability insurance scheme, and housing measures such as the national homeless strategy and the national rental affordability scheme (which includes tax breaks for investors in affordable housing). Each reform touches different sectors investors follow — tobacco, gambling/licensed clubs, private health insurers, financial services and housing.

According to the article, Australia’s plain-packaging policy is a leading preventive-health reform and will likely draw strong pushback from the international tobacco industry. Tobacco companies have deep pockets to fight through advertising and legal action, which could mean prolonged litigation risk and reputational challenges for tobacco stocks and related suppliers.

The article says licensed clubs are very powerful opponents of compulsory pre-commitment for poker-machine users, but Gillard has been determined to try to pass it. If adopted, pre-commitment could reduce problem-gambling losses and potentially lower revenue for venues dependent on poker machines, creating downside risk for publicly traded gaming and venue businesses.

The government plans to phase up compulsory employee super contributions from 9% to 12% of salary. The article calls this a multibillion-dollar benefit to the financial services industry because more assets flow into super funds. It also notes a missed opportunity: rather than re-targeting tax concessions to help middle- and low-income earners, some mining-tax revenue will be used only partially to correct the bias that favors higher-income earners.

The article credits Rudd (continued under Gillard) with creating the national rental affordability scheme, which includes tax breaks for investors who put money into affordable housing. For investors, this means targeted tax incentives for developments or investments that meet the scheme’s affordability criteria.

Gillard has continued Rudd’s effort to get means-testing of the private health insurance tax rebate approved by Parliament. This challenges the private health insurance industry and could change the affordability and take-up of policies for higher-income people, potentially affecting insurers’ revenues and membership profiles.

The article criticises the exclusion of sole parents and people on unemployment benefits from the over‑generous 2009 pension increase. It notes the dole for single adults is now less than two-thirds of the single pension (a shortfall the article cites as $131 a week) and about 45% of the after‑tax minimum wage. More than half of people on the dole have been on it for a year or more. For investors, persistent weakness in income support can depress consumer spending and create political pressure for reform — something that can influence fiscal policy, taxes and market sentiment.

Gillard has made introducing a national disability insurance scheme a top social-reform priority. The scheme would provide support to people who inherit or acquire disabilities (for example after an accident at home), filling a longstanding gap in the social safety net. For long-term investors, such a program could mean increased government spending and growth opportunities in disability services, healthcare, assistive technologies and related sectors.