The big hole in the housing market

Declining investor demand will leave a void in the housing market, which is unlikely to be filled by pessimistic first home buyers or owner-occupiers.

The household lending boom appears likely to hit its peak over the next few months and, based on the elevated nature of activity, the drop-off could be quite sharp. A slowdown in lending activity will usher in a new period of softer house price growth and a distinct risk that prices will begin to decline.

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