Store wars: Target on the dark side
But the sideshow - the discount department store war - is shaping up to be every bit as interesting. This segment is proving to be as competitive as the three main combatants, Big W, Kmart and Target, as they vie for the value-conscious consumer.
Woolworths' Big W managed to produce like-for-like sales growth that was up a tepid 0.8 per cent. And after adjusting for Easter growth came in at negative 0.8 per cent.
When questioned by analysts as to what Woolworths is going to do about these lacklustre sales, the answer was simple - we are trying. But to date it is not experiencing much success.
Wesfarmers - the conglomerate that owns Coles, Target, Kmart and Bunnings - is in no position to criticise.
Its discount department store strategy has resulted in a performance which has had mixed success. Earlier this week Wesfarmers ordered a changing of the guard and installed a new chief executive at its problem child, Target.
Target's comparative store sales for the half to December fell by 1.8 per cent and earnings before interest and tax fell 20 per cent.
The war to capture the entry-level department store shopper has been intense.
The winner of late is clearly Kmart whose results have been better than anyone expected, but for Wesfarmers it must be something of a hollow victory given the numbers suggest that most of the gains have been at the expense of its sister-store Target.
The trouble for Big W is that it has also sustained damage as a result of Kmart's success and Target's search for a market segment.
The discount department store sector appears to be in a state of flux. Kmart has taken ownership of the bottom end of the market. It has taken prices down, pursued the house brand strategy and reduced costs, aided by the high dollar.
It has marketed itself as the lowest price operator. Big W may have won on product but not on price. Target is sitting in a marketing no man's land. It is viewed neither as a value proposition nor an upmarket brand-centric department store.
Like all retailers, Big W was stung by discounting in the home entertainment segment. While this is part of its problem, it ignores the wider problems. It is positioned between Kmart and Target and gets squeezed in the middle.
Meanwhile, back at Wesfarmers HQ, there will be plenty of debate about what to do with Target.
Selling Target throws up a whole raft of problems - not the least of which is the potential introduction of a new and robust competitor for Kmart.
The smart money suggests closing Target and badging some of the stores Kmart.
This week's appointment of a new chief executive at Target suggests Wesfarmers is willing to take another shot at a strategy refurbishment. But how long the West Australian conglomerate is prepared to tolerate Target's underperforming returns is something on which one can only speculate.
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Woolworths' food and liquor division was described as the group's engine room and is 'pumping along well enough' in the third-quarter sales figures, though its growth rates were not matching those of Coles according to the article.
Big W reported like-for-like sales up 0.8% on headline figures, but after adjusting for the timing impact of Easter the like-for-like result was actually negative 0.8%, indicating weaker underlying sales once seasonality was removed.
The article says Big W is getting squeezed in the middle: Kmart has taken the bottom-end of the market on price and house brands, while Target is repositioning, leaving Big W stuck between the two. Big W was also hurt by discounting in home entertainment, contributing to its challenges.
Kmart has been the clear recent winner, cutting prices, pushing house brands, and reducing costs (helped by the high dollar). Those moves have driven sales to Kmart but appear to have come at the expense of both Big W and Target, damaging their performance in the entry-level department store segment.
Target has underperformed: comparative store sales for the half to December fell 1.8% and EBIT fell 20%. Wesfarmers has already changed the leadership at Target by appointing a new chief executive, indicating it is prepared to try another strategy refurbishment for the chain.
The article discusses the options: selling Target raises concerns about introducing a new competitor for Kmart, while some commentators suggest closing Target and converting some stores to the Kmart badge. However, the recent CEO appointment suggests Wesfarmers is willing to give Target another strategic attempt rather than immediately disposing of it.
According to the article, 'in flux' refers to shifting market positions: Kmart is capturing the bottom end with aggressive pricing and house brands, Target is in a marketing no-man's-land, and Big W is squeezed in the middle. For investors, that means the competitive dynamics and store strategies are changing and could affect earnings and market share for the retail arms of Woolworths and Wesfarmers.
Based on the article, investors should watch for strategic moves such as leadership changes (a new Target CEO has been appointed), possible store conversions to Kmart, clear repositioning or rebranding of Target, and any evidence of improved comparable store sales or margin recovery. The article notes uncertainty about how long Wesfarmers will tolerate underperformance, so pace of change and results will be important signals.

