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Reforms to spur TV deals

Communications Minister Stephen Conroy has given backing to media ownership reforms that pave the way for a round of mergers in the broadcast sector.
By · 13 Mar 2013
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13 Mar 2013
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Communications Minister Stephen Conroy has given backing to media ownership reforms that pave the way for a round of mergers in the broadcast sector.

Fairfax Media revealed earlier this month that Nine Entertainment and Southern Cross were in negotiations that could result in the two companies dumping their broadcast partners and merging to create a media powerhouse.

But it will only be possible if Senator Conroy succeeds in getting the 75 per cent audience reach rule changed. This would allow metro television stations and their regional partners to merge.

Channel Ten joined Seven in opposing the proposed reforms.

A statement from Seven West Media said it is clear there had "not been sufficient public engagement" on the implications of the changes to the reach rule.

"The interests of individual media groups in securing a deal should not be placed above the interests of regional viewers in ongoing provision of quality local content," it said.

The public interest test was also condemned by Seven West, the owner of the Seven network and The West Australian, as well as News Corp and the pay TV provider it half owns, Foxtel.

Ten Network's incoming chief executive, Hamish McLennan, welcomed the permanent cuts to broadcaster licence fees but described the one-day deadline for the review of the reach rule as "ill-conceived" and said it "does not follow appropriate due process".

"The removal of the reach rule needs to be part of a sensible, comprehensive media ownership reform package, not an ad hoc change," he said.

"The only possible outcome of ditching the 75 per cent reach rule - in isolation - will be a reduction in media diversity and a further reduction in news services in regional Australia."

Senator Conroy has referred the reach rule proposal to a subcommittee due to the concerns raised but made it clear he felt the "issues were dealt with in the legislation".

A Nine spokesman said: "Nine anticipates that Seven and Ten will unconditionally restore their previous long-term support for the removal of existing reach rules now that the minister has brought forward his complete media reform package, thus satisfying their concerns expressed for the first time only in recent days that consideration of the reach measure might somehow jeopardise the approval of other reforms. No such potential for jeopardy now exists."

If Nine signs Southern Cross as an affiliate, or succeeds with a merger, this would force Nine's current regional affiliate, WIN Television, to partner with the embattled Ten Network.

Senator Conroy declined to comment on the potential merger between Nine and Southern Cross if the reforms are passed.

"It's not for me to comment on the commercial manoeuvrings of any of the organisations involved," he said.

The most logical deal - if the reach rules are changed - lies with Seven's controlling shareholder, Kerry Stokes. His investment company, Seven Group Holdings, owns 35 per cent of Seven West Media and 11 per cent of its regional affiliate, Prime Media.

Not everyone thinks the changes will be good for media deals.

Foxtel chief executive Richard Freudenstein criticised the introduction of a public-interest test for media mergers and acquisitions.

"Foxtel regrets the decision by the government to introduce cumbersome and unnecessary media-specific regulation that will hinder investment in the media sector," he said. "Under the proposed regime, a transaction in the media space could be subject to review by up to four different regulators. This will add delay and complexity to any transaction."

RBS Morgans has said a merger between Nine and Southern Cross could generate $50 million a year extra in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) from switching affiliations and cast savings from merging the TV operations.

This would represent an additional $400 million in value for Nine and Southern Cross shareholders if the government succeeds in lifting the reach rules and the merger goes ahead.

But analysts expressed scepticism about whether this is the end game for Nine and Southern Cross.

Steve Allen, chief executive of the media consultants Fusion Strategy, said that both parties might be using the talks as "leverage" against their current affiliate partners.

"Both can gain even if they never get together," Mr Allen said.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The proposed reforms backed by Communications Minister Stephen Conroy include changing the 75 per cent audience reach rule (which limits how much of the population a single broadcaster can reach), introducing a public-interest test for media deals, and permanently cutting broadcaster licence fees. These reforms could enable major mergers and affiliation changes in TV broadcasting, so everyday investors should watch for potential shifts in market structure, earnings and shareholder value among affected media companies.

Removing or lifting the 75 per cent reach rule would allow metropolitan TV stations and their regional partners to merge or switch affiliations. The article says that change would make a merger or affiliation deal between Nine Entertainment and Southern Cross possible, which is central to current talks reported by Fairfax Media.

Companies discussed in the article include Nine Entertainment, Southern Cross, Fairfax Media, Ten Network (Channel Ten), Seven West Media, WIN Television, News Corp, Foxtel, Seven Group Holdings and Prime Media. Analysts and advisers such as RBS Morgans and Fusion Strategy are also referenced.

Supporters argue the change could unlock mergers or affiliation switches that create scale and cost savings, potentially boosting earnings for companies like Nine and Southern Cross. Critics — including Seven West Media, Ten and others — warn the change could reduce media diversity, harm regional news and was rushed without sufficient public consultation, raising regulatory and reputational risks investors should consider.

RBS Morgans estimated a merger or affiliation switch between Nine and Southern Cross could generate about $50 million a year in extra EBITDA from affiliation switching and cost savings, which they say could translate into roughly $400 million of additional value for shareholders if the reach rules are lifted and a merger proceeds.

The public-interest test would subject media mergers and acquisitions to an extra review focused on public benefit. Foxtel's CEO and others criticised it as 'cumbersome' and said it could mean media deals are reviewed by up to four different regulators, adding delay, complexity and potentially deterring investment.

Channel Ten and Seven West Media opposed aspects of the reforms. Seven said there had not been sufficient public engagement and warned that private deals should not trump the interests of regional viewers and local content. Ten's incoming CEO Hamish McLennan welcomed licence fee cuts but called the one-day deadline for the reach-rule review 'ill-conceived' and said proper due process was needed.

Senator Conroy has referred the reach-rule proposal to a subcommittee because of concerns raised, but he indicated the issues were handled in the legislation. The article notes disagreement among industry players and that any deal outcome remains uncertain while consultation and potential reviews continue.