Qantas to jump-start domestic revival with fleet upgrade
Although the capacity glut in the domestic market has eased recently, the plans to upgrade Qantas's fleet of A330s used on Australia's key transcontinental route threatens to spark a strong response from Virgin.
While the battle has benefited flyers in the form of cheap fares, Qantas's premium domestic operations revealed the extent of the pain by posting a 34 per cent drop in first-half earnings to $218 million.
Jetstar's earnings also fell 13 per cent due to the stiff competition from Tiger Airways in the domestic market and the cost of starting new ventures in Japan and Hong Kong.
Investors took comfort from strong earnings from Qantas's frequent-flyer business and an improvement in its long-suffering international division. The latter's losses narrowed to $92 million, from $262 million previously, as it exited loss-making routes.
Qantas nearly trebled its bottom-line profit to $111 million in the first half, bolstered by compensation from Boeing for "opportunity delays" to the late delivery of 787 Dreamliner planes. Using its preferred metric, Qantas posted a 10 per cent rise in underlying profit before tax to $223 million, which was better than analysts had expected. Total revenue rose 2 per cent to $8.2 billion.
Shares in Qantas closed up 4.5¢ at $1.66 on a day when the broader market tumbled more than 2 per cent. "There are issues but investors have more faith in [Qantas] management and their strategy," Peter Borkovec, an analyst at White Funds Management, said. "It is the right step in the right direction."
Qantas has not given earnings guidance for the second half because of volatile conditions. But it has revealed that it will incur costs of as much as $50 million for shifting its main overseas hub from Singapore to Dubai as part of its alliance with Emirates.
In the domestic market, Qantas and Jetstar bore the brunt of substantial declines in yields - or returns on fares - in the first half, a period in which airlines make the majority of their money.
Qantas indicated that it expects an easing in the high levels of capacity in the medium term. The group plans to boost capacity in the domestic market by 5 per cent to 7 per cent in the second half, which is a reduction from the growth levels in the first half.
The chief executive, Alan Joyce, said the reconfiguration of the wide-body A330 planes on domestic routes would help the airline "leapfrog anything the competitors are doing".
"We have seen the competitor change the strategy multiple times. Virgin has given up the low-cost end of the market and gone to the premium end," he said. "The performance of Tiger clearly shows that Jetstar is significantly outperforming Tiger at the leisure end."
The upgrade to Qantas's 30-strong fleet of A330s - 20 of which fly on domestic routes - from late 2014 includes flat seats in business class, a refreshed economy cabin and a new in-flight entertainment system. It will also buy five new Boeing 737-800 planes and extend the lease on two others.
Mr Joyce said it was difficult to gauge the extent to which competition in the domestic market would ease in the second half because Virgin had yet to deliver its earnings, and the competition regulator would not make a final ruling on the latter's plans to take control of Tiger Airways until next month.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Qantas is upgrading its large A330 fleet and ordering new planes to strengthen its position against Virgin Australia. The reconfiguration of A330s for domestic routes (including flat business seats, refreshed economy cabins and new in-flight entertainment) is aimed at improving premium domestic services and could prompt a strong competitive response from Virgin, potentially influencing fares and capacity in the domestic market.
Qantas plans to upgrade its 30-strong A330 fleet (20 of which fly domestic routes) from late 2014 with flat business seats, refreshed economy cabins and a new in-flight entertainment system. The group will also buy five new Boeing 737-800 aircraft and extend leases on two others.
Qantas reported a 34% drop in premium domestic earnings to $218 million and a 13% fall in Jetstar earnings due to domestic competition. However, the international division’s losses narrowed to $92 million from $262 million, frequent-flyer earnings were strong, underlying profit before tax rose 10% to $223 million, and bottom-line profit nearly trebled to $111 million, helped by compensation from Boeing.
Qantas received compensation from Boeing for delivery delays of 787 Dreamliner aircraft (referred to as 'opportunity delays'), which bolstered the airline’s bottom-line profit and helped the company nearly treble its first-half profit to $111 million.
Investors showed some confidence: Qantas shares closed up 4.5 cents at $1.66 on a day when the broader market fell. Analysts, including Peter Borkovec of White Funds Management, said investors had faith in Qantas’s management and strategy, seeing the fleet upgrade as a positive step.
Qantas has not provided second-half earnings guidance because conditions remain volatile. The airline did disclose it expects to incur costs of up to $50 million to shift its main overseas hub from Singapore to Dubai as part of its alliance with Emirates.
Qantas indicated an easing of the previous capacity glut and plans to boost domestic capacity by 5–7% in the second half, which is lower than the growth seen in the first half. The airline also reported substantial declines in yields (returns on fares) during the first half, a period when airlines typically earn most of their annual profit.
Qantas expects its A330 reconfiguration to 'leapfrog' competitors, but acknowledges Virgin could respond strongly—Virgin has shifted toward the premium market while Tiger Airways has pressured Jetstar at the low-cost end. The competition regulator was due to rule on Virgin’s plans to take control of Tiger Airways next month, a decision that could further affect domestic competition.

