Productivity gains 'will spark investment'
"The oil and gas industry has the opportunity to invest another $100 billion post 2016," Santos chief executive David Knox said. "To ensure that, we need to drive productivity up."
Santos is completing one of Queensland's three export gas projects at a cost of $US18.5 billion ($20.2 billion), while considering more spending on big-ticket developments in Western Australia.
One benefit of the decline in resource sector spending is a fall in costs. New contracts on average are 15 per cent cheaper thanks to increased "competitive tension".
At the same time, Mr Knox said, Santos was increasingly willing to dump long-term suppliers "if they are not coming across on costs".
Santos reported a June half-year net profit of $271 million, up from $262 million a year earlier, with higher oil and gas prices offsetting lower output. Carbon costs of $36 million squeezed earnings, and part of that has brought a higher tax bill.
Mr Knox threw his weight behind a move to a market-based carbon price, which would ensure the international competitiveness of local industry was maintained.
"We support going to a market price as soon as we can, so that we have a level playing field as we compete offshore," he said.
He also warned about making significant changes to the government's carbon policy.
"The key thing is maintaining a steady hand on the tiller. We need a competitive, highly productive economy that continues to reduce its carbon footprint while maintaining competitiveness with Asia."
Asked about the Coalition's direct action policy to cut carbon emissions, Mr Knox said he did not "know enough to intelligently comment".
Commissioning of the PNG gas export project, in which Santos holds a 13.5 per cent stake, is expected by the end of the year, and the Queensland project to be commissioned from 2015. The group has a 30 per cent stake in this venture.
"Operating cash flow will more than double" over the next three years as cash started to flow from the projects, chief financial officer Andrew Seaton told analysts.
The company will consider either higher dividends or buybacks once the PNG project was commissioned.
Interest was also sparked by flagged possible projects, one in the Browse Basin, a brownfields development in northern Western Australia, and a greenfields development in the Carnarvon Basin further south.
Santos declared a steady interim dividend of 15¢ a share.
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Santos' CEO David Knox said the oil and gas industry could invest another $100 billion post‑2016 if productivity improves. He emphasised the need to drive productivity up to unlock that additional investment.
Santos is completing one of Queensland's three export gas projects at a cost of US$18.5 billion (about $20.2 billion) and holds a 30% stake in that venture. It also has a 13.5% stake in the PNG gas export project, which was expected to be commissioned by the end of the year, while the Queensland project was due to be commissioned from 2015.
Santos reported a June half‑year net profit of $271 million, up from $262 million a year earlier. Higher oil and gas prices helped offset lower output, while carbon costs of $36 million squeezed earnings and contributed to a higher tax bill.
CFO Andrew Seaton told analysts operating cash flow will more than double over the next three years as cash starts flowing from the projects. Santos said it will consider either higher dividends or buybacks once the PNG project is commissioned. The company declared a steady interim dividend of 15¢ a share.
The decline in resource sector spending has helped push costs down: new contracts on average were about 15% cheaper thanks to increased competitive tension. Santos also said it is increasingly willing to drop long‑term suppliers if they are not delivering on costs.
David Knox backed a move to a market‑based carbon price to help maintain the international competitiveness of local industry, saying a market price would create a level playing field when competing offshore. He warned against making significant changes to the government's carbon policy and said he did not know enough to comment intelligently on the Coalition's direct action policy.
Santos flagged potential projects including a Browse Basin opportunity (a brownfields development in northern Western Australia) and a greenfields development in the Carnarvon Basin further south. The company is also considering more big‑ticket developments in Western Australia.
Key takeaways: Santos expects a material lift in operating cash flow as large projects come online, is focused on cost discipline and supplier competitiveness, and supports a market‑based carbon price. Investors should note the company’s exposure to oil and gas prices, carbon costs, and project commissioning timelines—factors that will drive future cash flow, dividends or buybacks.

