New Pope must act in tradition of Catholic economic thought
Ideally, that means recognising the value of free markets and free economies, and realising that work and trade endow humans with not just wealth but also dignity and freedom. It also means understanding the dangers posed by excessive inequality, the outsize burdens that technological advances and environmental degradation will impose on the poor, and the responsibility of the rich to help the underprivileged navigate a turbulent economic transition.
Most important, as more and more economic activity is done by algorithms and robots, we hope the new Pope will be able to communicate the church's longstanding assertion that economics, to be moral, must be grounded in concern for the individual.
Since Pope Leo XIII issued the encyclical Rerum Novarum in 1891, Catholic social teaching has focused on ways to impose moral order on economic activity and to mitigate the worst effects of unrestrained commerce.
Pope John Paul II's landmark Centesimus Annus in 1991 extended this concern with the individual into the "complex network of relationships" that make up modern economies.
Pope Benedict XVI's contribution, Caritas in Veritate, was cryptic in some respects, but he was quite clear that "every economic decision has a moral consequence" and that "the market is not, and must not become, the place where the strong subdue the weak".
Beyond his words, Benedict's actions as Pope were consistent with a moral economic framework (his grievous lapses elsewhere notwithstanding). He argued correctly that the roots of the financial crisis were human greed and malfeasance, not a flaw per se in the structure of capitalism. He also exuded a consistent concern that climate change - born of unbridled consumption by rich nations - will overwhelmingly affect the poor, and sought to turn Vatican City into the world's only carbon-neutral state.
Francis I will have to grapple with the same issues, and plenty more. The temptations of unrestrained capitalism will surely reawaken as the financial crisis ebbs. Environmental degradation will probably accelerate. And the poor will always be with us.
Perhaps the greatest challenge for a putative steward of moral economics in the next few decades, however, will be technology.
The coming revolution in robotics and automation could cause immense disruption for the world's workers, including wage stagnation, increased unemployment, growing inequality, and the painful alienation that comes with finding your job replaced by a machine.
Imposing an ethical framework on this new world will require the kind of flexible thinking that hasn't always come naturally to the Vatican. Serious work by the Pontifical Academy of Sciences on the moral implications of artificial intelligence, drones and other worrisome phenomena of the digital age would be an excellent start. Francis, we wish you luck.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
The article suggests Pope Francis is expected to follow Catholic economic thought that values free markets and the dignity of work while warning against excessive inequality, environmental harm and unbridled capitalism. For markets, his moral leadership could shape public debate and policy conversations about regulation, inequality and sustainability rather than directly moving prices.
According to the article, Catholic social teaching historically recognises the value of free markets and trade for human dignity and freedom, but also emphasises imposing moral order on economic activity to mitigate excessive inequality and protect the poor.
The article references Pope Leo XIII’s Rerum Novarum (1891) as the origin of modern Catholic social teaching, Pope John Paul II’s Centesimus Annus (1991) for attention to individuals within modern economic networks, and Pope Benedict XVI’s Caritas in Veritate, which stressed that every economic decision has moral consequences.
The article highlights that recent popes, especially Benedict XVI, were concerned climate change caused by consumption in rich nations will disproportionately harm the poor, and that such moral concern could influence policy and investor focus on environmental issues and carbon‑neutral initiatives.
The article warns the coming robotics and automation revolution could bring wage stagnation, higher unemployment, greater inequality and job displacement—issues that create both risks and long‑term structural shifts investors should be aware of as technology changes industries.
The article argues that as economic activity is increasingly driven by algorithms and machines, a moral framework grounded in concern for the individual is important so that markets do not become places where the strong subdue the weak; it calls for serious work on the ethical implications of AI and other digital-age phenomena.
The article suggests the Pontifical Academy of Sciences could help by studying the moral implications of artificial intelligence, drones and other digital technologies, potentially informing ethical standards and public policy that affect technology adoption and market behaviour.
The article doesn’t advocate specific portfolio moves but implies investors should monitor shifts in public policy and societal priorities driven by moral and environmental concerns—such as regulation, sustainability and responses to automation—that can influence long‑term market trends.

