You have to be choosy when picking stocks for parents, writes Madeleine Heffernan.
Phil Burgess, the outspoken former public policy chief at Telstra, famously said he wouldn't recommend Telstra shares to his mother.
Although Dr Burgess later said the remark was made to highlight that Telstra was "being smothered by regulation", the "mother benchmark" holds some appeal, particularly after recent rough-and-ready years on the sharemarket.
With the official cash rate slashed to 3 per cent and local shares delivering a "Santa rally" this month, hopes are rising that the $67 billion pulled out of stocks by small investors between 2008 and 2011 will make its way back to the market.
But with sharemarket volatility doubling since the start of the financial crisis, it is still a case of buyer beware.
Fairfax Media has spoken to market analysts to find out which shares might pass the test for our nearest and dearest in the new year.
George Boubouras, the head of investment strategy and consulting at UBS Wealth Management, who has a Greek mother and Spanish in-laws, said shopping for mothers required deep pockets. The appropriate shares are defensive, therefore they are expensive.
"If they are approaching pension phase, income certainty is much more relevant," Mr Boubouras said.
"Given cash rates are falling and rates are expected to remain lower for longer, this generally makes investors seek other, riskier, exposures. So a low beta (lower volatile) dividend stock theme that utilises franking can work."
Mr Boubouras's list includes some of this year's big winners: healthcare companies CSL, Cochlear and ResMed, and Telstra.
He also recommends utilities such as AGL and Duet, and gaming companies, if they do not offend your ethics.
Then there are the shares behind everyday purchases or practices: toll road operator Transurban for regular users of CityLink, or Wesfarmers shares for people who shop at Coles supermarkets and Target.
Materials and energy companies should be in the mix too, but bigger is better here: Origin, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto are recommended.
"Never mid-cap, this is too volatile for mum," he said.
Mr Boubouras does shirk at one tipper's suggestion of Whitehaven Coal. "Most mums don't need a coal play," he said.
That tipper is Mark Fitzgibbon, the managing director of the listed health insurer NIB.
While Whitehaven has rallied recently, due to expectations of a deal with China Shenhua Energy Co, it has had a poor year overall. Its share price is down 28 per cent due to weaker coal prices and the troubles of its famous shareholder, Nathan Tinkler.
But Mr Fitzgibbon said Whitehaven was undervalued.
"I'm a big believer in the long-term coal story," he said.
He is also a fan of funds manager Perpetual, praising its "qualitative investment criteria", and the private hospital operator Ramsay Health Care, which has had a rollicking year.
"[It is] probably fully priced but [it] sails on the sea of private healthcare spending which will continue its GDP-plus growth trajectory," Mr Fitzgibbon said.
Alex Moffatt, the director of stockbrokers Joseph Palmer & Sons, said if you want income go for National Australia Bank and Telstra; if you are after growth, snap up resources, which have had a tricky year.
Other stocks on his "buy" list, some owned by his 81-year-old mother, include the fund manager Challenger and salary packaging provider McMillan Shakespeare.
Silex, which does research into the commercialisation of nuclear energy and solar energy technologies, is "one for the greenies".
And for people looking for an "in" into resources, Mr Moffatt recommends Bougainville Copper, the Papua New Guinea copper, gold and silver miner, which is part owned by Rio Tinto.
Elio D'Amato, the chief executive of fund manager Lincoln Indicators, is cautious on resources stocks for parents but keen on the engineering company Monadelphous. "It declared a pretty positive outlook at its AGM, and its dividend yield is 6.2 per cent, so it's the best of both worlds: growth and dividends," Mr D'Amato said.
With term deposits falling, dividends should be the focus, Mr D'Amato said.
There's the small childcare operator G8 Education - not to be associated with ABC Learning, the listed childcare company that crashed and burnt during the financial crisis.
"This is a good business with a grossed-up dividend forecast of 6.4 per cent," Mr D'Amato said. "And the number of dual-income homes is only going to grow."
Other recommendations for parents are travel group Flight Centre and car sales-cum-property group AP Eagers. Both capitalise on the record number of Australians heading overseas and buying new cars.
Then there's Fleetwood, the caravan manufacturer and seller which likely gets plenty of business from grey nomads. Fleetwood had a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.1 per cent, Mr D'Amato said.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
How should everyday investors pick shares for parents or retirees?
The article says analysts recommend choosing defensive, lower‑volatility (low‑beta) dividend stocks that offer income certainty — especially for investors approaching pension phase. Look for reliable dividends (and franking credits in Australia), large-cap stability and businesses that provide everyday goods or services parents use.
Which sectors are considered suitable for conservative investors or parents?
Analysts in the article point to defensive sectors such as healthcare (CSL, Cochlear, ResMed), utilities (AGL, Duet), consumer staples and retail (Wesfarmers/Coles), toll roads (Transurban) and major materials/energy companies (Origin, BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto) as suitable starting points for parents seeking income and lower volatility.
Why are dividends important now and are they an alternative to term deposits?
With term deposit rates falling and the official cash rate cut to 3% in the article, analysts suggest dividends should be a focus. Dividend‑paying shares can provide income (plus franking credits) that may be more attractive than low term deposit returns, but investors should balance yield with company stability.
Are mid‑cap stocks a good idea for a parent’s portfolio?
The article quotes analysts advising against mid‑cap stocks for parents because mid‑caps can be too volatile. For conservative investors or retirees, larger, well‑established companies are usually preferred for stability and predictable dividends.
What specific stocks did analysts recommend for income or safety?
Examples cited include Telstra and National Australia Bank for income, healthcare names CSL, Cochlear and ResMed for defensive growth, utilities like AGL and Duet, and everyday‑use stocks such as Transurban and Wesfarmers. Analysts also flagged Monadelphous for a mix of growth and a strong dividend yield.
Are any resource or mining stocks recommended for parents?
Analysts suggested big, diversified resources such as Origin, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto over smaller or mid‑cap miners. Some tipped Bougainville Copper as an entry into resources, but overall the emphasis was on larger, more stable resource companies rather than volatile small miners.
What disagreements or cautions were highlighted by the analysts?
There were different views: one analyst dismissed a coal play for most mums, while another (Mark Fitzgibbon) believed Whitehaven Coal was undervalued and favoured the long‑term coal story. The article also warns that sharemarket volatility has doubled since the financial crisis, so buyer beware.
Are there niche or lifestyle plays mentioned that might suit older investors?
Yes — analysts highlighted companies that capture lifestyle spending of older Australians, such as Fleetwood (caravan manufacturer) with a reported high grossed‑up dividend yield, travel group Flight Centre, car retailer AP Eagers, and childcare operator G8 Education, which had a forecast grossed‑up dividend yield noted in the article.