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Made in the shade

Home buyers have it
By · 9 Oct 2013
By ·
9 Oct 2013
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Home buyers have it

Despite talk about the housing market heating up, rising unemployment will be a dampener, inflation is barely visible and debt has become a dirty word. Without borrowing to sustain it, there can't be a boom. PROPERTY SPECIAL INSIDE
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The article suggests that home buyers are in a relatively favourable position right now: despite chatter about the market heating up, factors like rising unemployment, low visible inflation and a general reluctance to take on debt are limiting a full-blown surge in prices.

The article notes talk about the housing market heating up, but it also highlights countervailing forces — notably rising unemployment and subdued inflation — that are acting as dampeners on a sustained market boom.

According to the article, rising unemployment will be a dampener on the housing market because weaker job security typically reduces buyer confidence and borrowing capacity, which in turn limits demand and price momentum.

The phrase indicates that inflationary pressures are currently low or muted; for buyers and investors this can mean interest rates and borrowing costs may not be pushed higher by inflation, reducing one immediate upward pressure on property prices.

The article observes that borrowing is viewed negatively at the moment, which discourages people from taking on mortgages or investors from levering up. Less borrowing reduces the pool of active buyers and makes a property boom less likely.

The article argues no — without borrowing to sustain increased demand, it’s unlikely a broad-based property boom can take hold because credit-fueled purchases are a major driver of sharp price rises.

Everyday investors should note the mixed signals: while there’s talk of a heating market, rising unemployment, low visible inflation and reluctance to borrow are likely to temper rapid price growth, so cautious, well-researched decisions are implied by the article’s outlook.

The article doesn’t give direct timing advice, but it implies buyers currently have some advantage because broader conditions (rising unemployment and reduced borrowing) are limiting a strong market upswing — prospective buyers should weigh personal finances and lending conditions before deciding.