InvestSMART

Lend Lease hit by slowdown

Investors took the knife to diversified property group Lend Lease after it warned that the global construction sector had deteriorated in the past six months, leading to reduced earnings.
By · 18 Jun 2013
By ·
18 Jun 2013
comments Comments
Investors took the knife to diversified property group Lend Lease after it warned that the global construction sector had deteriorated in the past six months, leading to reduced earnings.

The shares slumped as much as 8 per cent amid fears of job cuts in the construction business, which accounts for about 42 per cent of Lend Lease’s profits. The shares closed 70¢ lower at $8.65.

Chief executive Steve McCann said the 2013 year profit mix had changed, ‘‘with the Asian development, Australian infrastructure development and Australian property businesses performing better than the prior year’’.

He said: ‘‘The underlying construction markets in Australia and Europe and the Middle East have softened in the second half of the current 2013 year, contributing to reduced earnings from the construction businesses in those regions.’’

The group was on track to deliver earnings that ‘‘meet market expectations’’, he said. The earnings would be boosted by the sale of a 25 per cent stake in the Singapore Jem Partners retail development fund for $S227 million ($189 million).

At its half-year results in February, the group said profits from the Australian construction business fell to $94 million from $105.4 million a year earlier, due to timing issues. Lend Lease has a market capitalisation of about $5.3 billion and develops, constructs and invests in projects such as the $6 billion Barangaroo South office and residential development in Sydney.

In the past year it has won about $6 billion worth of projects in Australia and has a global construction pipeline of about $17 billion. But the earnings are lumpy and will not flow through to the bottom line for at least two years.

According to Mr McCann, the commercial office development sector was also flat.

This was endorsed in a new report from the ANZ Bank, which says the broad-based recovery in commercial property appears to have stalled.

‘‘Property market conditions have deteriorated in the past 12 months: tenant demand has weakened, vacancies and incentives have risen and rental growth has slowed, particularly for secondary properties,’’ the bank said.

Mr McCann also unveiled a broad-brush restructure of the business that would consolidate the Abigroup, Baulderstone, Project Management, and Construction and Infrastructure Services businesses.

These were acquired through the Valemus takeover in 2011 from the German constructor Bilfinger Berger for $960 million. They will now be consolidated into building, engineering and infrastructure services sectors.

The flat construction sector has led to brokers cutting back their full year forecasts.

In a research note to clients last week, UBS property analysts retained a ‘‘buy’’ on Lend Lease but they have reduced their price target by about 6 per cent ‘‘to reflect lower forecasts in the Australian construction business resulting in a lower valuation’’.

‘‘Whilst we continue to expect negative sentiment in the construction space, driven by mining services, our Buy rating is premised on Lend Lease’s minimal exposure to mining services related work (about 8 per cent) and the embedded value in the development business,’’ UBS analysts said.
Google News
Follow us on Google News
Go to Google News, then click "Follow" button to add us.
Share this article and show your support
Free Membership
Free Membership
InvestSMART
InvestSMART
Keep on reading more articles from InvestSMART. See more articles
Join the conversation
Join the conversation...
There are comments posted so far. Join the conversation, please login or Sign up.

Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

Investors sold off after Lend Lease warned the global construction sector had deteriorated over the past six months, which trimmed expected earnings. The shares fell as much as 8% amid fears of job cuts in the construction business (which is a large profit contributor) and closed 70 cents lower at $8.65.

About 42% of Lend Lease’s profits come from its construction business. That matters because a slowdown in construction markets can materially reduce group earnings, making the company more sensitive to softness in that sector.

Chief executive Steve McCann said underlying construction markets in Australia, Europe and the Middle East softened in the second half of the 2013 year, contributing to reduced earnings from Lend Lease’s construction businesses in those regions.

Yes. The group said it was on track to deliver earnings that meet market expectations, and its earnings outlook would be helped by the planned sale of a 25% stake in the Singapore Jem Partners retail development fund for S$227 million (about US$189 million).

Lend Lease has a global construction pipeline of about $17 billion and won roughly $6 billion of projects in Australia over the past year. The company warns that earnings are lumpy, so revenue from these projects may not flow through to the bottom line for at least two years.

Lend Lease unveiled a broad-brush restructure that consolidates Abigroup, Baulderstone, Project Management and Construction and Infrastructure Services into three sectors: building, engineering and infrastructure services. Those businesses were acquired via the Valemus takeover in 2011 from Bilfinger Berger for $960 million.

ANZ reported the commercial property recovery appears to have stalled, noting weaker tenant demand, higher vacancies and slower rental growth—especially for secondary properties. Brokers have cut forecasts; UBS kept a Buy rating on Lend Lease but reduced its price target by about 6% to reflect lower forecasts in the Australian construction business, while highlighting Lend Lease’s limited exposure to mining services (around 8%) and embedded value in its development business.

Lend Lease has a market capitalisation of about $5.3 billion and develops large projects such as the $6 billion Barangaroo South office and residential development in Sydney—factors that underline its significant development footprint despite near-term construction softness.