How to boost returns in a low‑rate world
It's a funny thing with cash. Despite a cost-of-living squeeze, Australians have been saving more, not less.
Two years ago, household deposits totalled $1.4 trillion. Today, that figure is $1.6 trillion.
It's a fair bet decent returns on cash savings are behind part of this uptick.
Bonus savings accounts were paying, on average, 4.9% in mid-2024 — not a bad return for a government-guaranteed investment.
But the party is steadily coming to an end.
The average rate on bonus savers is currently 4.3%, and it's likely to fall further.
As we saw in July, rate cuts are never guaranteed. However, the ABS says inflation is now down to 2.1%, the lowest rate since March 2021. So a rate cut on August 12 is a distinct possibility.
All this is great for borrowers. But not so welcome for Australians who rely on cash deposits as a source of income or to save for a long-term goal like buying a first home.
The good news is that you don't have to completely step outside your comfort zone to continue earning healthy returns. You may need to dial up risk slightly to fill the gap left by falling rates, but this risk can be managed by maintaining a diversified portfolio.
Let's break it down.
Positioning your portfolio for lower rates
One way to tilt a low-risk portfolio towards higher returns is by introducing fixed income assets to the investment mix.
Government bonds can tick the boxes for low risk, regular returns, portfolio diversification and returns that may be higher than savings accounts. Australia's 10-year government bond yield is about 4.2% at present, and there's potential for capital appreciation if interest rates fall.
If you're happy to ramp up risk, you could add corporate bonds to the mix - these have recorded yields as high as 8.3% over the past year.
While bonds are not an easy asset class for individual investors to access directly, exchange traded funds (ETFs) offer a low-cost solution. Better still, bond-focused ETFs hold a variety of bonds, providing extra diversification.
How to 'cautiously' add risk
Lower interest rates typically favour 'growth' assets such as Australian or global shares, often because investors head to these markets looking for higher returns.
Growth investments do carry higher risk though investors can take a cautious approach.
You may choose to invest just a little in growth assets initially and potentially add more over time through dollar cost averaging. Drip-feeding funds into growth assets on a regular basis can smooth out the impact of market highs and lows.
Importantly, shares can also be a source of tax-friendly dividend income. The Australian equity market is well-known for its high dividend yield and the dividend culture of many of our leading companies.
The S&P/ASX 200 High Dividend Index, which measures dividends paid by the top 50 dividend-paying companies, shows investors pocketed a return of 4.7% over the last year from dividends alone.
ETFs can play a role here too, with a selection of ETFs that focus on companies with a track record for strong dividends.
Mixing and matching lowers risk
Ultimately, one of the simplest ways to lift returns without taking on significant risk is spreading your money across different investments. This is what a 'balanced' portfolio is all about.
Your idea of 'balanced' will be very individual. Essentially though you can mix and match - still having cash savings, plus a few other investments to help make-up for lower returns from falling interest rates.
As an example, InvestSMART's Balanced Portfolio, which notched up returns of 9.09% over the past year, is made up of:
- 40% - fixed interest
- 43% - shares (Australian and international)
- 12% - cash
- 5% - property and infrastructure
This type of balanced portfolio comes with the risk of possible negative returns in three to four years out of every 20. You may feel this is too high for your comfort levels. That's fine. It's all about finding the balance that is right for you in terms of risk and returns.
Rethinking your portfolio
At times like the present, when rates are falling, it can become clear that cash is a very safe though not entirely risk-free investment. One of the biggest risks is that falling rates could see the purchasing power of your money fail to keep pace with inflation.
Taking a fresh look at your portfolio doesn't have to mean taking on over-sized risks. Rather, it involves deciding the investment options from the wide choice available that can help you earn good returns while managing risk through diversification.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Australians have been saving more because decent returns on cash savings have encouraged them to do so. Household deposits have increased from $1.4 trillion to $1.6 trillion over the past two years, partly due to attractive interest rates on savings accounts.
Interest rates on bonus savings accounts have been decreasing, with the average rate dropping from 4.9% in mid-2024 to 4.3% currently. This trend is expected to continue, which may affect those relying on cash deposits for income or long-term savings.
To boost returns in a low-rate environment, consider diversifying your portfolio by adding fixed income assets like government and corporate bonds, or growth assets such as shares. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) can also provide diversification and potentially higher returns.
Government bonds offer low risk, regular returns, and portfolio diversification. They can provide returns higher than savings accounts, and there's potential for capital appreciation if interest rates fall.
You can cautiously add risk by investing a small amount in growth assets like shares and gradually increasing your investment through dollar cost averaging. This approach helps smooth out market volatility and can provide tax-friendly dividend income.
A balanced investment portfolio spreads your money across different asset classes, such as cash, fixed interest, shares, and property. This diversification helps manage risk while aiming for higher returns, as seen in InvestSMART's Balanced Portfolio, which achieved a 9.09% return last year.
Rethinking your portfolio is crucial when rates are falling because cash, while safe, may not keep pace with inflation. Diversifying your investments can help you earn better returns while managing risk effectively.
ETFs offer a low-cost way to access a variety of bonds or shares, providing diversification and reducing risk. They can focus on specific investment goals, such as strong dividends, and help balance your portfolio.