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How the emu could learn from the eagle and see our economy rise again

On Monday I am off to New York again but not for a haircut. I've paid over the odds for a few things in my life, but $428 for a trim a couple of months ago still takes my breath away.
By · 1 Jun 2013
By ·
1 Jun 2013
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On Monday I am off to New York again but not for a haircut. I've paid over the odds for a few things in my life, but $428 for a trim a couple of months ago still takes my breath away.

Nevertheless, I admire Warren-Tricomi Salon for its confidence in its service ... and its pricing policy. They got away with it.

America is such an incredible economy. The enthusiasm and inventiveness of the country just makes you feel good. We could do with a good dollop of it here in Australia.

Everyone has a choice in life and it seems to me that Americans choose to be happy and wealthy. And guess what? Huge numbers of them end up both.

But we are in the media and marketing business and this column returns to this subject from time to time to sighs of relief by editor No.7 who previously encouraged me to "write about anything". The readers were happy with this decision. Editors are clever people.

But this time I am "on message" as I prepare for the Big Apple and I'm thinking about the problems that confront newspapers around the world.

It was peak-hour traffic clogging our streets and other rising costs in the inner city that killed off our old evening newspapers, plus TV news. Readers will recall dad arriving home from work, after a quick one at the pub on the way, with the paper tucked under an arm.

In New York, the killer is not the traffic to get the newspaper truck through, but the cost of the truck itself. Or more precisely the wage deal that pays the drivers $180k a year.

"What a racket," Louise says, "I thought you could only earn that on the iron ore fields of Australia."

"Now I know why a haircut costs $428," Charlie says. "The price is being driven up by Teamster truck drivers."

But the serious part about America is that their advertising market is booming while ours in Australia has shown a lack of confidence and gone backwards. Yet our economy is good compared with elsewhere.

"Announcing an election that far out sure didn't help," Charlie says. "Particularly when it was announced by a minority government. Stupid. It just underlined a general feeling of instability."

But with their election tucked away, the advertising market in America, despite a relatively troubled economy, is set to grow 3 per cent while ours is down 1 per cent from last year. That's crazy!

What it does say though, is that things are set to take off after September. We might even get close to a mini boom time.

I know that our media owners are expecting the good times to roll and I for one think they're right.

We can learn a lot from America, and one of them is believing in ourselves. The thing that is working in America for its newspapers is the digital business. While it's true here that a greater number of people are now reading this column online than in the newspaper itself, the big challenge is how the newspaper owners can transfer that desire for the information into revenue and profits. The answer is the "paywall" - the online barrier that the reader moves through, at a price, to access all the news that has been gathered by the paper.

America has got some great examples; the best of them is The New York Times. It now has about 600,000 paying digital subscribers and the revenue generated from its readers and subscribers overtook advertising income for the first time in 2012. And it's growing at 13 per cent. The grand old company had a good year last year posting a profit of $US133 million compared with a loss of $US39.7 million in 2011.

Charlie has given me five pages on the American economy and he says it's OK. "The Eagle may rise again," he says.

And I am banking on the same happening here after the one day in September. And I don't mean the Roosters or the Magpies soaring. I mean that you might be amazed to see how fast old man emu can move.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The article says Australians can learn to be more confident and entrepreneurial like Americans. It highlights that the US advertising market is booming, digital business models (like paywalls) are working, and that belief in growth could help Australian media and the wider economy recover after a period of weakness.

The article notes the US advertising market was set to grow about 3% while the Australian market was down about 1% from the prior year. That contrast is used to explain stronger commercial confidence in the US versus a more cautious advertising environment in Australia.

A paywall is an online barrier that requires readers to pay to access full news content. The article argues paywalls are important because they let media owners convert online readership into subscription revenue and profit, rather than relying solely on advertising.

The article highlights The New York Times as a leading example: it had about 600,000 paying digital subscribers, reader/subscriber revenue overtook advertising income for the first time in 2012, digital revenue was growing around 13%, and the paper posted a profit of US$133 million after a prior loss of US$39.7 million.

According to the article, yes — Australian media owners are expecting better times and the paywall model that worked in the US is presented as a clear way to monetise online audiences. The challenge is converting online readership into reliable revenue and profits.

The article points out that high distribution costs can hurt print economics — in New York a cited wage deal for truck drivers of about US$180,000 a year raises the cost of getting papers around, which increases overall publishing and delivery expenses. These cost pressures help explain why digital strategies are attractive.

The article suggests that announcing an election—especially by a minority government—undermined confidence and contributed to a weaker advertising market in Australia. That sense of instability made advertisers more cautious, which depressed ad spending.

The article recommends watching indicators such as advertising market trends, growth in digital subscribers, revenue mix (reader revenue vs advertising), management plans for paywalls, and broader consumer or political stability. These signals help show whether media companies are successfully shifting to profitable digital models.