InvestSMART

Higher finish as investors put Italy poll woes behind them

The sharemarket closed the week higher as investors absorbed news of Italy's deadlocked elections and talk of an over-valued exchange rate.
By · 2 Mar 2013
By ·
2 Mar 2013
comments Comments
The sharemarket closed the week higher as investors absorbed news of Italy's deadlocked elections and talk of an over-valued exchange rate.

For the week, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 Index gained 67.7 points, or 1.3 per cent, at 5086.1 points, while the broader All Ordinaries Index rose 64.2 points, or 1.3 per cent, at 5100.9 points.

The market had a volatile ride this week, getting hit early by an unexpected outcome in the Italian election before recovering as US economic data proved better than expected.

"The inconclusive Italian election result with the centre left winning the lower house but not the Senate clearly spooked investors fearful that it would trigger a renewed escalation of the eurozone crisis," the AMP Capital chief economist, Shane Oliver, said. "However, while political uncertainty is the last thing Italy needs right now there is a danger in overreacting."

A CommSec market analyst, Steve Daghlian, said the local bourse managed to close higher for the week as profits season came to a close.

"[It] wasn't great for the miners who have actually lost ground over earnings season," Mr Daghlian said on Friday. "It came after a slight fall on US markets."

But Mr Daghlian said there were still concerns over US fiscal cliff negotiations, and that will be an "important driver" of the market next week.

For the week, Atlas Iron lost 18.5¢, at $1.42, after the miner said it was confident enough about iron ore demand to press on with production growth this year, despite low prices contributing to a heavy full year loss.

AGL Energy rose 69¢, at $15.91, as the company warned that ordinary energy users will pay dearly with higher power bills with new laws locking up coal seam gas reserves.

Beach Energy rose 14¢, at $1.435, after the company trimmed its full year production guidance, just a day after its $349 million shale oil deal with US energy giant Chevron.

Caltex Australia gained $2.30, at $20.54, after the oil company said it would find enough fuel to supply customers despite the looming closure of a refinery adding to worries about Australia's energy security.

James Hardie slipped 5¢, at $9.65, after the building supplies giant said homebuilders were opting for cheaper houses, given weaker economic conditions and problems with affordability. Macmahon Holdings climbed 1¢, at 31¢, after the mining services company said it would post a loss of up to $20 million this financial year because of its troubled construction business.

Harvey Norman gained 28¢, at $2.61. Gerry Harvey said he was banking on a little divine intervention to keep cashed-up shoppers flooding into his stores.

Oil Search gained 38¢, at $7.76, after the company cut back its full year production target after recording a drop in half year profit due to increased exploration activity.

Ramsay Health Care gained $1.21, at $31.62, after the private hospitals and day surgery operator said it wanted to continue its overseas expansion.7

Rio Tinto lost 64¢, at $66.08, after the mining giant appointed the former boss of tollroad owner Transurban, Chris Lynch, as its new chief financial officer.

Seven Group Holdings rose $1.27, at $11.09, after it said it expected to defy a predicted fall in heavy equipment orders and lift its full year earnings by up to 20 per cent.

Westfield Group rose 10¢, at $11.10, after its boss, Peter Lowy, said Australian shoppers may be ready to start splashing their cash again as solid savings rates and low inflation lifts consumer confidence.
Google News
Follow us on Google News
Go to Google News, then click "Follow" button to add us.
Share this article and show your support
Free Membership
Free Membership
InvestSMART
InvestSMART
Keep on reading more articles from InvestSMART. See more articles
Join the conversation
Join the conversation...
There are comments posted so far. Join the conversation, please login or Sign up.

Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The local sharemarket closed higher for the week. The S&P/ASX200 gained 67.7 points (about 1.3%) to finish at 5086.1, while the broader All Ordinaries rose 64.2 points (about 1.3%) to 5100.9.

Yes. The unexpected, deadlocked Italian election initially hit the market and spooked investors worried about a renewed eurozone crisis. AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver warned political uncertainty was unhelpful, though he also cautioned against overreacting. The market later recovered as US economic data came in better than expected.

Several miners saw notable moves: Atlas Iron fell 18.5¢ to $1.42 after reporting a heavy full‑year loss but saying it would press on with production growth; Rio Tinto slipped 64¢ to $66.08 after appointing Chris Lynch as its new CFO; Oil Search rose 38¢ to $7.76 after cutting its full‑year production target following a drop in half‑year profit driven by increased exploration activity. These shifts show how earnings updates, corporate appointments and production guidance can quickly influence share prices in the resources sector.

Energy names had mixed but notable moves: AGL Energy rose 69¢ to $15.91 after warning that new laws locking up coal seam gas reserves could drive higher power bills for ordinary consumers; Beach Energy gained 14¢ to $1.435 after trimming full‑year production guidance, following its $349 million shale oil deal with Chevron; Caltex Australia jumped $2.30 to $20.54 saying it can find enough fuel to supply customers despite concerns about the looming closure of a refinery and Australia’s energy security.

Retail and building stocks showed varied results: Westfield Group rose 10¢ to $11.10 after CEO Peter Lowy said improving savings rates and low inflation may encourage shoppers to spend; Harvey Norman gained 28¢ to $2.61 with founder Gerry Harvey optimistic about demand; James Hardie slipped 5¢ to $9.65 as it said homebuilders were opting for cheaper houses amid weaker economic conditions and affordability issues. These comments highlight how consumer confidence and housing affordability can affect retail and building stocks.

Company announcements had clear market impact: Seven Group Holdings rose $1.27 to $11.09 after forecasting it could lift full‑year earnings by up to 20%; Macmahon Holdings climbed 1¢ to $0.31 despite warning it may post a loss of up to $20 million this year because of its troubled construction unit; Ramsay Health Care gained $1.21 to $31.62 after saying it intends to continue overseas expansion. These examples show how guidance, profit warnings and expansion plans can drive share price reactions.

Analysts flagged a few key drivers: the outcome and fallout from international political events (like the Italian election) and the close of profits season were influential this week, while CommSec analyst Steve Daghlian said ongoing US fiscal cliff negotiations are likely to be an important market driver next week. Investors should watch macro political developments, US fiscal negotiations and company profit updates.