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Good time to buy US shares

With foreign sharemarkets, especially those in the US, looking cheap and the Australian dollar holding more sway on Times Square than Federation Square, the case for investing overseas has never been stronger.
By · 23 Apr 2011
By ·
23 Apr 2011
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With foreign sharemarkets, especially those in the US, looking cheap and the Australian dollar holding more sway on Times Square than Federation Square, the case for investing overseas has never been stronger.

Brokerage costs are falling; you can buy into sectors that are non-existent here; tax, legal and accounting regimes are synchronising; and information is easy to access.

So how should you go about it?

In part one of this survival guide, we'll outline some basic principles. Then, in part two, we'll lay out your investment options.

1. Choose a broker

Commonwealth Bank's Pershing service, E*Trade and Interactive Brokers all offer access to international markets. Aside from trading costs, consider the markets in which you wish to invest, whether you need to make foreign-currency deposits before placing an order, whether cash deposits receive interest and the broker's financial position. Choosing brokers that are members of the US Securities Investor Protection Corporation helps protect your investment if the broker goes broke.

Also, be wary of glossy brochures from brokers flogging financial products. A foreign margin-loan application was included with my brokerage account approval pack.

A quick phone call revealed US dollar loans were available at 9 per cent interest, while the country's official interest rate is virtually zero. The Intelligent Investor doesn't recommend employing leverage, especially when dealing in foreign currencies and especially not at those rates.

2. Local rules

Opening a foreign brokerage account is like having an overseas driver's licence. Local road rules might mean you need to tweak your approach.

Frequently, overseas dividends don't carry franking credits, so foreign companies often favour share buybacks over dividends. If you're an income investor, the lower dividends need to be taken into account. Perhaps foreign stocks aren't right for you. Even if you do find stocks that pay decent dividends, your income will swing with fluctuations in exchange rates.

3. Stock ideas

To help unearth good stock ideas, consider newsletter services such as Value Investor Insight (valueinvestorinsight.com) and free websites such as gurufocus.com. Most stocks will be US-based but don't let that fool you. Unlike the ASX, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange list plenty of foreign companies. Many Chinese companies that want to raise capital are improving their disclosure in order to obtain a US listing. That makes it easier to invest in Chinese companies, bypassing the Shanghai Stock Exchange, which is off limits to most foreign investors.

Combing through stocks owned by successful fund managers and investors is another good place to look for ideas. Fund managers such as Platinum Asset Management (www.platinum.com.au) publish quarterly newsletters that disclose their (largest) stockholdings. And each quarter, gurufocus.com publishes and discusses the portfolio changes of popular US value investors.

However, you'll get more bang for your buck from smaller stocks that fly under the radar of institutions (unlike Australia, US companies valued at more than $1 billion are considered "small caps").

4. Exchange rates

Exchange rates fluctuate, often wildly. If periods of high volatility, such as the Aussie dollar plunging from US98? to US60? in late 2008, might lead you to sell in panic, foreign investing probably isn't for you. Having a long-term view provides your first layer of protection to such movements but you need the mental discipline to see out the difficult periods.

Also, watch out for inflationist central banks. If you're concerned about a weak US dollar, consider stocks with internationally diversified revenues such as US-listed Yum! Brands (which owns KFC and Pizza Hut), McDonald's and Walmart, for example. If the US dollar were to fall further - and that seems to be the plan of Fed chairman Ben Bernanke - any company with predominantly non-US earnings would benefit.

The philosophy of legendary investor John Templeton was to "search among many markets for the companies selling for the smallest fraction of their true worth".

That makes it sound easier than it is - which is why most investors tend not to diversify internationally - but if you're attracted to the principle but are put off by the practical obstacles, watch out for part two of our survival guide on April 30.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The article argues the case is strong: many foreign sharemarkets, especially US stocks, look relatively cheap, brokerage costs are falling, and it's easier to access overseas sectors and information. That said, it also warns investors to weigh currency risk, local rules and their own time horizon before buying US shares.

Choose a broker that offers the markets you want (Commonwealth Bank’s Pershing service, E*Trade and Interactive Brokers are examples), compares well on trading costs, and clearly explains whether you must deposit foreign currency before trading and whether cash deposits earn interest. Also consider the broker’s financial strength and whether it’s a member of the US Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) for added protection.

The article cautions against using leverage when investing in foreign currencies — it highlights a broker offering US dollar loans at 9% interest while the official rate was near zero and cites The Intelligent Investor’s advice to avoid leverage. Margin loans can magnify losses, so most everyday investors are advised to steer clear.

Unlike Australian shares, overseas dividends often don’t carry franking credits, and many foreign companies prefer buybacks to cash dividends. If you rely on dividend income, expect lower or more variable payouts and remember your income will also move with exchange-rate swings.

The article recommends using newsletter services such as Value Investor Insight and free research sites like gurufocus.com, and studying holdings disclosed by successful fund managers (for example Platinum Asset Management). US exchanges (NASDAQ, NYSE) also list many foreign companies, including Chinese firms improving disclosure to gain US listings.

You may find more potential in smaller US-listed companies that fly under institutional radars — the article notes that US firms valued at over US$1 billion are sometimes still classed as 'small caps', offering more scope for outsized returns than comparable Australian stocks.

Exchange rates can move wildly and materially change your returns — the article points to past Aussie-dollar swings that could prompt panic selling. A long-term view and mental discipline help, and one way to reduce currency exposure is to consider US-listed companies with internationally diversified revenues (for example Yum! Brands, McDonald’s and Walmart).

Treat a foreign brokerage account like an overseas driver’s licence: local 'road rules' may require you to tweak your approach. Check whether you need foreign-currency deposits before placing orders, whether cash balances earn interest, be wary of glossy promotional material (such as unsolicited margin-loan offers), and confirm protections like SIPC membership.