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Good news from China helps drag bourse out of doldrums

It was a rollercoaster ride for shares this week as a long list of companies reported their full-year results.
By · 24 Aug 2013
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24 Aug 2013
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It was a rollercoaster ride for shares this week as a long list of companies reported their full-year results.

Fears about US Federal Reserve tapering continued this week, with bond yields increasing and global sharemarkets remaining volatile.

There was renewed speculation the Bank of Japan might have to unleash another round of stimulus in coming months.

Ratings agency Standard & Poor's warned the normalisation of global monetary policy could lead to a sharp outflow of capital from the Asia-Pacific, triggering higher financing costs and exchange rate volatility.

But there was some good economic news from overseas, with positive manufacturing data from China and Europe helping to improve sentiment at home.

For the week, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 rose 9.5 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 5123.4 points, while the All Ordinaries rose 15.1 points, or 0.3 per cent, to 5115.2 points.

Analysts pointed out that only 49 per cent of the 126 companies that have reported their profits so far have surprised on the earnings line. So the bourse had been drifting lower for the week, with little help from lacklustre profits, but it managed to close slightly in the black after Asian markets bounced back on Friday, lifting Australia with it.

Local shares outperformed Wall Street on Friday as the first positive Chinese manufacturing data in four months boosted banks and miners.

China's upbeat purchasing managers' index reading for August helped local shares gain nearly 1 per cent, against a 0.44 per cent gain for the Dow Jones index on Thursday.

"You go back three or four months and there were some concerns that China wasn't going to grow," RBS Morgans senior private client adviser Bill Chatterton said.

"Irrespective of commentary from some of the political areas saying the mining boom is dead, it's not," he said.

Economists still expect another interest rate cut, saying it is clear from the minutes of the Reserve Bank's last meeting that the bank still retains a cutting bias. But few expect it to move next month.

"The Reserve Bank board next meets on September 3, this is four days before the election," Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said.

"The board's minutes for the August meeting stated clearly that rates are likely to be on hold in September but that the board has not closed off the possibility of reducing rates further. That is consistent with our own view that more rate cuts can be expected over the course of the next six months."

Mr Evans said he expects rates will be cut in November by 25 basis points, with another cut likely "early in 2014".

For the week, BHP Billiton fell $1.23¢, or 3.3 per cent, to $35.64, after the miner reported a heavy fall in annual profit.

Rio Tinto fell 15¢, to $59.93, after the minerals explorer Metals X acquired Rio's interests in the Mt Davies joint venture in South Australia for $500,000.

BlueScope Steel dropped 37¢, or 6.8 per cent, to $5.10, after the steelmaker reported a solid turnaround but ruled out dividends, warned of a flat outlook and increased its exposure to Australia's steel market with new acquisitions.

Boral gained 16¢, or 3.6 per cent, to $4.24, after the building products maker said it was preparing for another difficult year after reporting a $212 million annual loss.

Suncorp rose 50¢, or 4 per cent, to $12.84, despite posting a 32 per cent drop in annual profit due to losses from its non-core portfolio.
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