Diversified Portfolios - Intelligent Investor Equity Income - 31 March 2016

InvestSMART Equity Income Portfolio March Report

COMMENTARY


PORTFOLIO COMMENTARY

After the market’s January wobbles, things settled down in February and March and our Equity Income Portfolio recovered to end the quarter with a 0.5%. Hardly ideal, but a little better than the All Ordinaries’ loss for the period of 2.4%.

Since 1 July 2015, when we opened it up for direct investment, the portfolio has returned 8.6%, which is 10.5% ahead of the All Ords’ 1.9% loss. Since inception in 2001, the portfolio has returned 13.3% a year compared to 7.5% a year for the All Ords.

As has been the case for most of the past year, we were helped by our limited exposure to the banking sector, with the big four banks each losing around 10% (and ANZ dropping 16%) in the quarter. Between them, the big four account for around a quarter of the All Ords, while our Equity Income Portfolio’s exposure is limited to 1.6%in each of Commonwealth Bank and Westpac. At current prices, however, these two banks are beginning to look attractive and, since the end of the quarter, we have increased our weightings in each by about 1 percentage point to 2.6%.

We also invested 3% of the portfolio into Macquarie Group in February, at $60.28, after it had fallen 27% since the start of the year. The negativity surrounding global markets had pushed the stock down to just ten times forecast earnings per share for the year to March, which we feel undervalues the company given its shift towards more stable streams of earnings.

Also in February we invested about 3% in Ansell at $15.05, after its share price tumbled as much as 20% after management warned that earnings per share would fall by around 17% in 2016, in US dollar terms, compared to previous guidance of a 9% fall.

Our final purchase for the quarter was to increase our weighting in Woolworths from 3.3% to 5.3%. The company’s problems have been well documented, but it remains a high-quality business with the best supermarket locations and most efficient supply chain.

Making way for these purchases were the redoubtable Washington H Soul Pattinson and Servcorp. We’re great fans of both these companies and would gladly have continued to hold them, but neither is particularly cheap after returning 24% and 20%respectively this financial year.

So far, Macquarie and Ansell have rewarded us with returns of 10% and 13%(Woolworths was only bought on 30 March). The standout performer of the quarter, though, was South32, which leapt 38% from what we considered to be very oversold levels, as commodity prices recovered.

At the other end of the scale, OzForex lost 39% after it announced a profit warning alongside news that Western Union had failed to come up with an offer for the company following its due diligence. The company said the lower expected profits were due to a reduction in marketing expenditure while the group switches over to its new global logo: OFX. At current prices the stock looks cheap, but we’re reluctant to add our 3% holding due to the increased risks.

Computershare was the other notable faller, losing 16% after a disappointing interim result compounded concerns over potential disruption to its business from distributed ledger (aka ‘block chain’) technology. One way or another, it’s becoming clear that Computershare isn’t as good a business as we once thought, but that is already more than reflected in its share price, which represents a multiple of just over 13 times this year’s expected earnings per share.

 



INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE


The investment objective is to achieve an income return of 5% from a portfolio of high yielding shares selected from the All Ordinaries Index per annum.

GROWTH OF $10,000


Income Reinvested




PEFORMANCE SUMMARY TO 31 MARCH 2016





Source: Praemium, RBA. Returns are before expenses and fees. Returns are shown as annualised if the period is over 1 year. * Since Inception (SI) date is 1 July 2015.


PERFORMANCE TO 31 MARCH 20161 MONTH3 MONTH6 MONTHSI* (P.A.)
Intelligent Investor Equity Income Portfolio 4.73% -0.55% 7.50% 8.63%
ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index 4.74% -2.35% 4.11% -1.92%
Excess to Benchmark -0.01% 1.81% 3.38% 10.55%


Important Information

While every care has been taken in preparation of this document, InvestSMART Financial Services Limited (ABN 70 089 038 531, AFSL 226435) (“InvestSMART”) makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This document has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information, without taking account of any particular investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this document, and see professional advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. This document is solely for the use of the party to whom it is provided. This document has been prepared for InvestSMART by InvestSense Pty Ltd ABN 31 601 876 528, Authorised Representative of Sentry Asset Management Pty Ltd AFSL 408 800. Financial commentary contained within this report is provided by InvestSense Pty Ltd. The information contained in this document is not intended to be a definitive statement on the subject matter nor an endorsement that this model portfolio is appropriate for you and should not be relied upon in making a decision to invest in this product. The information in this report is general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. No representations or warranties express or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this report. In preparing this report, InvestSMART and InvestSense Pty Ltd has relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available to us. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither InvestSMART, InvestSense Pty Ltd or their directors, employees or agents accept any liability for any loss arising in relation to this report. The suitability of the investment product to your needs depends on your individual circumstances and objectives and should be discussed with your Adviser. Potential investors must read the PDS, Approved Product List and FSG along with any accompanying materials. Investment in securities and other financial products involves risk. An investment in a financial product may have the potential for capital growth and income, but may also carry the risk that the total return on the investment may be less than the amount contributed directly by the investor. Past performance of financial products is not a reliable indicator of future performance. InvestSense Pty Ltd does not assure nor guarantee the performance of any financial products offered. Information, opinions, historical performance, calculations or assessments of performance of financial products or markets rely on assumptions about tax, reinvestment, market performance, liquidity and other factors that will be important and may fluctuate over time. InvestSense Pty Ltd, InvestSMART Financial Services Limited, its associates and their respective directors and other staff each declare that they may, from time to time, hold interests in Securities that are contained in this investment product.

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