Australian equity markets were up 3.8% for the month of May bouyed by the RBA's decision to cut rates in early May and following the lead from international equity markets which were up 6.0% for the month. Emerging market equities were up 1.4%in May.
Australian REITs continued to be a solid performer over the month, returning 2.7% for May. Australian REITs are up 12.2% since the start of the year compared to the broader Australian equity market which is up 3.7%. It is apparent that A-REITs are being supported by a low interest rate environment and investors desire for yield. In this context we believe that valuations in the REIT sector continue to appear stretched. Global property also posted a positive return for the month returning 1.8%.
Within fixed interest, Australian bonds posted a return of 1.3% over the month of May as the bond market reacted to the cut in interest rates by the RBA. Global bonds returned 0.6% for the month. Cash returned 0.2% over the month and 0.1% since the start of the year.
The InvestSMART High Growth portfolio returned 3.7% over the month of May, lagging its benchmark but ahead of its RBA Cash Rate 4% objective. The overweight to cash and underweight to US equities detracted from performance over the month relative to the benchmark.
Th.e Australian equity exposure via the MSCI Australia 200 ETF returned 3.0% over the month. Within international equities, the exposure to US equities via the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF and iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF returned 7.2% and 7.8%respectively. The Vanguard All-World ex US Shares Index ETF and iShares Europe ETF returned 5.3% and 5.4% respectively. The MSCI Emerging Markets ETF was up for the month returning 2.5% but dragged relative to developed equities.
Within property, the Australian property exposure (via the Vanguard Australian Property Securities ETF) returned 2.8% for the month, while global property (via the SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate Fund ETF) returned 5.9%.
The BetaShares Australian High Interest Cash ETF returned 0.2% over the month.
Growth of $10,000
Asset Allocation as at 31 MAY 2016
Source: Praemium, RBA
Returns are before expenses and fees. Returns are shown as annualised if the period is over 1 year. * Since Inception (SI) date is 24 October 2014.
The portfolio remains overweight Australian equities on the basis that valuations appear reasonably compelling when compared to other asset classes and given the attractive yield characteristics of the asset class. The portfolio is expected to do well in an environment where Australian equities outperform other asset classes. Within international equities the portfolios have a bias towards emerging markets and an underweight to US equities, therefore the portfolio will benefit when US equities underperform broader equity markets and emerging markets do well.Current market pricing implies that the portfolio's RBA Cash Rate 4% objective is achievable over the long-term but only through a very high allocation to relatively volatile equity investments. This means that investors should be comfortable with a high degree of volatility, which could result in a short-term fall in the portfolio's value of around 27%.
|PERFORMANCE TO 31 MAY 2016||1 MONTH||3 MONTH||6 MONTH||1 YEAR||SI* (P.A.)|
|InvestSMART High Growth Portfolio||3.65%||8.63%||3.12%||-0.64%||8.77%|
|Morningstar Multisector Agressive Index||4.03%||8.35%||3.68%||1.64%||10.53%|
|Excess to Benchmark||-0.38%||0.27%||-0.56%||-2.28%||-1.76%|
|RBA Cash Rate 4%||0.48%||1.48%||2.99%||6.10%||6.22%|
|Excess to Objective||3.17%||7.14%||0.12%||-86.74%||2.55%|
Peformance Summary to 31 May 2016
The investment objective is to achieve a return of 4% above the RBA Cash rate per annum over rolling ten year periods by investing in a diverse mix of asset classes covering Australian equities, international equities, property, infrastructure, alternatives, fixed interest and cash.
Contribution to Return 1 Month to 31 May 2016
While every care has been taken in preparation of this document, InvestSMART Financial Services Limited (ABN 70 089 038 531, AFSL 226435) (“InvestSMART”) makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This document has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information, without taking account of any particular investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this document, and see professional advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. This document is solely for the use of the party to whom it is provided. This document has been prepared for InvestSMART by InvestSense Pty Ltd ABN 31 601 876 528, Authorised Representative of Sentry Asset Management Pty Ltd AFSL 408 800. Financial commentary contained within this report is provided by InvestSense Pty Ltd. The information contained in this document is not intended to be a definitive statement on the subject matter nor an endorsement that this model portfolio is appropriate for you and should not be relied upon in making a decision to invest in this product. The information in this report is general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. No representations or warranties express or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this report. In preparing this report, InvestSMART and InvestSense Pty Ltd has relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available to us. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither InvestSMART, InvestSense Pty Ltd or their directors, employees or agents accept any liability for any loss arising in relation to this report. The suitability of the investment product to your needs depends on your individual circumstances and objectives and should be discussed with your Adviser. Potential investors must read the PDS, Approved Product List and FSG along with any accompanying materials. Investment in securities and other financial products involves risk. An investment in a financial product may have the potential for capital growth and income, but may also carry the risk that the total return on the investment may be less than the amount contributed directly by the investor. Past performance of financial products is not a reliable indicator of future performance. InvestSense Pty Ltd does not assure nor guarantee the performance of any financial products offered. Information, opinions, historical performance, calculations or assessments of performance of financial products or markets rely on assumptions about tax, reinvestment, market performance, liquidity and other factors that will be important and may fluctuate over time. InvestSense Pty Ltd, InvestSMART Financial Services Limited, its associates and their respective directors and other staff each declare that they may, from time to time, hold interests in Securities that are contained in this investment product.