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Commission questions high energy profits

The door has been opened to full deregulation of electricity prices in NSW after a report found there was a high degree of competition, with more than 60 per cent of households on unregulated contracts.
By · 24 May 2013
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24 May 2013
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The door has been opened to full deregulation of electricity prices in NSW after a report found there was a high degree of competition, with more than 60 per cent of households on unregulated contracts.

Even so, Victoria's Essential Services Commission has warned it is concerned about signs of a lack of competition in the state, which is supposedly one of the most competitive energy markets in the world.

The commission is finalising a report, which may be released as soon as Friday, which questions the high profit margins of the energy retailers - primarily EnergyAustralia, Origin Energy and AGL.

Commission chairman Ron Ben-David, in a speech on Thursday, highlighted the fact that electricity prices in Victoria had moved sharply higher, in tandem with NSW, over the past five years, even though the power industry in Victoria had not undertaken the heavy capital spending that had occurred in NSW.

The commission has found that the profit margin of retailers in Victoria, where there is no price regulation, are as much as four times larger than in NSW or Queensland - the two largest remaining states in the national electricity market with price regulation.

"Either competition is not effective or retailers are extracting economic rent," Mr Ben-David said, referring to the possibility the retailers are using their market position to distort prices.

"Victoria may have the most competitive market ... but is it efficient?"

The rollout of smart meters will give retailers the potential for even greater control over the market, he said, since they would be able to obtain intimate details of the household energy consumption patterns, and change their pricing structures accordingly.

"It will take time for retailers to gain this advantage, but it will be possible," he warned.

While confirming the degree of competition in the NSW market, the Australian Energy Markets Commission has recommended ongoing monitoring of the market, which should be accompanied by the ability to reintroduce price caps if competition proves to be no longer effective.

NSW Energy Minister Chris Hartcher said the government would wait until it received the final report from the AEMC before responding. "Until we are confident competition in the market has been found to be effective - that is, giving NSW customers the best and cheapest price available - the government will continue to provide a regulated price option," he said.

The chief executive of Australian Power & Gas, Jim Myatt, said price regulation had not protected customers from price shocks.

"Opening up NSW to full market competition will ultimately provide better outcomes and innovation for customers," he said.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The AEMC found a high degree of competition in NSW and noted more than 60% of households are already on unregulated contracts, opening the door to full deregulation. It recommended ongoing market monitoring and keeping the option to reintroduce price caps if competition stops being effective.

The Essential Services Commission flagged concerns that, despite being very competitive, Victoria may not be efficient. Its report questioned why retailer profit margins in Victoria have risen sharply over the past five years and found margins can be as much as four times larger than in NSW or Queensland.

The report specifically questioned the high profit margins of the major energy retailers EnergyAustralia, Origin Energy and AGL.

The rollout of smart meters could give retailers detailed household consumption data, enabling them to tailor pricing structures more precisely. The commission warned this could give retailers greater control over the market over time and change competitive dynamics.

NSW currently keeps a regulated price option while it assesses competition. The AEMC recommended the ability to reintroduce price caps if monitoring shows competition is no longer delivering the best and cheapest prices for customers.

Jim Myatt, chief executive of Australian Power & Gas, said price regulation had not protected customers from price shocks and argued that opening up NSW to full market competition would ultimately deliver better outcomes and innovation for customers.

Investors should monitor regulatory scrutiny and reports from bodies like the AEMC and Victoria's Essential Services Commission, watch for potential reintroduction of price caps, observe how smart meter rollout changes retailer pricing, and track profit-margin trends at major retailers such as EnergyAustralia, Origin and AGL.

If regulators conclude competition is ineffective or that retailers are extracting economic rent, further investigations or interventions (including price caps) could follow. That regulatory risk, plus changes from smart meters and monitoring recommendations, could influence investor sentiment and valuations for listed retailers mentioned in the report.