SUPERANNUATION funds, sovereign funds and high-net-worth private investors will be the big buyers of commercial real estate in the coming year as they direct cash away from volatile sharemarkets.
They will take the place of ASX-listed real estate investment trusts (A-REITS), which remain cash-strapped and in the consolidation phase as they focus on share buybacks to narrow the gap between their security price and net tangible assets value.
The funds will aim for a range of assets, with big groups already targeting properties such as Sydney's $750 million MLC Centre.
Melbourne-based private company Gandel has recently appointed former Macquarie Group director Kylie Rampa as its chief executive with an agenda to expand its asset base.
In the past year, the big-ticket commercial property purchases across Sydney and Melbourne have involved super funds and overseas sovereign funds.
These include Queensland Investment Corporation's $167 million purchase of the remaining half-share in 52 Martin Place, Sydney Commonwealth Property Office Fund's sale of 259 George Street, Sydney, to the Singapore Tay family for $395 million Boston-based Pembroke Real Estate's acquisition of 20 Martin Place for $95 million and the sale of Defence Plaza at 661 Bourke Street for $100 million to a German institutional investor, Real I.S. AG.
Peter Lambert, chief executive of Local Government Super, which owns many Sydney properties, expects 2012 to be the year of super funds.
"Clearly there is a lot of nervousness with the global equity markets at the moment," he said. "And with interest rates in Europe as low as they can go, it is difficult for super funds to support overseas bonds.
"That means the cash flow we get will be looking for other investments and that leaves us with property and infrastructure. We will be looking at both direct assets and taking securities in the A-REITs."
James Parry, Knight Frank's national director, predicts that wealth funds and large global pension funds from Canada, Singapore, Malaysia and Korea will be the most active players.
He said REITS would be divesting non-core assets to implement business strategies, such as share buybacks and development pipelines.
"While economic uncertainty exists around the globe, Australia remains a bright spot in an increasingly uncertain world," he said. "This is thanks to our high levels of transparency and the ability for foreign investors to invest large quantums of money.
"While the $A has strengthened substantially against the euro, sterling and $US, there are other currencies/countries which remain good value against the Australian dollar, including Canada, Switzerland and Singapore."
He noted that the commercial property market had recently experienced significant increases in volumes of private investors looking to invest $10 million-$80 million each.
"The majority of this has come from Asia, with about 20 per cent from Europe," he said. "Whilst the majority of these investors are focused on CBD assets, we are seeing them start to move up the risk curve and into the suburban markets."
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Who are expected to be the big buyers of commercial real estate in Australia next year?
Superannuation funds, sovereign (wealth) funds and high-net-worth private investors are expected to be the major buyers of Australian commercial real estate as they redirect cash away from volatile sharemarkets.
Why are superannuation funds and large wealth funds moving money into commercial property instead of shares or bonds?
According to the article, nervousness in global equity markets and very low interest rates overseas (making bonds unattractive) mean super funds are looking for alternative income and stability, so they’re targeting property and infrastructure as destinations for cash flow.
How are ASX-listed REITs (A-REITs) being affected by this shift of capital into commercial real estate?
A-REITs are described as cash‑strapped and in a consolidation phase; many are focusing on share buybacks to narrow the gap between price and net tangible asset value and divesting non-core assets to implement their strategies.
What types of commercial properties are these big investors targeting?
Large groups and foreign investors have been targeting prime CBD assets — for example Sydney and Melbourne office towers like the MLC Centre — but the article notes private investors are also starting to move up the risk curve into suburban markets.
Which international investors are most active in Australia’s commercial property market?
The article identifies wealth funds and large global pension funds from Canada, Singapore, Malaysia and Korea as particularly active, with the majority of private investor volume coming from Asia and about 20% from Europe.
Can you give examples of recent big commercial property transactions mentioned in the article?
Yes — examples include Queensland Investment Corporation’s $167 million purchase of a half-share in 52 Martin Place; the sale of 259 George Street to the Singapore Tay family for $395 million; Pembroke Real Estate’s $95 million purchase of 20 Martin Place; and Defence Plaza at 661 Bourke Street sold for $100 million to German institutional investor Real I.S. AG.
What does the appointment of Kylie Rampa as CEO of the Gandel group indicate for investors?
The article says Melbourne-based private company Gandel appointed former Macquarie director Kylie Rampa as chief executive with an agenda to expand its asset base, signaling the group may pursue more acquisitions or growth in property holdings.
How does the strength of the Australian dollar affect foreign investment in Australian commercial property?
While the Australian dollar has strengthened substantially against the euro, sterling and US dollar, the article notes some currencies — including Canada, Switzerland and Singapore — still offer good value against the Australian dollar, making their investors more competitive in buying Australian commercial assets.