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Caltex hit in supermarket wars

Oil refiner and marketer Caltex suffered a loss of petrol sales during the June half as Coles ramped up price discounting with its "shopper dockets".
By · 27 Aug 2013
By ·
27 Aug 2013
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Oil refiner and marketer Caltex suffered a loss of petrol sales during the June half as Coles ramped up price discounting with its "shopper dockets".

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has been reviewing the petrol discount scheme operated by the big supermarket chains, Woolworths and Coles, amid industry-wide criticism it gives them an unfair competitive advantage.

Caltex supplies Woolworths with its petroleum products, giving it a prime exposure to the supermarket wars.

Caltex made the disclosure when unveiling a profit for the June half of $195 million, up from $167 million a year earlier, as it benefited from inventory gains on the oil price movement. Revenue totalled $11.5 billion, down from $11.8 billion a year earlier.

Inventory gains flattered earnings by $24 million in the half, compared with losses of $30 million in the year earlier period.

A steady interim dividend of 17¢ a share was declared.

Earnings per share in the half rose to 72.2¢ from 61.8¢ a year earlier.

Stripping out the impact of oil price movements and profits fell to $171 million on a so-called replacement cost basis from $197 million a year earlier, coming in at the upper end of its recent guidance of $160 million to $175 million.

Supply disruptions at the Lytton refinery in Brisbane and to premium product supplies in Sydney, along with the slide in the Australian dollar, wiped an estimated $20 million off earnings, it said.

The currency alone cost $39 million, which would have been $85 million but for a group policy of hedging 50 per cent of its foreign exchange exposure.

In the supermarket wars, Caltex said Woolworths had been slow in responding to the discounting by Coles, which had pressured deliveries for a time.

By the end of the June half, the discounting had stabilised, with volumes returning to usual levels.

Caltex has consistently refused to signal the extent of the supplies made to Woolworths, only pointing out that while it is an important outlet it acts as a wholesaler, so the margins are modest.

Sales volumes of unleaded fuel and ethanol mix fuels remained soft, Caltex said, although it was continuing to benefit from a shift to sales of premium product for both petroleum and diesel product lines.

Sales of premium petrol rose 4 per cent, and would have topped 5 per cent but for supply disruptions in the Sydney market.

Despite concerns over a slowdown in resource sector activity, Caltex said it was continuing to ship rising volumes to the sector, where it is benefiting from the need to tap deeper ore bodies in both the coal and iron ore sectors as shallower reserves are mined out.

As the ratio of overburden being shifted rises, this is flowing through to rising diesel volumes, it said.

This could lift volumes by as much as 30 per cent.

Analysts were wary of recommending Caltex shares due to "execution risks" in closing Kurnell, earnings volatility from the Lytton refinery and potential for increased marketing competition from rivals.
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

Caltex says the hit to petrol sales was driven by Coles ramping up price discounting through its "shopper dockets" as part of the supermarket price wars. That discounting pressured deliveries for a time, and Woolworths was slow to respond, which reduced volumes for Caltex during the period.

Caltex reported a statutory profit of $195 million for the June half, up from $167 million a year earlier, while revenue fell to $11.5 billion from $11.8 billion. Earnings per share rose to 72.2¢ from 61.8¢, and the company declared a steady interim dividend of 17¢ a share.

Inventory gains arise from oil price movements affecting the value of stock on hand. For the half, inventory gains boosted Caltex's reported earnings by $24 million (versus a $30 million inventory loss a year earlier). On a replacement cost basis—which strips out those price-movement effects—Caltex’s profit was $171 million.

A slide in the Australian dollar reduced Caltex's earnings. The currency effect alone cost the company $39 million, whereas the impact would have been about $85 million if not for Caltex's policy of hedging 50% of its foreign exchange exposure.

Yes. Supply disruptions at the Lytton refinery in Brisbane and to premium product supplies in Sydney wiped an estimated $20 million off earnings and constrained some premium fuel availability during the half.

Caltex reported soft sales volumes for unleaded and ethanol-mix fuels, but it has benefited from a shift to premium products. Sales of premium petrol rose about 4% (and would have been over 5% without Sydney supply disruptions). The company is also shipping rising diesel volumes to the resources sector, which could lift diesel volumes substantially—management said as much as a 30% increase is possible as mining overburden ratios rise.

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has been reviewing the petrol discount schemes run by the big supermarkets, Woolworths and Coles, amid criticism those programs give supermarkets an unfair competitive advantage. The review matters to Caltex because supermarket discounting (notably Coles' shopper dockets) has affected petrol sales and delivery patterns in the market.

Analysts expressed caution about recommending Caltex shares because of several execution and operational risks cited in the article: the complexities of closing the Kurnell refinery, earnings volatility tied to the Lytton refinery, and the potential for increased marketing competition from rivals in the retail fuel and supermarket space.