Bumper Friday helps market end the week in the black
In the biggest one-day jump since January last year, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 rose 96 points, or 2 per cent, to 4791.8 on Friday, while the broader All Ordinaries Index added 90.6 points, or 1.9 per cent, at 4775.5.
For the week, the ASX 200 finished 0.7 per cent higher, ending a four-week run of losses.
Before Friday, the index was down 1.3 per cent and was close to wiping out all its gains for the year.
Speculation that the Federal Reserve would taper its quantitative easing program was offset by better-than-expected US economic data.
Strong retail sales numbers and jobless claims were enough to encourage traders that the world's largest economy was on the road to recovery.
Wall Street jumped on the signs of resilience, snapping a three-day losing streak, which flowed through international markets.
This is at odds with recent trends, where investors have reacted negatively to positive US economic data, taking it as a sign the Fed may stop printing money.
Japan's Nikkei rose 1.9 per cent, while Chinese markets bounced back from six-month lows hit on Thursday.
Banks, which started gathering momentum earlier in the week while the rest of the ASX was still suffering losses, led the charge.
For the week, Westpac rose 4.9 per cent to $28.94, ANZ 4.2 per cent to $27.82, NAB 3.6 per cent to $29.38 and Commonwealth Bank 3.2 per cent to $67.10.
"Generally this year, the banks have led the way," Ord Minnett senior investment adviser Tony Paterno said. "Once the banks start moving up, it does drag the rest of the index up as a lot of safer money comes back into the market."
While mining stocks rose sharply on Friday, their losses earlier in the week offset much of the gains. BHP and Fortescue finished about 0.5 per cent lower, but Rio Tinto managed to buck the trend, rising 1.5 per cent.
"The market is sending a lot of mixed signals." Mr Paterno said. "It's not being rational at the moment, it's a bit like a casino."
Next week's US Fed meeting will be crucial for investor confidence. Volatility is likely to continue until chairman Ben Bernanke makes clear the Fed's intentions with regard to its quantitative easing.
The Australian dollar continued its wild ride this week, trading as low as US94.27¢ early in the week and as high as US96.64¢ on Thursday night in the US.
In late trade on Friday, the Aussie was fetching US95.90¢, 91.2 yen, 71.87 euro cents and 61.08 British pence.
ANZ currency strategist Andrew Salter said the fall in dollar was "just collateral damage", caught up in a volatile market place.
"It's something that's not really Aussie specific at the moment, it looks to be a consequence of what's going on in the Nikkei and yen in Japan," Mr Salter said.
Through this month, the yen has been strengthening against major currencies. It has risen 6 per cent against the US dollar, 3.3 per cent against the euro and 5.7 per cent against the Australian dollar.
Mr Salter said the volatility surrounding the Aussie was linked to uncertainty regarding the US' quantitative easing.
"I don't think markets have a clear understanding of that. We'll wait for the FOMC [Fed Open Markets Committee] meeting next week," he said.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
A late-week global rally driven by stronger-than-expected US economic data pushed markets higher. The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 96 points (about 2%) to 4,791.8 in the biggest one-day rise since January, while the All Ordinaries climbed 90.6 points (1.9%) to 4,775.5.
Banks led as safer money flowed back into the market once financial stocks started gaining momentum. For the week Westpac rose 4.9% to $28.94, ANZ gained 4.2% to $27.82, NAB added 3.6% to $29.38 and Commonwealth Bank increased 3.2% to $67.10.
Mining stocks rose on Friday but earlier weekly losses offset much of those gains. BHP and Fortescue finished about 0.5% lower for the period, while Rio Tinto bucked the trend and rose 1.5%.
Better-than-expected US retail sales and jobless claims encouraged traders and helped Wall Street snap a three-day losing streak, which flowed through to international markets. That positive data partly offset speculation the Federal Reserve might taper quantitative easing, creating mixed market reactions.
Yes — volatility is likely to continue until the US Federal Reserve clarifies its plans. Investors are watching the upcoming Fed (FOMC) meeting and comments from chairman Ben Bernanke for signals on the future of quantitative easing.
The Aussie swung between about US94.27 cents and US96.64 cents, trading near US95.90 cents in late Friday trade (also 91.2 yen, 71.87 euro cents and 61.08 pence). ANZ's currency strategist described part of the move as 'collateral damage' from broader market volatility, including the Nikkei and yen moves, and uncertainty around US QE.
The market is sending mixed signals — late rallies can mask earlier weakness and reactions to economic data are unpredictable. As the article noted, the market feels less rational at times, so everyday investors should be aware that short-term swings can be driven by global data and policy uncertainty.
A rebound on Wall Street after strong US data helped lift international markets, while Japan's Nikkei rose 1.9% and Chinese markets bounced back from six-month lows. That global momentum late in the week pulled Australian shares out of a slump and helped the ASX 200 end the week 0.7% higher.

