THE world's biggest asset manager, BlackRock, is backing US equities instead of bonds, because companies benefit from a weak US dollar and have surplus cash to invest for growth.
"We love equities, we love dividend stocks," chief executive Laurence Fink said in Hong Kong yesterday.
"You own Treasuries because you're worried about the world and the future, but if you believe the world is a good place to invest for the long cycle, you have to be in equities."
Mr Fink co-founded BlackRock in 1988 and built the company through acquisitions. BlackRock advised the Federal Reserve on illiquid debt portfolios at the height of the financial crisis.
Mr Fink said that he was a "big buyer" of the US dollar, didn't see a bear market in bonds and would buy Treasuries if yields rose above 4 per cent.
"If you just could get a 4 per cent growth in equity markets and a 3.5 per cent dividend, you're earning 7.5 per cent, basically approaching what your liabilities are," Mr Fink said. "Global liabilities are anywhere from 7.5 per cent to 8 per cent and you can't earn your liabilities earning 3.5 per cent in 10-year Treasuries."
Pacific Investment Management Co managing director Bill Gross is also increasing his bet against US government debt Pimco's $US241 billion total return fund had minus 4 per cent of its assets in government and related debt at the end of April, compared with minus 3 per cent in March.
Mr Fink said BlackRock had "huge plans" to increase its hold in Asia.
"Asia is one of our key growth elements over the next three to four years," he said. "We've made a strong living through the exportation of dollar-based assets here to Asia. I believe our future will be much more towards the managing of local-currency products."
As policymakers in Beijing curb lending, "more Chinese companies are going to the corporate bond market. We'll to be the beneficiary as those markets grow," Mr Fink said.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
Why is BlackRock backing US equities instead of bonds right now?
BlackRock says US equities look more attractive because a weak US dollar helps company profits and many firms have surplus cash to invest in growth. CEO Laurence Fink also highlighted a preference for dividend stocks and argued that if you believe in a positive long-cycle outlook, being invested in equities makes sense compared with owning Treasuries just out of fear.
What did Laurence Fink say about dividend stocks and long‑term investing?
Laurence Fink said, “We love equities, we love dividend stocks,” noting that dividend-paying shares can be an important part of long-term investment returns. He contrasted this with owning Treasuries, which he called something you do if you’re worried about the world and the future.
At what Treasury yield would BlackRock consider buying US government bonds?
Fink said he would buy Treasuries if yields rose above 4%—he’s currently a “big buyer” of the US dollar but would move into Treasuries at that higher yield level.
How does BlackRock compare expected equity returns to bond returns and investors’ liabilities?
Fink gave an example: if equity markets deliver about 4% growth plus a 3.5% dividend, that’s roughly a 7.5% return—approaching the 7.5–8% range he cited for global liabilities. He argued you can’t match those liability levels by earning 3.5% in 10‑year Treasuries.
What is Pimco doing with its exposure to US government and related debt?
According to the article, Pimco’s US$241 billion total return fund had a negative allocation to government and related debt—minus 4% of its assets at the end of April, up from minus 3% in March—indicating an increasing bet against US government debt.
What are BlackRock’s plans for growing in Asia and local‑currency products?
Fink said BlackRock has “huge plans” to increase its presence in Asia, calling the region a key growth element for the next three to four years. He noted the firm has exported dollar‑based assets to Asia but expects its future to include more management of local‑currency products.
How might tighter lending in China affect corporate bond markets, according to BlackRock?
The article reports Fink’s view that as Beijing curbs lending, more Chinese companies will turn to the corporate bond market for funding—and BlackRock expects to benefit as those markets grow.
What is BlackRock’s background and role during the global financial crisis?
BlackRock was co‑founded by Laurence Fink in 1988 and grew through acquisitions. The firm also advised the Federal Reserve on illiquid debt portfolios at the height of the financial crisis.