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Big profits in not passing on rate cuts

ANZ and Westpac to generate biggest profits by being slowest to pass on interest rate cuts.
By · 10 Dec 2012
By ·
10 Dec 2012
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ANZ and Westpac to generate biggest profits by being slowest to pass on interest rate cuts.

ANZ and Westpac stand to generate the biggest profits from their mortgage customers by being the slowest to pass on cuts to interest rates.

Combined, the two banks are expected to net some $53 million in interest income, as they take as much as two weeks to lower variable home loan rates after the Reserve Bank cut the official cash rate last Tuesday.

While ANZ has broken ranks with its rivals, announcing its rate cut the second Friday of each month, the move also provides a financial pay-off by delaying the date from when its customers receive the benefit of lower rates.

ANZ has said it will confirm its position on interest rate pricing this Friday.

According to JPMorgan analyst Scott Manning, each of the major banks ''makes somewhere in the order of $2 million each day that it does not pass on the rate cut''.

With ANZ traditionally taking about seven days after its rate announcement to actually pass on the lower rate to customers, this means borrowers will have to wait 17 days until they see any benefit of a Reserve Bank cash rate cut.

Mr Manning calculates ANZ is likely to generate $25 million in additional earnings while it delays passing on rate cuts.

Westpac, another bank that is traditionally slow to pass on rates, is set to generate $28 million over the 13 days it will take to pass on the December rate cut. Westpac has a higher headline mortgage rate than rival ANZ, which means it generates more in interest income over a shorter period.

Commonwealth Bank and National Australia Bank are much quicker passing on this month's cash rate adjustment to customers - taking just six days. Even so, this gap still generates $14 million in interest income for CBA and $11 million for NAB, Mr Manning estimates.

Regional lender Bendigo Bank is among the slowest of the banks to pass on interest rate cuts, taking up to 20 days between the official rate cut and giving the benefit to its mortgage customers.

In its outlook for Australia's banking sector, ratings agency Moody's said banks were increasingly using ''pricing power'' as one measure to help maintain profits in the face of a low credit growth environment.

Top executives from both National Australia Bank and Westpac are expected to defend their interest rate strategy when both banks front shareholders this week.

Westpac is scheduled to hold its annual meeting in Sydney on Thursday. National Australia Bank also meets on Thursday, in Perth.

NAB is expected to outline whether it will extend its commitment to have the lowest interest rate of major banks into the new year.

Online banker ING Direct is so far the only lender to pass on the full 25 basis point interest rate cut, with most banks opting to pass on just 20 basis points.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

According to the article, ANZ and Westpac are expected to generate the biggest profits from delaying the pass-through of Reserve Bank rate cuts. Analysts estimate the two banks could net around $53 million in additional interest income combined from the timing gap.

JPMorgan analyst Scott Manning estimates ANZ could generate about $25 million and Westpac about $28 million by delaying pass‑on of recent rate cuts, for a combined figure around $53 million.

Timing varies by lender: the article says ANZ’s timing means borrowers wait about 17 days after the RBA cut, Westpac took about 13 days for a December cut, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and NAB took about six days, and regional lender Bendigo Bank can take up to 20 days.

The article notes online lender ING Direct was the only lender to pass on the full 25 basis point cut. Most other banks opted to pass on only 20 basis points to customers.

The article points to two reasons: analysts say each day a major bank delays can earn roughly $2 million in extra interest income, and ratings agency Moody’s says banks are increasingly using 'pricing power' to help maintain profits in a low credit growth environment.

JPMorgan analyst Scott Manning is quoted in the article saying each major bank 'makes somewhere in the order of $2 million each day' that it does not pass on the rate cut to mortgage customers.

Yes. The article says top executives from National Australia Bank and Westpac were expected to defend their interest rate strategies at upcoming shareholder meetings (Westpac in Sydney and NAB in Perth). NAB is also expected to address whether it will keep its commitment to being the lowest‑rate major bank into the new year.

Mortgage customers should be aware that delays in banks passing on official cash rate cuts mean they won’t see the benefit immediately—different banks have different lag times (from about six days up to 20 days in the article’s examples). The delay and a bank’s headline mortgage rate determine how much extra interest income the lender earns while customers wait.