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Banks lead market to 14-month high

THE sharemarket extended gains from Wednesday to close at a 14-month high, after weak retail sales boosted chances of another rate cut next month.
By · 5 Oct 2012
By ·
5 Oct 2012
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THE sharemarket extended gains from Wednesday to close at a 14-month high, after weak retail sales boosted chances of another rate cut next month.

Overall, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 Index rose 13.8 points, or 0.3 per cent, to finish at 4452.4, while the broader All Ordinaries rose 13.9 points, or 0.3 per cent, to 4472.7 points.

Financial stocks did much of the heavy lifting, adding 1 per cent, as mortgagors waited for the big banks to pass on some of the Reserve Bank's latest rate cut.

ANZ rose 25?, or 1 per cent, to $25.30 CBA rose 55?, or 1 per cent, to $56.55 NAB rose 20?, or 0.8 per cent, to $26.15, while Westpac rose 41?, or 1.6 per cent, to $25.77.

But most of those gains were erased by a depressed resource sector, after some of the large miners took a hit from a sharp drop in oil prices overnight.

BHP Billiton fell 44?, or 1.3 per cent, to $32.99, while Rio Tinto rose 23? to $53.95.

"What we've seen is similar to what happened in the US overnight, where domestic stocks did OK but global growth stocks, such as materials and energy companies, were a little bit soft," Ord Minnett senior analyst Craig Turton said.

"The oil price was under pressure because US output was very strong, hitting a 15-year high overnight, and people have been focused on the collapse in the Iranian currency [as a result of US-led sanctions]."

Retail sales climbed just 0.2 per cent in August, half the expected rise, adding to the case for another rate cut next month.

For individual stocks, Billabong plummeted 24?, or 18.25 per cent, at $1.07, over speculation a second private equity firm was considering withdrawing its takeover bid for the troubled surf retailer.

ANZ rose after it said it would spend up to $1.5 billion improving branches and mobile banking products as it edges towards dumping PIN codes for futuristic facial and fingerprint scanning.

Qantas slipped 1?, to $1.22, after the airline said it was no longer seeking interim authorisation from the competition regulator for its proposed alliance with Emirates.

Retail Food Group was placed in a trading halt, last trading at $3, ahead of a planned capital raising and a change to the terms of its purchase of the Crust Gourmet Pizza Bars franchise system.

Transurban rose 6?, or 1 per cent, to $6.16, after the tollroad operator pushed for an overhaul of the way motorists are tolled to reduce traffic congestion.

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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The S&P/ASX200 rose to a 14-month high as financial stocks led gains after weak retail sales increased expectations of another Reserve Bank rate cut. The benchmark rose about 13.8 points to finish at 4,452.4, while the All Ordinaries also climbed, with investors favouring big banks over a softer resource sector.

Major banks outperformed the market — ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac all rose as mortgage holders and investors watched to see if the big banks would pass on the RBA's latest rate cut. The sector’s roughly 1% lift helped push the market higher, showing how interest-rate expectations can quickly influence bank shares.

Retail sales rose just 0.2% in August, about half the expected increase. That weaker result reinforced the case for another interest-rate cut next month and helped boost financial stocks as investors priced in easier monetary policy for households and borrowers.

The resource sector was depressed after a sharp fall in oil prices overnight hit some large miners. Energy and materials names were softer following pressure on oil, which offset much of the financial-sector strength and left the overall market mixed.

Billabong shares plunged around 18.25% to $1.07 amid speculation that a second private equity firm was considering withdrawing its takeover bid for the troubled surf retailer, prompting a sharp sell-off on takeover uncertainty.

Several corporate developments stood out: ANZ said it would spend up to $1.5 billion to improve branches and mobile banking and move toward facial and fingerprint scanning instead of PINs; Qantas dropped after abandoning interim authorisation for a proposed Emirates alliance; Retail Food Group was placed in a trading halt ahead of a capital raising and changes to its Crust purchase; and Transurban rose after pushing for an overhaul of tolling to reduce congestion.

Analysts noted the oil price was under pressure because US oil output hit a 15-year high, and concerns such as the collapse in the Iranian currency (linked to sanctions) were also in focus. That global oil-pressure dynamic made materials and energy stocks softer, highlighting how international supply and political factors affect Australian miners.

A divergent day—financials up on rate-cut hopes and resources down from commodity weakness—highlights sector rotation and sensitivity to different drivers (domestic policy vs global commodity trends). Everyday investors should note how macro data (like retail sales) and global commodity moves can shift leadership across the ASX, and consider sector exposures and company fundamentals when assessing portfolios.