Graham Richardson's claims should help boost his own TV stocks.
FORMER Labor heavyweight Graham Richardson's naming, with maximum fanfare, of a couple of Rudd spruikers prompted one senior (non-Rudd) man to observe yesterday: "This is Graham's renaissance. He's rebuilding himself into a larger-than-life media figure."
Richardson has his own TV program on Sky now, called Richo (of course). He knows the value of political spice. And because of who he is more to the point, who he was in his glory days any spice he dishes up has a lot of zing.
The one-time powerbroker who is determined to be an influence wielder through his public commentary told viewers on Wednesday night that former Labor minister Alan Griffin was "leading the push" for Kevin Rudd. "He's doing a lot of the telephoning, a lot of the ringing around. He's a very clever operator, this bloke, no fool," Richardson said, adding that West Australian senator Mark Bishop was part of the action.
And so the hare was out and running, yet again, just like when a Coalition senator recently claimed a Labor senator and Rudd had talked about leadership in a phone conversation.
Julia Gillard, trying to keep attention on yesterday's jobs forum, was forced to field questions about Richardson's contribution. So was Communications Minister Stephen Conroy, who suggested that if the two "are involved then they should just pull their head in". Rudd was about in Melbourne, but carefully silent on Richo.
Often, media interventions in leadership stories involve deliberately planted bombs designed to destabilise. There is no evidence that was the case this week. Then again, the apparent revival of Rudd is rather different from your usual leadership battle.
Griffin, veterans affairs minister in 2007-10 and a Victorian left-winger expected to leave Parliament at the next election, is well known as a Rudd backer. Always a Rudd supporter, he was late on board for the 2006 challenge to Kim Beazley, because he was concerned about the closeness to the election.
Bishop is a Rudd supporter, but less of a player he has, though, been publicly critical of the government over its handling of asylum seeker policy, suggesting it should swallow its pride and send people to Nauru.
Obviously Griffin, Bishop and others in the Rudd camp have conversations with their colleagues about leadership considering Labor's primary vote is well below 30 per cent, what else would you expect?
As far as one can tell, however, there is not presently any concerted "ringing around" to garner support for Rudd. Rather, the strategy of the former PM and his backers is to let the polls do their damage, until Labor MPs come to the conclusion that there has to be a change and Rudd is seen as the only option.
The personally strategy of Rudd who is driven these days by the desire for vindication as much as by rational ambition is the one he always adopts. He is omnipresent. In current circumstances, this serves several purposes. It keeps him in the public's mind (useful for those surveys of preferred Labor leader) it sucks attention from Gillard and, when he is received as a rock star in MPs' electorates, it shows caucus members how popular he is, and how useful he could be to helping a lot of them hold their seats.
The Rudd camp doesn't want any blow-up of the leadership in the short term. Not only would it be better to have the carbon tax through Parliament, the mining tax squared away and the offshore processing legislation off the table, but the caucus needs longer to mull over the prospect of Rudd Mark II.
Once the ball is rolling in these things, however, timing potentially becomes a product of events. That's why caucus sources can't rule out a crisis before Christmas, though most people believe Gillard will survive into next year.
For the PM, the Rudd factor is disrupting positives and worsening negatives. The shadow of Rudd intensifies the risks she faces in difficult situations.
Next week the legislation to validate the Malaysia solution is due to come to a vote in the House of Representatives. The bill would be doomed in the Senate but Gillard is anxious for a tactical victory over Tony Abbott by getting it through the House. Both government and opposition are desperately working on West Australian National Tony Crook, who could provide the crucial crossbench vote. If Gillard, who took time from the tax summit to meet Crook on Wednesday, fails to land him, or any of the other three crossbench votes she needs, caucus criticism of her handling of the asylum seeker issue will increase.
While the Ruddites believe caucus members need a while to accept the notion of reinstalling the man so casually dispatched, Gillard's supporters hope time can work in her favour. With key legislation through, the outlook could be brighter, they argue. But ultimately, almost everything depends on the polls, which are usually the scourge of any leader under pressure. It's like trying to run up an escalator that's coming down.
Richardson, who modestly declared he knew "a little bit about plotting", had some advice for those seeking change: "Look at history, now is not your time." They indeed agree the irony is that incidents like this week's "outing" make it harder to control things.
All of which is good for Richo. People will be listening to him for that "insider gossip" that Gillard dismissed yesterday. That is just what the budding TV host intends.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What recent event reignited talk of Kevin Rudd returning as Labor leader?
Renewed leadership chatter followed former Labor powerbroker Graham Richardson publicly naming Rudd backers on his Sky TV program Richo. Richardson said Alan Griffin was “leading the push” for Kevin Rudd and mentioned West Australian senator Mark Bishop as involved, which prompted fresh media and political attention.
Who are the key political figures mentioned as supporting a Kevin Rudd comeback?
The article cites former veterans affairs minister Alan Griffin and senator Mark Bishop as named by Graham Richardson as Rudd supporters. It also describes Kevin Rudd himself as highly visible and his broader camp as quietly waiting for polls to shift opinion in caucus.
How is Graham Richardson (Richo) influencing the leadership debate and why does it matter?
Richardson, now a TV host on Sky with the program Richo, uses his media profile to publicise insider political gossip. His on-air naming of Rudd backers amplifies leadership speculation, keeps the story in the headlines and makes it harder for party managers to control the narrative.
What is the Rudd camp’s stated strategy for pursuing a leadership change?
According to the article, the Rudd camp prefers to let poor poll results erode confidence in the current leader rather than triggering an immediate challenge. They aim to stay visible and build public and caucus support over time while avoiding a short-term ‘blow-up’ until key legislation is through.
Which pieces of legislation are highlighted as important before any leadership change?
The article notes that Rudd backers do not want a leadership crisis until the carbon tax is through Parliament, the mining tax is settled and offshore processing legislation (including related asylum seeker measures) is off the table.
What upcoming parliamentary vote should investors keep an eye on, and why is it politically significant?
The article flags an imminent House vote on legislation to validate the Malaysia solution for asylum seekers. Although likely to fail in the Senate, getting it through the House would be a tactical victory for Prime Minister Julia Gillard. The contest for crossbench support—particularly from West Australian National Tony Crook—could affect caucus pressure on the government.
How does leadership speculation involving Rudd affect Julia Gillard’s position according to the article?
The piece argues the ‘Rudd factor’ disrupts Gillard’s positives and worsens negatives: his visibility diverts attention from her, intensifies risks in difficult situations and increases scrutiny of her handling of key issues, which could fuel caucus criticism if she cannot secure tactical parliamentary wins.
What practical takeaways should everyday investors consider from this political coverage?
For everyday investors the article suggests watching political headlines, opinion polls and outcomes of key votes (carbon tax, mining tax, Malaysia solution/crossbench deals). Media figures like Richardson can accelerate leadership talk, so investors should be aware that sustained political uncertainty may influence policy direction—monitor developments rather than reacting to single media moments.