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USD Dominates

The cumulative effect of a series of weaker data reads in the United States forced a market re-think on interest rates, and brought the USD to its knees overnight.
By · 4 Feb 2016
By ·
4 Feb 2016
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The cumulative effect of a series of weaker data reads in the United States forced a market re-think on interest rates, and brought the USD to its knees overnight. The 2% currency slump resonated across asset classes, boosting commodity prices and shares. Good company reports and renewed fear on banks took a back seat to the dollar driver.

During the European session general fear saw bank selling due to the sector’s economic leverage. This inchoate investment theme suggests markets are still running on sentiment rather than hard numbers – a side-effect of increasing volatility. Oil markets surged, and West Texas crude finished the session up a whopping 9%, despite another 7.8 million barrel build in inventories. Traders are expecting a spectacular reaction in Australian energy shares today.

Futures markets are pointing to a modest 0.5% opening gain for the Australia 200 Index. Mining stocks should see support, given the dollar inspired lift in precious and industrial metals overnight. The swing factor in trading will be financial stocks. If the overall lift sparks bank buying, the day may finish stronger than current indications.

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Michael McCarthy
Michael McCarthy
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Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…

The USD experienced a significant slump due to a series of weaker data reads in the United States, which forced a market re-think on interest rates. This led to a 2% currency slump that impacted various asset classes.

The slump in the USD boosted commodity prices and shares. As the dollar weakened, it made commodities priced in USD more attractive, leading to a surge in prices and a positive impact on shares.

The oil market saw a significant surge, with West Texas crude finishing the session up by 9%. This was despite a 7.8 million barrel build in inventories, indicating strong market reactions to the weaker USD.

Traders are expecting a spectacular reaction in Australian energy shares due to the surge in oil prices following the USD slump. This could lead to increased investor interest and potential gains in the sector.

Futures markets are pointing to a modest 0.5% opening gain for the Australia 200 Index. The lift in precious and industrial metals due to the weaker USD is expected to support mining stocks, contributing to the index's performance.

Financial stocks could be the swing factor in trading. If the overall lift in the market sparks bank buying, the day may finish stronger than current indications, highlighting the influence of financial stocks on market performance.

Banks are experiencing selling pressure due to general fear and the sector's economic leverage. This reflects an inchoate investment theme where markets are driven more by sentiment than hard numbers, amid increasing volatility.

The current market sentiment suggests that investment themes are still running on sentiment rather than hard numbers. This is a side-effect of increasing volatility, where market reactions are driven by emotions and expectations rather than concrete data.