ERA's latest venture is a test even for an outfit so used to challenges, writes Peter Ker.
Rob Atkinson racks his brain for an answer but struggles to think of a company that has blazed a trail quite like this.
After three decades as a major uranium producer in the Top End, Atkinson's Energy Resources of Australia is about to fill in its massive open pit and return the landscape to something resembling the nearby Kakadu National Park.
In a reversal of the typical path taken by miners, ERA is about to go from producer to explorer, gambling its future on the viability of a deposit deep beneath its existing operations.
"I've been in mining nearly 25 years and I think we are fairly unique," Atkinson said, when asked if he was taking guidance for ERA's next chapter from some external source. But examples to follow have always been thin on the ground for a company that exists within a fragile framework of environmental rules, indigenous agreements and, in true Northern Territory style, crocodile safety precautions.
ERA has spent 30 years digging uranium from a small province surrounded on all sides by Kakadu National Park. The company is here at the grace of the local indigenous community, who are reticent to see any more of their land - including ERA's prospective Jabiluka deposit - developed for mining.
The territory's extraordinary wet seasons add another challenge to the mix, forcing Atkinson to play meteorologist, indigenous diplomat, environmental scientist and chief executive. "I've got a bit of everything there," he says. "Because there's such a heavy social side ... you really do feel as though you're putting back in a big way."
More than once, heavy rains have halted production for months at a time and threatened to spill toxic tailings into the environment.
Other operational issues have also caused delays, and the problems continued to unfold against a backdrop of decline in the flagship Ranger open pit, which is reaching the end of its working life. From a share price of $18.22 in May 2009, the stock lost more than 90 per cent of its value to languish at $1.15 earlier this year.
Atkinson, though, has offered an answer. Following a review of the business, the keen golfer from the Scottish town of St Mirren oversaw the release of a plan for the company's future late last year. Known as the Ranger 3 Deeps project, ERA will explore a major deposit deep below its existing pit.
Put simply, ERA is transitioning from major producer to hopeful explorer, though the tag doesn't sit comfortably with Atkinson.
"We are very different from an explorer in that we've got a plant, a power station, an airport and a town. We've got all the facilities already built plus we are one of the biggest companies in the Northern Territory, so we've got those influences which help us," he said.
More than two years of work will pass before the company decides whether to go ahead with an underground mine. Major shareholder Rio Tinto has reaffirmed its faith, but Atkinson knows not every investor can afford to be so patient.
"We are not going to be a company for the next couple of years that can deliver huge returns," he said. "I've got to be sensitive to other people's needs and realise that they are wanting a return, but at ERA it's going to take a little bit longer."
The share sale has complicated matters by pulling the stock beneath the investment grades held by many big institutions. Yet there are signs that Atkinson might be capable of turning the ship around.
Water worries have been eased by several new pieces of infrastructure. Relations with local indigenous people appear to be improving. Financial worries have also been mitigated, thanks to a $500 million equity raising.
"We now believe the worst is behind ERA and change our investment view from underperform to buy," UBS wrote.
The share price responded strongly, jumping 41 per cent in the space of a fortnight, to $1.72, making it one of the best-performed stocks this month.
It's a good sign but Atkinson knows there is a long way to go. The end goal of turning ERA into an underground miner won't come to fruition before late 2015, and there will be myriad environmental, indigenous, government and company approvals to satisfy before then.
Frequently Asked Questions about this Article…
What is ERA (Energy Resources of Australia) planning with the Ranger 3 Deeps project?
ERA is shifting from being a major uranium producer to exploring a deep deposit beneath its existing Ranger open pit. The Ranger 3 Deeps project is a multi-year plan to test the viability of an underground deposit under the current operations before any decision is made to build an underground mine.
How long will it take ERA to decide whether to develop an underground mine from Ranger 3 Deeps?
The company expects more than two years of work before it will decide whether to proceed with an underground mine. ERA’s leadership has said the end goal of becoming an underground miner won’t come to fruition before late 2015, and numerous approvals will still be needed.
What operational risks should investors know about ERA, especially related to weather and environment?
ERA operates in the Northern Territory where extraordinary wet seasons have in the past halted production for months and threatened to spill toxic tailings. Environmental risks and the need to manage tailings and wet-season impacts are significant operational factors for the company.
How do indigenous agreements and environmental approvals affect ERA’s projects?
ERA operates near Kakadu National Park and relies on the consent of local indigenous communities. Some groups are reticent to see more land developed (for example, the prospective Jabiluka deposit). Any move to develop new deposits will require environmental, indigenous, government and company approvals, which can be lengthy and uncertain.
What has happened to ERA’s share price in recent years and what drove the recent bounce?
ERA’s share price fell sharply from $18.22 in May 2009 to about $1.15 earlier in the year. A $500 million equity raising, signs that operational and water issues were being addressed, improving indigenous relations, and a UBS upgrade from 'underperform' to 'buy' helped spark a strong recovery—shares jumped about 41% in a fortnight to $1.72.
What does the $500 million equity raising mean for investors in ERA?
According to the article, the $500 million equity raising helped mitigate ERA’s financial worries, providing balance sheet support while the company works through the Ranger 3 Deeps evaluation and other operational improvements. For investors, it reduces short-term funding risk but may dilute existing shareholders.
How important is Rio Tinto’s support for ERA’s future plans?
Rio Tinto is a major shareholder and has reaffirmed its faith in ERA. That backing is important because it signals confidence from a large institutional shareholder while ERA undertakes the multi-year exploration and approval process for an underground project.
What should everyday investors consider about ERA’s potential returns and timeline?
ERA’s CEO has warned investors that the company may not deliver huge returns in the next couple of years because the transition to an underground miner takes time. Investors should be prepared for a longer timeline, regulatory and social hurdles, and the operational risks tied to wet seasons and environmental management.